Dodgers vs Padres

Dodgers vs Padres | Marquee Pitching Matchup on Tuesday

The marquee series of the early week around Major League Baseball is the Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres, two talented rivals who simply don’t like each other much. It’s a marquee pitching matchup on Tuesday as well between a pair of lefties who have each won at least one Cy Young Award. It will be a small total on the MLB odds.

How to Bet Dodgers at Padres MLB Odds & TV Info
  • When: Tuesday, 10 PM ET
  • Where: Petco Park
  • Probable pitchers (away/home): Clayton Kershaw/Blake Snell
  • TV: MLB Network; MLB Extra Innings
  • Stream/gameday audio: https://www.mlb.com/live-stream-games/
  • Opening MLB Lines: TBA (Dodgers will be favored, likely total of 7.5)
Why Bet on Los Angeles?

The Dodgers could get former NL MVP Cody Bellinger off the injured list for this game. L.A. only had Cody Bellinger in their lineup for four games prior to a hairline fracture in his left fibula that led to spending six weeks on the 10-day injured list. Bellinger then was active for only two weeks before being sidelined by left hamstring tightness. Tuesday is the first day he’s eligible to be activated. Also, Max Muncy could be activated as early as Tuesday as well. Muncy has been out since June 12 because of a right oblique strain that was considered relatively mild to begin with.

Los Angeles already has swept six teams this season after pulling another one off over the weekend in Arizona.

It’s lefty Clayton Kershaw (8-6) on the mound here. The three-time Cy Young winner and future Hall of Famer allowed two runs on eight hits and one walk with nine strikeouts over six innings in a loss against the Phillies last Wednesday. Kershaw struck out nine batters for the third consecutive game while scattering eight hits and allowing two runs over six innings.

Rhys Hoskins took Kershaw deep for a solo shot in the first inning. J.T. Realmuto plated the second run on a double to right field in the third. After allowing a leadoff single in the sixth, the 33-year-old finished strong by striking out the final three batters. He took the loss in this one as Zack Wheeler shut down the Dodgers lineup.

Kershaw owns a 3.36 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, and 104 strikeouts over 88 1/3 innings. Kershaw this season has 15 walks in 15 starts, and his 4.2-percent walk rate is the seventh-best in baseball. Kershaw’s walk rate has been 4.7 percent or lower in seven of his last eight seasons.

He will be making his third start against the Padres this season. Kershaw has struck out 15 over 13 innings and is 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA against the Padres.  Overall, he is 22-8 with a 2.04 ERA (62 ER/274.0 IP) in 42 career starts vs. San Diego.

Why Bet on San Diego?

Over the weekend, the Padres also swept an opponent – taking four at home vs. the Reds. It was the first four-game sweep recorded by the Padres since the 2011 season. Mark Melancon struck out one in the ninth Sunday to become the first closer this year to reach 20 saves. He’s compiled a terrific 1.74 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 27/12 K/BB ratio over 31 innings this season.

San Diego starters have averaged 4.8 innings per game this year, tied for the 2nd lowest average in MLB with Pittsburgh and ahead of just Baltimore (4.7 IP/G). No Padre starter has worked on short rest this season (less than 4 games of rest), and they’ve worked on long rest 50 times so far in 2021 (longer than 4 days of rest).

It’s lefty Blake Snell (2-3), a former AL Cy Young winner for the Rays, on the mound. Snell was lit up for seven runs in 3 1/3 innings by the Rockies last Wednesday. He got just five missed swings among his 75 pitches, and he didn’t locate anything well. Snell allowed multiple homers for just the second time in 14 starts this year. While long balls haven’t been a problem, he allowed multiple walks for the 12th time. The southpaw has now failed to complete five innings in six of his last eight outings. He has a 5.72 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 85:37 K:BB in 61.1 innings overall.

Snell has pitched much better at home than on the road this season and he dominated the Dodgers in Game 6 of the 2020 World Series while with Tampa Bay. Last year with Tampa, 24 percent of Snell’s fastballs were located in the lower half of the zone, this year he’s upped that frequency to over 42 percent. Opponents are hitting .324 with a .411 isolated slugging on fastballs located in the lower half off Snell.

“I don’t know if it’s a comfort deal or what it is,” manager Jayce Tingler said of Snell’s issues of late. “He’s a phenomenal athlete, and he’s got the ability to repeat (his delivery). I think he’s just kind of trying to battle to find that, whether that’s the release point, whether that’s something in the delivery. He’s just still working through it, and I’m confident it’s gonna happen. I know it’s gonna happen. But right now, he’s kind of grinding to find it.”

Snell has faced the Dodgers twice this year and didn’t get a decision in either, allowing a combined four runs and nine hits over 10.1 innings with 14 strikeouts and four walks.

Game Trends
  • Dodgers are 38-14 in their last 52 Tuesday games.
  • Dodgers are 27-12 in their last 39 during game 2 of a series.
  • Dodgers are 56-26 in their last 82 road games.
  • Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Padres are 4-10 in their last 14 Tuesday games.
Expert Prediction
  • Dodgers 5, Padres 3
 
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