Mets vs Phillies MLB Betting Lines & Expert Pick.

Mets vs Phillies MLB Betting Lines & Expert Pick

Written by on June 27, 2019

Here’s a Mybookie Sportsbook prop idea: Which manager is fired first, the Mets’ Mickey Callaway or Phillies’ Gabe Kapler? Both are on the hot seat and have gotten votes of confidence from their bosses, which are never a good thing. They close a series in Philly on Thursday afternoon with the Phils favored on the MLB Lines behind Aaron Nola.

How to Bet Mets at Phillies MLB Odds & TV Info

Why Bet on NY Mets?

The Mets have won the season series vs. the Phillies seven straight years dating to 2012. It’s the longest streak of consecutive season-series wins vs. one team in team history. The Mets have won 22 of their last 29 series vs. the Phillies but aren’t likely to here.

Stud rookie Pete Alonso has eight homers this month, tied for the most in the NL, Michael Conforto and Todd Frazier have six home runs this month, tied for 13th in the NL.

Been a rough week for this franchise with Manager Mickey Callaway in a profane confrontation with a reporter on Sunday and starting pitcher Jason Vargas threatening to beat up said reporter. The Mets forced Callaway to apologize, although he didn’t really. Both he and Vargas were fined. Then, news broke that Mets GM Brodie Van Wagenen has dictated in-game moves either from his perch above Citi Field or even at home while watching the Mets on TV.

It will be a freaking miracle if Callaway makes it through this season. He’s a dead man walking. He already has been ridiculed for some of his decisions and it’s no secret that Callaway has an inability to communicate with players, namely Robinson Cano as well as pitchers Noah Syndergaard, Jeurys Familia, and most-recently Seth Lugo.

Mets starter Zack Wheeler (6-5) earned the win Saturday against the Cubs by allowing one run on five hits across seven innings. He struck out five and walked one. Wheeler dominated at Wrigley Field through the first six innings, but he lost the shutout in the seventh when he induced a double play with the bases loaded.

The 29-year-old gave up 14 runs (nine earned) in his previous two starts, so it was a much-needed bounce-back performance. After feeling like he has begun throwing the ball better over his last two starts, Wheeler finally saw the results. His ERA dropped to 4.69 along with his 1.30 WHIP, and he’s fanned 108 hitters with 29 walks in his 101 1/3 innings.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 2.36
  • Hits: 4.35
  • Walks: 1.65
  • Strike Outs: 4.41
Defense
  • Runs: 2.54
  • Hits: 4.41
  • Walks: 1.66
  • Strike Outs: 4.49

Why Bet on Philadelphia?

The Phillies reached their high point May 29. That night’s 11-4 win over the Cardinals put the Phillies 11 games over .500 and 3.5 games up on second-place Atlanta. Since then, the Phillies have gone into a free-fall to find themselves well behind Atlanta.

Hector Neris allowed a couple of baserunners but hung on for a save Tuesday against the Mets. Neris permitted a leadoff double and one-out walk but induced a strikeout and a groundout to strand the potential tying run. The Phillies closer suffered his first blown save of the season earlier this month in Atlanta but has bounced back with two straight scoreless outings. The bullpen, which was once thought to be a strength of this team going into the season, has seen injury after injury on their way to ranking 10th in the National League with a 4.67 ERA.

The lineup is struggling as a whole. So far in June, only Bryce Harper, Rhys Hoskins, and Scott Kingery have an OBP above the MLB average of .322. Third baseman Maikel Franco has embodied the Phillies’ offensive collapse. He was red-hot the first four games of the year but is hitting below .200 since.

Mets vs Phillies is going to be a close one.

Philly’s Aaron Nola (6-2) was saddled with the loss after yielding one run on six hits and a walk while striking out 10 over eight innings Friday against the Marlins. Nola surrendered a solo home run in the second inning, but he managed to finish his outing with six scoreless frames. Unfortunately, his offense was unable to produce more than one run, and he’d ultimately get hit with his second loss of 2019. Nola now owns a 4.55 ERA and 1.45 WHIP with a 100:37 K:BB across 89 innings this season.

Nola has been up and down all season. He has a 5.55 ERA in four starts this month, after posting a 2.50 ERA in seven starts from April 25 through May 29. Nola is walking a career-high 9.5 percent of opposing hitters, giving up hard contact on 39 percent of batted balls — a career high by nearly 10 percentage points — and allowing home runs on 20.6 percent of opponents’ fly balls, the second-highest rate in the majors.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 2.35
  • Hits: 4.01
  • Walks: 1.82
  • Strike Outs: 4.18
Defense
  • Runs: 2.34
  • Hits: 4.46
  • Walks: 1.67
  • Strike Outs: 4.07

Mets vs Phillies MLB Betting Trends

  • Phillies are 4-1 in Nola’s last 5 home starts vs. Mets
  • Mets are 4-1 in Wheeler’s last 5 starts vs. Phillies
  • Mets are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets’ last 9 games against an opponent in the National League East division
  • Phillies are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games this season

Expert Final Score Prediction for Mets vs Phillies

New York Mets 3 – Philadelphia Phillies 4

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