Mets vs Dodgers MLB Lines, Betting Preview & Expert Pick

Mets vs Dodgers MLB Lines, Betting Preview & Expert Pick

Written by on May 28, 2019

The New York Mets and L.A. Dodgers battle it out on Tuesday night in the second game of a 4-game series. The Dodgers won on Monday. Will the Mets exact revenge on May 28? Check out MLB betting odds, analysis, and a free pick for Dodgers-Mets on Tuesday night.

Mets vs Dodgers MLB Lines, Betting Preview & Expert Pick

  • When: Tuesday, May 28 at 10:10pm ET
  • Where: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Radio: Mets / Dodgers
  • Live Stream: MLB.tv
  • Moneyline Odds: Dodgers -210
  • Over/Under Total Odds:  8

Why New York Mets are a good bet at +175?

The Mets lost 9-5 to the Dodgers on Monday night. They have a chance to turn things around on Tuesday because they start one of their better pitchers, Steven Matz. The May 28 starter has a 3.63 ERA. His WHIP is a decent 1.37.

Matz really worked the Washington Nationals in his last. Even though he allowed 10 hits, he only allowed a single earned run in 6 innings. He struck out 7. Versus the Dodgers, Matz has thrown well. The Dodgers bat .265 against Matz from 49 at-bats. He’s struck out 18 Dodgers. With Matz on the mound, the Mets can upset LAD on Tuesday night.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Runs/G: 4.60
  • BA: .243
  • OPS: .727
  • HR: 65
  • SB: 18
Defense:
  • ERA: 4.43
  • WHIP: 1.35
  • KS: 490
  • Quality Starts: 21
  • Errors: 38

Why L.A. Dodgers are a good bet at -210?

Should you bet on the Dodgers on Tuesday vs the Mets?

The Dodgers counter Matz with ageless starter Rich Hill. Now 39-years-old, Hill is having one of the best seasons of his career. His ERA is 2.67. His WHIP is 1.07. In his last 2 starts, versus the Cincinnati Reds and Tampa Bay Rays, Hill threw a combined 12 innings and gave up only 1 earned run off a combined 7 hits.

The New York Mets hit .246 against Hill in 57 at-bats. There’s a chance Hill controls the Mets from the outset. The Dodgers are in good hands with Rich Hill on the mound tonight.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Runs/G: 5.38
  • BA: .258
  • OPS: .802
  • HR: 81
  • SB: 19
Defense:
  • ERA: 3.52
  • WHIP: 1.09
  • KS: 459
  • Quality Starts: 29
  • Errors: 25

MLB Betting Trends for Mets vs Dodgers

  • Mets are 4-1 in Matz’s last 5 starts versus the NL West
  • Mets are 8-3 in Matz’s last 11 starts
  • Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 road games versus a left-handed starters
  • Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game
  • Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win
  • Dodgers are 10-2 in Hill’s last 12 starts on grass

Mets vs Dodgers MLB Betting Analysis

The Dodgers have won 4 in a row heading into this matchup. Los Angeles leads the NL West by 8 games. They swept the Pittsburgh Pirates over the weekend before beating the Mets on Monday night.

Although Los Angeles handled NYM yesterday, beating the Mets on Tuesday could pose a much bigger challenge. The Dodgers’ bullpen ranks twenty-second in MLB. Hill has great stats. He doesn’t throw past inning 6, though. In his last start, he threw great against Tampa. Once the Dodgers went to their BP, things fell apart. Tampa Bay beat LAD 8-1.

Unless Matz doesn’t have his control, he should throw well enough to put New York into a good position to win this in the later innings. The New York Mets are a good play at great underdog odds.

MLB Free Pick:  Mets +175

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