After splitting the first two games in a pair of tightly contested contests that were both decided by a single run, the, Pittsburgh Pirates will look to avoid the home upset when they host the Milwaukee Brewers in the finale of their three-game set on Wednesday. If you’re a baseball betting fanatic that is looking for value, then consider your ticket punched! I’ve got an expert MLB betting pick that is sure to please baseball bettors everywhere! Now, let’s get to it.
Milwaukee Brewers (42-30) at Pittsburgh Pirates (36-36)
.@JAguilarMKE drives in 3 to support a strong start by Freddy Peralta in tonight’s victory. #ThisIsMyCrew
Wrap: https://t.co/LPm1WP10PM pic.twitter.com/rs7G07lwf3 — Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) June 20, 2018
When: Wednesday, June 20, 2018 at 7:05 PM ET Where: PNC Park Live Stream: MLB.tv MLB Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates -102 / Milwaukee Brewers -108 Over/Under: 8.5
Weather Forecast
- Thunderstorm: 23°C/73°F
- Humidity: 92%
- Precipitation: 67%
- Wind: 7 mph WSW
- Cloud Cover: 89%
- Type of Stadium: Open
Starting Pitchers
- Milwaukee: Brent Suter (7-4, 4.30)
- Pittsburgh: Chad Kuhl (5-4, 3.76 ERA)
Why Bet On The Milwaukee Brewers?
Why should you consider betting on the Brewers to get it done in this mid-week matchup? The best reason is probably because Milwaukee is a bit desperate right about now. The Brew Crew has dropped three of their last four games while getting held to one run or less in two of those contests.
The good news is that the Brewers are 5-5 over their last 10 games overall and scored at least 12 runs in a pair of wins over Philadelphia during the span. Last but not least, Milwaukee left-hander Brent Suter has been rock-solid in going 2-1 over his last three starts with a 3.18 ERA.
Why Bet On The Pittsburgh Pirates?
Why should you consider betting on the Pirates in this mid-week matchup? Because Pittsburgh is playing good baseball, having won four of their last six games coming into this matchup.
Another good reason is that the Pirates have been scoring runs in bunches by putting at least five runs on the board in three of their last five wins while scoring six or more in two of those contests. Another good reason to back Pittsburgh is that they’ve been solid at home (21-17) and have taken three of five meetings against the Brewers this season. Right-hander Chad Kuhl has gone a modest 1-1 over his last three starts with a decent 3.12 ERA.
Latest MLB Betting Trends
- Milwaukee is 14-7 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
- Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 7 games
- Pittsburgh is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
- Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games
Expert Analysis and Prediction
The Brewers might be struggling a bit over the past week or so, but they’re my pick to get the win in their series-finale against Pittsburgh and they should be yours too. Milwaukee has gone 8-2 in their last 10 Wednesday games and 5-1 in Brent Suter’s last six starts. Milwaukee is also 7-2 in Suter’s last nine starts with four days’ rest and 5-2 in his last seven starts in game three of a series.
While the Pirates are a perfect 6-0 in their last six Wednesday games, Pittsburgh has also gone 3-7 in Kuhl’s last 10 starts, 5-12 in their last 17 against a team with a winning record and 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. Milwaukee has been the better team all season long and I expect them to close out this series with a statement-making victory.
MLB Betting Pick: Milwaukee 6 Pittsburgh 4
