It’s a bit of a bad habit among baseball fans to look at the standings in June and use that to start talking about potential World Series match-ups. As we have seen in the past, things tend to get a little crazier in the second half of the season, which is where the biggest changes in the overall standing tend to take place as teams get hot and roll into the playoff picture.
Still, it sure is fun to talk about the playoffs and who might potentially face who even now, and if we are going to have that discussion, then we almost certainly need to be talking about the Houston Astros. Just 2 seasons removed from winning a championship, the Astros again look like the real deal and potentially the team to beat in the American League. They will get this week rolling with an interleague series against a team that might well have a role to play in the National League playoffs. The Milwaukee Brewers are very much in that picture, so this should be a fun one. The Astros are favored by 1 ½ on Tuesday, with the run total set at 9.
Brewers vs Astros MLB Spread, Analysis & Pick
- When: Tuesday, June 11 at 8:10 PM EST
- Where: Minute Maid Park, Houston
- Starting Pitchers: Peralta vs. Peacock
- TV: MLB Extra Innings
- Radio: 610 AM
- Live Stream: MLB.tv
- MLB Odds: Houston Astros -1.5 (Total 8.5)
Why bet on the Milwaukee Brewers?
If you are looking for one of the best divisional races in the MLB right now, look no further than the NL Central. The Chicago Cubs and the Milwaukee Brewers are taking turns holding the lead, but it is the Brewers who are there now, leading the Cubs by a ½ game. Milwaukee got back on top by going on a very nice run of form that saw them win 7 of their last 10 games, including closing out last week with 4 straight wins.
At 38-28 overall, they now have the second best record in the NL behind the LA Dodgers and are 16-15 SU on the road this season. On the downside, they have struggled in interleague play, going just 1-4 SU. As a road dog, the Brewers are 14-8 ATS. It will be Freddy Peralta (3-2, 5.11 ERA) will start for Milwaukee.
- Runs: 5.03
- Hits: 8.74
- Walks: 3.88
- Strike Outs: 9.52
- Runs: 4.85
- Hits: 8.71
- Walks: 3.47
- Strike Outs: 9.39
Why bet on the Houston Astros?
The Houston Astros are considered to be one of the teams to beat in the AL for a very good reason. Despite having to deal with more than their fair share of injuries to key personnel, they have still managed to put together a stellar 45-22 record. Playing at home has been particularly beneficial for the Astros, as they have gone 24-9 in their own ballpark this season.
The Astros have been consistently good all year and are on another hot run of form, going 8-2 SU in their last 10 games. As good as they have been at home, that dominance has not translated into great performances against the spread, where they are just 16-16 ATS as a home favorite. It will be Brad Peacock (5-3, 3.20 ERA) who gets the start.
- Runs: 5.10
- Hits: 9.01
- Walks: 3.69
- Strike Outs: 6.72
- Runs: 3.66
- Hits: 6.91
- Walks: 2.75
- Strike Outs: 9.96
Brewers vs Astros MLB Betting Trends
- Brewers are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
- Astros are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games this season
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston’s last 10 games at home
- Brewers are 65-53 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons
- Astros are 5-10 against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Brewers vs Astros
No matter who they play, it is simply too tough to bet against the Houston Astros at home. If you want to play it safe, take them SU in this one. I am taking them to win and cover.
Score: Milwaukee Brewers 3 – Houston Astros 6