Mets vs Braves MLB Odds & Pick for Wednesday Night.

Mets vs Braves MLB Odds & Pick for Wednesday Night

Written by on August 14, 2019

At this late stage of the season, there is no worse place to be than outside the playoff spots in both leagues. This is especially true when the teams out in front are continuing to pick up wins. There is only so much time left in the season, which places some real pressure on the teams currently in the chasing pack. The best opportunity that those teams have is to make the most of their series against the teams that are currently sitting ahead of them.

The National League Wild Card race is an absolute mess right now, with a bunch of teams all vying for the two available spots. The New York Mets had that opportunity this week, starting things off with a series against the NL East Division-leading Atlanta Braves. It has not gone well for the Mets thus far, though, and they head into the Wednesday game looking to salvage something from the final two games in this series. It is the Braves who come into this one favored by 1 ½, with the run total set at 10.

Mets vs Braves MLB Odds & Pick for Wednesday Night

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Why bet on the New York Mets?

The New York Mets have been one of the hottest teams in the league over the past month or so, hauling themselves from relative obscurity to back in the thick of the playoff hunt. The Mets are 9 games back of the Braves in the NL East after losing 5-3 to Atlanta on Tuesday night. That is a big lead to overcome, which is why the Mets will be focusing squarely on the Wild Card, where they are currently sitting 2 games out of the final spot.

Despite now having lost 2 games in a row, the Mets are still an impressive 8-2 in the last 10 games. If they want to get into the postseason, though, they are going to need to improve upon their 27-37 SU record on the road. As a road dog, the Mets are 22-17 ATS. They will have Steven Matz (7-7, 4.49 ERA) on the mound.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 4.82
  • Hits: 8.80
  • Walks: 3.17
  • Strike Outs: 8.78

Defense

  • Runs: 4.72
  • Hits: 8.79
  • Walks: 3.25
  • Strike Outs: 9.30

Why bet on the Atlanta Braves?

The Atlanta Braves have seen the teams sitting below them in the division all go on solid runs that get them in the battle for playoff positioning, but through it all, Atlanta has continued to win and maintain a decent lead. As it stands right now, the Braves are 71-50 on the season, which is good enough to give them a 6-game lead at the top of the East.

Mets vs Braves should be a close victory for Atlanta.

With their win over the Mets on Tuesday night, the Braves are now winners of back to back games and 6 of their last 10. Atlanta has actually been better on the road this season, but they are still 33-25 SU at home. As a home favorite, the Braves are 21-30 ATS. It will be Dallas Keuchel (3-5, 4.83 ERA) who gets the start in this one.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 5.39
  • Hits: 9.13
  • Walks: 3.67
  • Strike Outs: 8.90

Defense

  • Runs: 4.88
  • Hits: 8.88
  • Walks: 3.66
  • Strike Outs: 8.54

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Mets vs Braves MLB Betting Trends

  • Mets are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Mets’ last 15 games played on a Wednesday
  • Braves are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Mets
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 7 games against an opponent in the National League
  • Mets are 24-36 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season
  • Braves are 71-50 against the money line in all games this season
  • Matz is 5-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.61 and a WHIP of 1.166

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Mets vs Braves

These two will meet 8 more times before the season comes to a close, and it is the Braves who have had the best of the previous meeting, going 7-4 in the regular-season series. I like the Braves to get the win again tonight.

Score: New York Mets 4 – Atlanta Braves 5

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