Perhaps the marquee series of the weekend is Milwaukee visiting Atlanta in a potential playoff preview. Both are contending in their respective divisions and for wild-card spots. The Braves are very slight MLB betting favorites Friday behind new addition Kevin Gausman.
Brewers vs Braves MLB Lines & Pick – August 10th
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) 10 de agosto de 2018
- When: Friday, 7:35 PM ET
- Where: SunTrust Park, Atlanta
- Probable pitchers (away/home): Freddy Peralta/Kevin Gausman
- TV: MLB Network
- Stream: MLB.tv
- Radio: TuneIn
- MLB Lines: Atlanta Braves -106 / Milwaukee Brewers -104 (Total 8.5)
The Brewers took three of four at home vs. the Braves from July 5-8. The finale was a 10-3 Milwaukee win. Jesus Aguilar homered twice and Hernan Perez added a three-run shot. Milwaukee grabbed control with five runs in the third. Christian Yelich singled in Jonathan Villar and Travis Shaw had a sacrifice fly before Perez hit a drive to center for his sixth homer.
Why Bet on Milwaukee?
The Brewers finished a home series vs. the Padres on Thursday. Mike Moustakas wasn’t in the Brewers’ lineup. Travis Shaw was at third base and batting sixth versus Padres left-hander Robbie Erlin, with Jonathan Schoop playing second base and hitting seventh. Hernan Perez started at shortstop with Orlando Arcia also sitting. The daily infield shuffle continues in Milwaukee.
Expect Moustakas back here. With Schoop giving the Brewers an alternative at shortstop, Arcia has gone 10-for-35 with three extra-base hits in 12 games since returning to the majors. Schoop has committed more errors (four) than he has collected hits (three, all singles) through his first seven games with the Brewers.
In Wednesday’s win over San Diego, the Brewers belted a season-high 5 home runs. Five different players combined for the homers (Aguilar, Shaw, Eric Thames, Arcia and Christian Yelich), tying the franchise record in a single game for the 16th time, first since 6/29/17 at Cincinnati. Aguilar, Shaw, and Thames combined to hit three straight homers in the first inning. It marked the first time in franchise history that the Brewers have hit back-to-back-to-back homers at home. They had done it six times on the road in their history. The Brewers have hit consecutive home runs seven times this season.
The Brewers are 30-28 on the road, going 9-6-3 in series play.
It’s rookie Freddy Peralta here. Peralta will make his 11th start for the Brewers and second against the Braves. He last started last Saturday vs. Colorado and earned an 8-4 win (6ip, 2h, 2r, 2er, 2bb, 8k, 1hr, 1hbp). The team is 7-3 in his starts and he has 4 quality starts. Opponents are batting .150 (27-for-180, 5hr).
Peralta earned a 5-4 victory against the Braves on 7/6 at Miller Park (6ip, 3h, 1r, 1er, 3bb, 6k). He has logged at least five strikeouts in nine of his first 10 Major League starts and allowed three or fewer hits in eight of the 10. When he limits walks, he’s tough.
Why Bet on Atlanta?
The Braves lost in Washington on Thursday, 6-3, to split a four-game series. Ronald Acuna hit his 13th homer of the year Thursday in a losing cause. Acuna has homered in back-to-back games, and he’s hit in eight in all in 122 at-bats since coming off the DL at the end of June. Nick Markakis went 2-for-4 and homered in the loss. Markakis has four homers in his last 11 games after hitting three in his previous 66.
At home, the Braves have 46 home runs in 51 games, good for an average of 0.90 per game. That ratio is eighth lowest in baseball.
Freddie Freeman is batting .328 with a .372 on-base percentage during an 11-game hitting streak that dates to July 29. Freeman is the midst of his third double-digit hitting streak of the season. He went 16 games from May 19 to June 3 and then another 10 games from June 5 to June 16. The only major leaguer with three double-digit hit streaks this season is Houston’s Yuli Gurriel. He had a 13-gamer, a 12-gamer, and an 11-gamer. The last Braves player with three double-digit hitting streaks in a single season was Martin Prado in 2011.
Atlanta’s Kevin Gausman (5-9, 4.47) allowed three earned runs on six hits and two walks while striking out two across five innings to take the loss Saturday against the Mets. Gausman allowed only one earned run through five innings but ran into trouble in the sixth inning, allowing four consecutive singles. He generated only five swinging strikes, indicating that he wasn’t fooling many batters. However, from a run prevention standpoint, the start was a success as Gausman didn’t allow a home run for the first time in his last seven outings.
Gausman will be making his first start in Atlanta since being acquired from the Orioles.
Lates MLB Betting Trends
- Under is 6-0-2 in the last 8 meetings in Atlanta
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series
- Brewers are 8-17 in the last 25 meetings in Atlanta
Expert MLB Betting Prediction for Brewers vs Braves
Sometimes you just don’t feel comfortable betting aside, so go with the under here.