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Can the Indians Upset the Yankees in the MLB Odds in ALDS Game 4?

Can the Indians Upset the Yankees in the MLB Odds in ALDS Game 4?

Written by on October 9, 2017

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Manager Terry Francona and the Cleveland Indians will go back to game 1 winner Trevor Bauer to close out the desperate New York Yankees and Luis Severino in Game 4 of their ALDS matchup on Monday. If the recent and MLB odds for these teams and outings of both starters are any indication, then this game could be over before it ever really gets started. Now, let’s find out who’s got the ALDS Game 4 odds on their side for tonight’s game.

Cleveland Indians at New York Yankees ALDS Game 4 Preview & MLB Odds

When: Monday, October 9, 7:00 PM ET Where: Yankee Stadium TV: FS1 Radio: WTAM 1100 (Cleveland) / WFAN 660 (NY) Live Stream: MLB odds MLB Odds: New York -157 Over/Under: 7.5

Weather Forecast

  • Chance of Rain: 24°C/75°F
  • Humidity: 91%
  • Precipitation: 59%
  • Wind: 15 mph SSW
  • Cloud Cover: 96%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Probable Pitchers

Cleveland – Trevor Bauer – R – (18-9, 4.03 ERA, 196 K)

Trevor Bauer has been absolutely phenomenal in giving up just two earned runs over his last three starts spanning a combined 19.2 innings, including, tossing 6.2 shutout innings against the Yankees while allowing just two hits to lead the Indians to a 4-0 win in Game 1 of this ALDS matchup.

Luis Severino – R – (14-6, 3.11 ERA, 230 K)

Luis Severino got pounded in New York’s thrilling 8-4 wild card win over Minnesota last Tuesday by allowing three earned runs on four hits, including a pair of home runs while retiring just one batter. Still, the 23-year-old Yankees’ ace did go 14-6 with a solid 2.98 ERA in 31 regular-season starts.

Recent Head to Head Statistics (Last 10 Games)

  • Runs: Cleveland Indians 5.04 / New York Yankees 5.27
  • Hits: Cleveland Indians 8.88 / New York Yankees 9.00
  • Walks: Cleveland Indians 3.74 / New York Yankees 3.81
  • Strike Outs: Cleveland Indians 7.18 / New York Yankees 8.60

Game Analysis

New York avoided the series sweep by beating Cleveland 1-0 on Sunday, as Masahiro Tanaka tossed an absolute gem and Greg Bird’s upper-deck home run, “We’ve got a chance,” Bird said. “We’re going to keep playing.” Now, the Yankees get to face Bauer and Cleveland’s outstanding bullpen again after getting dominated in Game 1. “Flexibility was one of the things we talked about early on, and now it’s going to get a chance to hopefully really help us,” Indians manager Terry Francona said. “That’s the idea.” Yankees closer Aroldis Chapman was forced to toss five innings to close out the Tribe in game 3. Are the Yankees a safe bet in Game 4 of the ALDS? “I’m going to do everything I can do to be ready [for Game 4],” Chapman said. “If we don’t win [Monday], there’s no Game 5. So whatever I can do to be ready to pitch, I’ll do it and be ready to pitch.” Severino got smacked in around in New York’s wild card win last week, but says he learned a lot in the loss. “A lot of adrenaline, trying to do too much,” he said. “So [I have to] try to calm myself down and try to breathe and think before every pitch.” Cleveland slugger  Edwin Encarnacion sprained his right ankle on the basepaths in the first inning of Game 2, but will go in this Game 4 matchup. “We’ll kind of still go by the day-by-day thing,” Francona said.

Injury Report

  • Edwin Encarnacion (Indians) – Ankle. Unsure to play againt Yankees
  • Lonnie Chisenhall (Indians –  Rest. Not expected in starting lineup on Monday
  • Matt Holiday (Yankees) – Rest. Not expected in starting lineup on Monday
  • Chase Headley (Yankees) – Rest. Not expected in starting lineup on Monday

Latest MLB Odds Trends

  • Cleveland is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 games on the road
  • Cleveland is 20-5 SU in the last 25 games
  • The total went UNDER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 5 games
  • NY Yankees are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 games at home
  • NY Yankees are 15-7 SU in the last 22 games
  • The total went UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 7 games

Expert MLB Odds Pick & Betting Prediction

The Yankees may be playing at home, but the Cleveland Indians are the pick to close them out in this Game 4 pairing seeing as how both, Trevor Bauer and Luis Severino pitched in their last starts and knowing that the Tribe have the much better bullpen between the two World Series hopefuls. For me, the Indians are the easy pick, having gone 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss, 6-1 in their last 7 Divisional Playoff games and 21-6 in their last 27 road games against a team with a winning record. Not only has Cleveland gone 40-19 in their last 59 road games against a right-handed starter, but the Tribe are also 5-0 in Trevor Bauer’s last 5 starts against a team with a winning record and 4-0 in Bauer’s last 4 road starts against a team with a winning record. While the Yankees are 6-0 in Luis Severino’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game, 5-0 in Severino’s last 5 home starts and an impressive 14-2 in Severino’s last 16 starts overall, new York is also just 5-11 in their last 16 during Game 4 of a series, 2-7 in their last 9 playoff games and 1-4 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600. Cleveland wins to close this one out! MLB Odds Pick: Cleveland 4 New York 2