New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Prediction

Posted by D.Zamzack on Friday,May 12, 2017 10:16, EDT in

The New York Mets just can’t get a break this season. Most of their best players have either been injured, struggled or appeared in the tabloids for the wrong reason. New York plays Game 2 of a three-game set in Milwaukee on Saturday, with the Brewers likely as slight favorites in the MLB betting odds for this game.

Mets at Brewers MLB Odds & TV Info

When: Saturday, May 13, 7:10 PM ET
Where: Miller Park, Milwaukee
Probable pitchers (away/home): Robert Gsellman/Zach Davies
TV: MLB Extra Innings
Stream: MLB.tv
Radio: MLB Game Day
Opening MLB Lines: Brewers -1.5

Why Bet On NY Mets?

Let’s start with the bad news first: Mets closer Jeurys Familia, who was nearly unhittable last year, could be done for the season. He has been diagnosed with an arterial clot in his right shoulder and will get a second opinion to see if surgery is necessary. If so, his season is over.

Familia, 27, blew a save on Wednesday, allowing four runs in the top of the ninth inning as the Mets fell to the San Francisco Giants. It was third consecutive day he had pitched. Familia, who had a career-high 51 saves last season, is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA and three saves. He has struggled to get going this season after serving a 15-game suspension under the MLB domestic violence policy. In 2012, then-Mets pitcher Dillon Gee, who was similarly diagnosed with a blood clot in his shoulder needed surgery. Gee missed the rest of the season.

Mets vs Brewers MLB Betting odds

On the bright side, the Mets should get back first baseman Lucas Duda for this series. Duda hasn’t seen any big league action since April 19 due to a hyperextended left elbow. He suffered a minor setback almost two weeks ago. In 13 games prior to going down, Duda recording four home runs and seven RBIs while slashing .238/.360/.571 with a career-high .382 wOBA across 50 plate appearances. Duda might not get his job back because TJ Rivera is hitting so well. He’s batting .381 with a home run, seven doubles, seven RBIs and nine runs scored in his last 11 games.

It’s Robert Gsellman (2-2) on the mound here. Gsellman held the Marlins to three runs on eight hits over five innings in a win Saturday. Gsellman still wasn’t at his best, allowing a pair of homers among the Marlins’ eight hits, but he battled to pick up his second consecutive win. It’s been a struggle for the 23-year-old in the early weeks, as he owns a 6.54 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in 31 2/3 innings of work.  Gsellman will be making his first career appearance against the Brewers.

Why Bet On Milwaukee?

Well, Gsellman is struggling. But the Brewers will be without one of their best players as outfielder Ryan Braun is headed to the DL. He left Wednesday’s contest with what was originally called calf tightness, but the issue at hand seems to be more serious than initially expected.  One of the new parts of the CBA signed during the offseason involved changing the 15-day DL to a 10-day disabled list, shortening the time a player must spend on the DL when placed on it. It allowed teams more flexibility when dealing with injuries, as placing a player on it doesn’t restrict them as much as it had in the past.

That injury could torpedo a potential trade of Braun to the LA Dodgers. On Sunday, Braun earns his 10-and-5 rights (10 years of MLB service, including five in a row with the same team, means a player earns a full no-trade clause automatically).  The Brewers have been shopping him since at least last year’s trade deadline, and at one point there was talk about a Braun for Yasiel Puig trade with the Dodgers.

Braun has said he doesn’t anticipate the 10-and-5 rights changing anything with regards to a trade possibility. Braun already has a limited no-trade clause that allows him to block deals to 24 teams. The teams he can be traded to without his permission are the Dodgers, Angels, Giants, Padres, Diamondbacks, and Marlins.

It’s young Zach Davies on the mound here. Davies held the Pirates to two earned runs over 5 2/3 innings last Sunday for his third win. Both of those runs came on a homer by Pirates outfielder Jose Osuna in the bottom of the sixth inning. Davies was otherwise sharp, yielding just four total hits and striking out seven to move to 3-2 on the year. He currently has a 5.60 ERA, but that number is dropping fast.

Davies will try to build on his success vs. the Mets. The 24-year-old has faced them twice in his career, going 1-0 with a 3.18 ERA while striking out 12 in 11 1/3 innings. Two of the four earned runs he’s allowed against them have come via the HR.

Expert Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers

Gsellman isn’t trustworthy right now so lean the Brewers even without Braun’s bat.