MLB Expert Betting Pick for Sunday (May 7th)

Posted by Michael Hunt on Friday,May 5, 2017 11:13, EDT in

So how did you do betting on the Kentucky Derby? If you followed my recommendations here probably pretty well. There’s no reason to stop building that bankroll now! There are many games being played on Sunday, but there’s always a few that stand out within the rest of . Here are three MLB games on Sunday I recommend to watch and place your bets on.

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MLB Expert Betting Pick for Sunday (May 7th)

Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins

This is the best pitching matchup of the day and likely to have a total of 7 – and I’d recommend the under. Now, this is only if Red Sox ace lefty Chris Sale does indeed pitch. There’s some talk that Sale could be suspended for throwing a pitch behind Baltimore Orioles third baseman Manny Machado earlier this week. Both the Orioles and the Red Sox received warnings after Sale’s pitch hit the backstop in the top of the first inning of Boston’s 5-2 victory Tuesday at Fenway Park. But Sale might just get a fine since he wasn’t even removed from the game. Sale is an early Cy Young candidate at 2-2 with a 1.38 ERA and 63 strikeouts, which lead the American League. Sale has reached double-digit strikeouts in five straight starts — only Pedro Martinez in 2001 has achieved the same feat in Red Sox history — and has thrown eight innings in his past three. Sale is 8-6 with a 4.58 ERA in 16 career starts against the Twins. Those were all with the White Sox.

The current Cy Young leader in the AL? That would be Minnesota’s Ervin Santana, who goes here. Santana (5-0, 0.66) has the lowest ERA among starters, and kept it rolling against the A’s on Tuesday. The right-hander didn’t have his best command, but still tossed six scoreless innings. Santana is the second pitcher in franchise history to allow no more than one run in each of his first six starts of a season. Walter Johnson started 1913 with a streak of seven straight such starts for the Washington Senators (4 complete-game shutouts and three starts with one run.)

LA Dodgers at San Diego Padres

The Dodgers might be the biggest favorites on the board Sunday behind ace Clayton Kershaw, so the best value is to take them on the runline. Kershaw (4-2, 2.61) comes off a rare off start, giving up four runs (three earned) on eight hits while striking out five Monday. He was the losing pitcher of record in a 4-3 loss to San Francisco. Kershaw gave up home runs to Hunter Pence and Buster Posey. Kershaw had surrendered multiple home runs in only one of his previous 36 starts versus San Francisco. On April 9, 2016 at AT&T Park, Kershaw finished with a no-decision after allowing solo homers by Madison Bumgarner and Ehire Adrianza, though the Dodgers prevailed over the Giants that day in extra innings.

Kershaw never has back-to-back poor starts. He dominated the Padres on Opening Day. It’s Trevor Cahill (2-2, 3.60) for the Friars. Cahill was sharp in his most recent start, tossing six-plus innings without an earned run. He’s striking opposing hitters out at a 30 percent clip, well up from his career mark of 17. Opponents are just 2-for- 34 against his curveball this year.

New York Yankees at Chicago Cubs

It’s the conclusion to this much-hyped interleague series; the Yankees will again be without the designated hitter. This one is ESPN’s Sunday night game. The Cubs appear to have the huge pitching matchup and will be the choice behind 2016 NL Cy Young runner-up Jon Lester (1-1, 3.67). Lester picked up the win Tuesday against the Phillies. He pitched five innings, and allowed three runs (two earned) on four hits and five walks. He struck out five. Lester didn’t have great command in this one, as the five walks are a new season high and he threw 106 pitches (60 strikes) in just five innings. Lester has made 29 starts vs. the Yankees (second only to his 30 vs. Toronto), and has a career 13-6 record and 3.78 ERA against New York. He hasn’t faced them since June 28, 2014. Yankees youngster Luis Severino (2-2, 3.86) was hit hard by the Blue Jays in his last start, serving up two homers and a season-high five runs in 5 2/3 innings. He is one start removed from seven brilliant scoreless innings to beat the Red Sox at Fenway.