Giants vs Phillies MLB Odds, Preview & Prediction.

Giants vs Phillies MLB Odds, Preview & Prediction

Written by on July 30, 2019

Anyone for a San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies Wild-Card Game? Could well happen this October. First things first, though, as the teams open a series from the City of Brotherly Love on Tuesday night. The Phils are short favorites on the Mybookie MLB Odds.

How to Bet Giants at Phillies MLB Odds & TV Info

Why Bet on San Francisco?

The Giants were thought to be sellers ahead of the trade deadline a few weeks ago but have won 19 of 24 to get into playoff contention and now probably will keep all their key guys. The Giants have not lost a series since dropping two-of-three to Colorado at Oracle Park from June 24-26.

In-demand closer Will Smith gave up a two-run home run but held on Sunday, finishing off the Padres for his 26th save of the season. Smith gave up a one-out single to Franmil Reyes and was an out away from a clean inning before Wil Myers punished a center-cut fastball for a two-run homer to pull the Padres within a run. Smith regrouped to strike out Luis Urias, ending the game and earning him his 26th save in 28 tries this year. Smith owns a 2.72 ERA, 0.91 WHIP and 66/11 K/BB ratio in 46 1/3 innings this year.

Buster Posey continued his hot July with three hits and an RBI Sunday. After a few pedestrian months at the dish, the 32-year-old has found his groove in July, batting .303 with nine RBI and 12 runs scored. The good month has his overall line up to .264/.329/.396 in 76 games.

It’s Tyler Beede on the mound here. Beede (3-4) allowed four earned runs on 10 hits and one walk while striking out seven across 5.2 innings to take the loss Wednesday against the Cubs. Beede was burned by the long ball, surrendering three in his 5.2 innings of work. However, he still managed seven punchouts on the strength of 20 swinging strikes. He had been on a strong run of late, not allowing multiple home runs in any of his last seven appearances.

Prior to his outing vs. Chicago, Beede had allowed four runs combined in his previous three starts from July 2-19, posing a 1.66 ERA that span (4er, 21.2ip). In three starts vs. NL East opponents this season, Beede owns a 2.84 ERA (6er, 19.0ip). Beede has never faced the Phillies.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 4.34
  • Hits: 8.04
  • Walks: 3.06
  • Strike Outs: 8.78
Defense
  • Runs: 4.78
  • Hits: 8.72
  • Walks: 3.08
  • Strike Outs: 8.82

Why Bet on Philadelphia?

Shortstop Jean Segura was removed from Sunday’s game against the Braves with a bruised right shin. That was better news than the initial speculation, which was a right knee injury. Segura should be considered day-to-day. Left fielder Jay Bruce is on the injured list with a right oblique strain. He’s not likely to return for this series.

Since June 24, the Phillies have averaged 4.96 runs per game which is a third of a run higher per game over this stretch than their first 77 games this season (4.67 RPG, 360 R, 77 G). With 79 walks, Rhys Hoskins leads the National League and with 66 walks, teammate Bryce Harper ranks second. The Phils have not had a pair of teammates finish first and second in the NL in walks since 1915 when Gavvy Cravath paced the senior circuit with 86 and teammate Dave Bancroft finished in second with 77.

Giants vs Phillies is going to be a close one.

The last major league team to have the top two players in walks was the 2013 Cincinnati Reds (Joey Votto, 135 BB, and Shin-Soo Choo, 112 BB).

It’s lefty Drew Smyly on the mound. He will be rewarded with a second turn through the rotation after limiting the Pirates to one run while striking out eight in six innings in his Phillies debut July 21. Smyly could be one of the top candidates to lose his spot in the rotation, however, if the Phillies are active to bring in another starting pitcher via trade prior to Wednesday’s deadline.

The Phillies have had bullpen issues all year and are reportedly interested in trading for the White Sox’s Alex Colome. Hector Neris has shown flashes of being a potentially dominant closer for Philly, but he’s been less reliable lately with three blown saves over his last six opportunities. Colome has earned 21 saves in 22 opportunities, pitching to an ERA of 2.27 with 31 strikeouts and 12 walks. In 39.2 total innings, he’s allowed just four home runs compared to Neris’ eight in five more innings.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 4.75
  • Hits: 8.34
  • Walks: 3.61
  • Strike Outs: 8.80
Defense
  • Runs: 5.01
  • Hits: 9.12
  • Walks: 3.44
  • Strike Outs: 8.55

Giants vs Phillies MLB Betting Trends

  • Giants are 4-1 in Beede’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game
  • Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 Tuesday games
  • Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Philadelphia
  • Giants are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 15 of San Francisco’s last 18 games played on a Tuesday
  • Phillies are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia’s last 10 games against an opponent in the National League West division

Expert Final Score Prediction for Giants vs Phillies

San Francisco Giants 5 – Philadelphia Phillies 6

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