Marlins vs Mets

Marlins vs Mets – MLB Odds & Picks

Written by on August 17, 2020

Because of the unusual coronavirus-affected 2020 MLB schedule, the New York Mets will make just one visit this season to Miami. They open a four-game series there against the surprising Marlins on Monday with the visitors as favorites on the MLB odds.

How to Bet Mets at Marlins MLB Odds & TV Info

  • When: Monday, 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Marlins Park
  • Probable pitchers (away/home): Robert Gsellman/Elieser Hernandez
  • TV: MLB Extra Innings
  • Stream/gameday audio: https://www.mlb.com/live-stream-games/
  • Opening MLB Lines: Mets -148, Marlins +137 (total 9)
Why Bet on NY Mets?

The Marlins are the only team the Mets are over .500 against during 2020, taking two out of three so far. The struggles of Pete Alonso and Wilson Ramos are hampering the Mets’ ability to drive in runs through the first half of the season. Both are barely hitting over .200 and are not supplying any power when they do put the ball in play.

Shortstop and former top prospect Amed Rosario is struggling to a .197/.197/.288 line with just three extra-base hits (one double, one triple, and one home run), four RBI, eight runs scored, and no stolen bases.

Luis Guillorme went 1-for-2 with a two-run single in a loss to the Phillies on Sunday.  The 25-year-old struggled mightily with his bat in his previous chances, but he’s looked the part so far in 2020 with a .458/.517/.542 line in nine games.

Among players with 30 or more batted balls in play this season, Robinson Cano’s average exit velocity of 92.4 mph ranks 13th in the majors and seventh in the NL. He ranks third among active players in hits (2,586), RBI (1,281), total bases (4,194), extra-base hits (923) and in runs scored (1,239).

It’s Robert Gsellman on the bump for New York. The Mets began stretching Gsellman (0-0, 9.00) out as a starter last Wednesday, when he threw 33 pitches against the Nationals. He yielded three runs in two innings. Juan Soto tagged Gsellman for a three-run homer in the first inning, though the Mets did even more damage against opposing starter Anibal Sanchez in the bottom of the frame.

The start was his first since 2017, when he had a 5.19 ERA in 22 starts and three relief appearances. Gsellman should be good for around 45 to 55 pitches in his second start. He will have to build up on the job after missing the start of the season with a triceps injury, with the Mets down several pitchers in the starting rotation.

Why Bet on Miami?

The Marlins lost two of three at home over the weekend to Atlanta. Shortstop Miguel Rojas didn’t play Sunday. Rojas was reinstated from the COVID-19 injured list Saturday, but he didn’t see any use in the Marlins’ 2-1 loss later that day, either. The Marlins may just be working Rojas back in slowly, as the 31-year-old is eventually expected to settle back in as the team’s everyday shortstop.

On the bright side, the club announced postgame that all 18 players who were caught up in the COVID-19 outbreak last month have been approved for reinstatement. They worked out together at the alternate training site in Jupiter on Sunday.

The Marlins start Jordan Yamamoto (0-0, 9.82). Yamamoto surrendered four runs in 3 1/3 innings Wednesday against the Blue Jays. Yamamoto was given an early eight-run cushion, but he couldn’t work deep enough into the game to qualify for a chance at the win. He worked two scoreless frames but was then derailed by a pair of two-run home runs. The result was a short outing, and he failed to work efficiently by requiring 75 pitches to retire just 10 batters.

Yamamoto did solid work as a rookie last year, going 4-5 with a 4.46 ERA in 15 starts, but his velocity is well down right now.

Keeping the ball in the park has been an issue for Yamamoto, who has surrendered four homers in 7 1/3 innings this season. Last year at Marlins Park, he yielded five homers in 39 innings. Yamamoto’s career ERA has been much better at home (4.02) than on the road (6.00). In two starts against the Mets, he is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA.

Game Trends
  • Mets are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
  • Mets are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Marlins are 6-13 in their last 19 home games.
  • Marlins are 16-35 in their last 51 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Marlins are 31-68 in their last 99 vs. National League East.
Expert Prediction Mets 5, Marlins 4      
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