Diamondbacks vs Phillies MLB Odds & Pick for Tuesday Night.

Diamondbacks vs Phillies MLB Odds & Pick for Tuesday Night

Written by on June 11, 2019

It’s game No. 2 of a three-game set between the Diamondbacks and Phillies from the City of Brotherly Love on Tuesday night. The Phils go with former Cy Young winner Jake Arrieta on the mound, while the Snakes counter with a relatively unknown rookie. Thus, Philly is solidly favored on the MLB Odds.

How to Bet Diamondbacks vs Phillies MLB Odds & Game Info

Why Bet on Arizona?

The D-backs were 4-2 vs. Phillies in 2018 and are 16-7 in their last 23 games. Arizona is 9-1 in its last 10 games @ Citizens Bank Park. The D-backs have hit 20 homers in that span. David Peralta is hitting .452 (28-for-62) with 4 doubles, 4 home runs and 18 RBI in his last 16 games vs. Phillies.

First baseman Jake Lamb began a minor league rehab assignment with Triple-A Reno on Saturday. Lamb has been sidelined since April 4 due to a Grade 2 left quad strain. The 28-year-old was just 4-for-15 (.267) with a double, two RBI and a 6/3 K/BB ratio before landing on the injured list. The plan had been for Lamb to function as the team’s regular first baseman this season, so he should supplant Christian Walker once he’s back to full health.

Nick Ahmed is batting .316 with 3 doubles, 1 homer, 5 RBI and 5 walks in his last 15 games. His 66 defensive runs saved at shortstop since 2015 are the most in the NL, ahead of Addison Russell (59) and Brandon Crawford (57).

Jon Duplantier is making his third start of the season after pitching five innings in each of his first two outings. Duplantier allowed two runs on three hits and a walk while also recording seven strikeouts across five innings during a no-decision against the Dodgers last Wednesday.

In the third, Duplantier walked the leadoff hitter and then allowed a homer. The Diamondbacks came back to tie the game and eventually win it, but the walk and homer cost Duplantier a shot at his first MLB victory as a starter. In two career MLB starts, he hasn’t earned a decision and owns a 4.50 ERA. Overall, he is 1-0 with a 3.27 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and 23 strikeouts in 22 innings over seven appearances.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 5.30
  • Hits: 9.19
  • Walks: 3.06
  • Strike Outs: 8.75
Defense
  • Runs: 4.39
  • Hits: 8.70
  • Walks: 3.24
  • Strike Outs: 8.97

Why Bet on Philadelphia?

The Phillies have won 22 of their 34 games at Citizens Bank Park this season and their winning percentage at home ranks 6th in MLB behind the Dodgers (.781), Astros (.719), Rangers (.686), Twins (.679) and Cubs (.676). The Phils are averaging 5.24 runs per game at home which is 5th-best in MLB, behind the Rockies (6.30), Rangers (5.77), Dodgers (5.69) and Red Sox (5.59). Philly won 20 of their first 30 games at home this year which tied the Citizens Bank Park record for most wins through the first 30 games of a season (also 2011). The Phils have an 8-2-1 series record at CBP this season, their only series losses coming in a three-game set against the Nationals, April 8-10 and a four-game set against the Brewers, May 13-16.

Outfielder Odubel Herrera’s administrative leave has been extended to June 17. That’s the same date of his arraignment on charges of simple assault. Herrera allegedly left-hand print markings on his girlfriend’s neck and scratches on her arms after an incident inside the Golden Nugget Casino in Atlantic City, New Jersey on May 28. He’s almost certainly going to be suspended by Major League Baseball.

Diamondbacks vs Phillies is going to be a good one.

Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto leads the Phillies and all ML catchers with 2.5 WAR and has moved into the top 10 among all NL position players in WAR (Fangraphs).

It’s Jake Arrieta (5-5, 4.29) for Philly. Arrieta’s solid start is behind him. He was 4-2 with a 3.40 ERA through his first seven starts, but he is 1-3 with a 5.45 ERA in his last six. He has allowed nine homers in 34 2/3 innings after allowing five in his first 45.

Arrieta allowed five runs on seven hits and five walks across 4.2 innings during a no-decision against the Padres on Wednesday. He struck out three. In his start before, Arrieta yielded a season-high 10 hits, including three homers. In this appearance, he had trouble finding the strike zone, as he issued a season-high number of walks while also allowing a pair of home runs.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 4.91
  • Hits: 8.24
  • Walks: 3.73
  • Strike Outs: 8.64
Defense
  • Runs: 4.62
  • Hits: 8.92
  • Walks: 3.47
  • Strike Outs: 8.56

Diamondbacks vs Phillies MLB Betting Trends

  • Diamondbacks are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series
  • Diamondbacks are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games against Philadelphia
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games on the road
  • Phillies are 1-4 in Arrieta’s last 5 starts vs. National League West
  • Phillies are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games at home

Expert Final Score Prediction for Diamondbacks vs Phillies

Arizona Diamondbacks 4 – Philadelphia Phillies 6