Marlins vs Rockies MLB Week 20 Odds & Expert Pick.

Marlins vs Rockies MLB Week 20 Odds & Expert Pick

Written by on August 16, 2019

While every team in the MLB is measured in wins and losses, there is usually more to the story of a season than just that final record. The reality of life in professional sports is that every team enters the new season with a certain level of expectation placed upon them. We are all very well aware of which teams should be competing for a division crown and a Worlds Series and which teams are likely to be competing for the worst record in baseball. With that in mind, the Miami Marlins are right where we expected them to be this season, which is sitting at the bottom of the NL East.

On the flip side, the Colorado Rockies have seriously underwhelmed and are now playing meaningless games at a time when a lot of folks believed they might be in the thick of a playoff hunt. While this is essentially a meaningless series, there is still the matter of pride to be taken care of in the closing weeks of the season. The Rockies are favored by 1 ½, with the run total set at a lofty 12 ½.

Marlins vs Rockies MLB Week 20 Odds & Expert Pick

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Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 30°C/86°F
  • Humidity: 21%
  • Precipitation: 6%
  • Cloud Cover: 46%
  • Wind: 8 mph NE
  • Stadium Type: Open

Why bet on the Miami Marlins?

As we mentioned earlier, the Marlins are right where we expected them to be, sitting at 45-75 and dead last in the NL East. As you look at their stats for this season, the one thing that immediately jumps out is that they have a winning record versus teams from the West, going 12-11 in those games. In their 4 previous meetings with the Rockies this season, things have ended in a 2-2 split. While their overall record is not quite the worst in the league, their road record is right there.

Their 20 wins away from home is the worst in the MLB and just one better than the worst team in the league, the Detroit Tigers. As a road dog, the Marlins are just 18-36 ATS. They will have Sandy Alcantara (4-10, 4.44 ERA) on the mound here.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 3.61
  • Hits: 8.08
  • Walks: 2.32
  • Strike Outs: 9.00

Defense

  • Runs: 4.80
  • Hits: 8.14
  • Walks: 3.72
  • Strike Outs: 8.69

Why bet on the Colorado Rockies?

The Colorado Rockies have had a nightmare season and seem unable to do anything that would have them finish things on a positive note. Overall, they are sitting at 54-67 on the season, which has them rooted to the bottom of the NL West, but they are also a mere 3-7 in their last 10 games.

Marlins vs Rockies is going to be a close one.

While the Rockies do have a winning record at home at 30-29, they are in danger of falling below .500 in their own ballpark after going just 4-9 in their last 13 games at home. Where Colorado has been a decent bet is against the spread as a home favorite, as they come into this one at 23-16 ATS in those games. They will have Jon Gray (10-8, 4.06 ERA) in as the starter here.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 5.29
  • Hits: 9.41
  • Walks: 2.94
  • Strike Outs: 9.23

Defense

  • Runs: 5.88
  • Hits: 9.77
  • Walks: 3.46
  • Strike Outs: 8.01

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Marlins vs Rockies MLB Betting Trends

  • Marlins are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami’s last 7 games against an opponent in the National League
  • Rockies are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games this season
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado’s last 6 games played on a Friday
  • Rockies are 17-25 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season
  • Alcantara is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.500
  • Gray is 2-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.400

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Marlins vs Rockies

The run total for this one strikes me as a little high, and with the Rockies seeing 5 of their last 6 Friday games go UNDER, I think that would be the ideal way to go here. The Rockies get the win and cover, too.

Score: Miami Marlins 3 – Colorado Rockies 7

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