Brewers vs Phillies MLB Odds, Preview & Prediction.

Brewers vs Phillies MLB Odds, Preview & Prediction

Written by on May 13, 2019

Game of the night Monday around the majors features two National League contenders as the Milwaukee Brewers visit the NL East-leading Philadelphia Phillies, who are favored on the Mybookie Sportsbook MLB Betting Lines.

How to Bet Brewers vs Phillies MLB Odds & Game Info

Why Bet on Milwaukee?

The Brewers enter on a two-game skid, scoring just one run both Saturday and Sunday in losses at the Cubs. Ryan Braun (hamstring) remained out of the Brewers’ lineup Sunday. Manager Craig Counsell had been hopeful that Braun would be ready to go but he wasn’t quite ready with that hamstring injury. Not clear if Braun will play Monday. Braun tweaked his hamstring while running the bases on Friday and was able to pinch-hit on Saturday.

“Obviously, I have to get to the point where I don’t feel it grabbing when I’m jogging so I can get out there and sprint,” Braun said Sunday. “I’m hopeful and optimistic that I’m back soon, but it’s a hamstring, so you have to get it right. It’s one of those things you can’t take a chance with. You turn one to two days into one to two months real easily.”

The Brewers tied a franchise record by grounding into six double plays on Saturday, matching their effort in a 25-inning game on May 8, 1984, at the Chicago White Sox. They also became the first team since the New York Yankees on April 11, 2011, to have six different players ground into twin killings in the same game.

The Brewers announced that Travis Shaw was getting the weekend off to “reboot” himself, although he did make an appearance on Saturday night. Shaw came into Saturday’s game with the fourth-worst OPS among qualified players in the league. After drawing a walk on Saturday, he now has the fifth worst OPS in the league.

It will be Freddy Peralta on the mound. He was used out of the bullpen after an opener in his last outing, and he responded by tossing five scoreless innings in a victory over the Nationals. Peralta owns a 6.75 ERA and 1.61 WHIP through his 26 2/3 innings on the season. Peralta’s trouble typically comes in the first inning.

The Brewers are 10-3 in the first games of series this season, the best record in the National League.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 4.74
  • Hits: 8.21
  • Walks: 3.79
  • Strike Outs: 9.71

Defense

  • Runs: 4.62
  • Hits: 8.43
  • Walks: 3.79
  • Strike Outs: 9.26

Why Bet on Philadelphia?

The Phils enter having won two straight and four of five. They were 6-1 winners in Kansas City on Sunday to take that series. J.T. Realmuto drilled a two-run double off Royals’ reliever Richard Lovelady to give the Phillies a 4-1 lead in the fifth inning. It was his lone hit in five at-bats. The 28-year-old is hitting .269/.331/.418 with 24 runs scored, four homers and 24 RBI across 151 plate appearances.

Andrew McCutchen went 1-for-2 with a run scored and three walks. McCutchen reached base safely in four of his five plate appearances and scored the go-ahead run on a bases-loaded walk by Rhys Hoskins in the fifth inning. McCutchen is hitting .238/.370/.399 with 28 runs scored, five homers 14 RBI and one steal in 173 plate appearances. He’s walked nearly as many times (30) as he’s struck out (39) this season.

Brewers vs Phillies should be an easy victory for Philadelphia.

Over their last 14 starts, the Phillies rotation has combined to post a 2.42 ERA while guiding the Phillies to a 10-4 record in that span (4/24-current). In that stretch, their ERA is the 2nd-lowest among all ML staffs behind only the Twins (2.25).

Since making his major league debut on August 10, 2017, Rhys Hoskins has seen the most pitches of anyone in the majors. Hoskins also leads the majors in pitches per plate appearance since his debut at 4.51 (next: Curtis Granderson, 4.44). Further, among all active players in the majors with at least 1,000 career plate appearances, Hoskins ranks 1st at 4.51 pitches per PA – rounding out the top five is Aaron Judge (4.33), Matt Carpenter (4.26), Mike Trout (4.26) and Kyle Schwarber (4.25).

It’s Aaron Nola on the mound. Nola (3-0) allowed one earned run on three hits and one walk while striking out seven across six innings to earn the win last Tuesday against the Cardinals. Nola’s lone blemish came from a solo home run off the bat of Matt Wieters in the sixth inning. Otherwise, he returned to exhibiting strong command, getting 26 called strikes and surrendering only one free pass. After compiling a 6.84 ERA in his first five starts, Nola has allowed only two earned runs across his last two starts, spanning 12.1 innings.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 5.18
  • Hits: 8.36
  • Walks: 4.23
  • Strike Outs: 8.77

Defense

  • Runs: 4.18
  • Hits: 8.85
  • Walks: 3.13
  • Strike Outs: 8.56

Brewers vs Phillies MLB Betting Trends

  • Phillies are 4-1 in Nola’s last 5 starts vs. Brewers
  • Brewers are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games on the road
  • Phillies are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
  • Brewers are 126-89 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games against Milwaukee
  • Phillies are 864-908 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997

Expert Final Score Prediction for Brewers vs Phillies

Milwaukee Brewers 3 – Philadelphia Phillies 6

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