Mariners vs Red Sox MLB Lines, Betting Analysis & Game Pick

Mariners vs Red Sox MLB Lines, Betting Analysis & Game Pick

Written by on May 10, 2019

The Boston Red Sox are on fire right now and finally back at .500 for the first time since the second game of the season. The Seattle Mariners have cooled off considerably following an incendiary 13-2 start to the season. Now with these two teams heading in polar opposite directions, let’s find out where the best betting value lies in Game 1 of their three-game set on Friday night.

Mariners vs Red Sox MLB Lines, Betting Analysis & Game Pick

Starting Pitchers

  • Mariners RH Erik Swanson (1-3, 4.94 ERA)
  • Red Sox LH Eduardo Rodriguez (3-2, 5.40)

Why Bet On Seattle?

The Mariners have lost three of four and eight of their last 10 games overall including a humbling 3-1 loss to the Yankees on Thursday night. Domingo Santana hit a solo home run but that was all the offense the M’s could muster up as New York’s J.A. Happ and four relievers combined to allow just two hits. The Mariners also are facing injury problems to several of their key players, most recently, leadoff hitter Dee Gordon who was hit on the right wrist by a pitch from Happ. Gordon was none too pleased afterward.

“It’s the second time he threw up and by my head. So, you got to get the ball down. If you can’t throw that pitch, don’t throw it. I got a family,” Gordon said.

Right-hander Erik Swanson will start the series opener. The 25-year-old tossed six shutout innings in his last start against Cleveland after getting pounded for nine runs on 11 hits over four innings by Texas in his previous start. This wlll be Swanson’s first career start against Boston.

Why Bet On Boston?

Are the Red Sox a safe bet in the MLB lines for Friday?

Boston had a day off on Thursday as several members of the team went to visit Donald Trump (ugh) at the White House to celebrate the World Series title they won last year. Several members of the team chose not to attend, mostly because Trump is the most divisive president in U.S. history.

Manager Alex Cora was among those who skipped Thursday’s ceremonies but added that the team’s split on Trump won’t affect their season moving forward.

“People are talking about, ‘What’s going to happen in the clubhouse? It’s going to be divided,’” Cora told reporters on Wednesday following Boston’s 2-1, 12-inning win over Baltimore.  “That’s not the case. … We’re in a good place. There’s some guys that are going home tonight and some guys are going back home tomorrow night.”

Boston has won two straight, five of six and eight of their last 10 games overall. Reigning American League MVP Mookie Betts has raised his batting average from .200 to .290 over the past 18 games. Left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez will start the opener after limiting the White Sox to one run on six hits in 6.0 innings of a 15-2 blowout win in his last start. Rodriguez is 2-3 with a 4.50 ERA and 32 strikeouts against Seattle in his career.

Red Sox vs Mariners MLB Betting Trends

  • Seattle are 2-9 SU in the last 11 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle’s last 11 games
  • Boston are 5-1 SU in the last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games against Seattle

Expert Analysis and Prediction for Red Sox vs Mariners

Approximately 65 percent of public bettors are currently backing the BoSox and I believe it’s a ‘no-brainer’ of a pick, seeing as how Seattle is struggling like crazy and Boston has heated up in a big way to look a lot like the team that won it all last season. Seattle is 2-8 in their last 8 road games and 0-5 in their last five games against a left-handed starter. Boston has gone 4-1 in their last five games against teams from the AL West, 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter and a bankroll-boosting 21-6 in Eduardo Rodriguez’s last 27 home starts. Boston wins and cover the Run Line in the process.

MLB Betting Pick: Boston 6 Seattle 2

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