Mets vs Phillies MLB Lines & Pick for Friday Night.

Mets vs Phillies MLB Lines & Pick for Friday Night

Written by on August 30, 2019

Both the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies are facing longish odds to earn a Wild-Card spot this year, and the NL East rivals open a crucial series in Philadelphia on Friday. The Phillies are favored on the MLB lines behind ace Aaron Nola.

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Weather Forecast

  • Sunny: 29°C/84°F
  • Humidity: 45%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Cloud Cover: 8%
  • Wind: 9 mph WSW
  • Stadium Type: Open

Why Bet on NY Mets?

Rookie Pete Alonso set the Mets’ all-time record for home runs with his 42nd of the year Tuesday against the Cubs. The team mark was previously held by Carlos Beltran and Todd Hundley. That he did it with more than a month left in the season is stunning. The 24-year-old Alonso will win NL Rookie of the Year honors. Alonso leads all rookies in homers, RBI, extra-base hits, total bases, runs, walks, slugging and OPS.

Amed Rosario has reached base safely in 37 of his last 41 games. He is batting .318 (92-289) with 42 runs, 17 doubles, three triples, six home runs, 27 RBI, 13 walks, 10 steals and a .809 OPS over since June 1. His .318 batting average ranks ninth in the NL in that span. Rosario is batting .400 (22-55) with nine runs, three doubles, three home runs, 11 RBI, a walk and a 1.029 OPS in the first inning this season. His .400 batting average in the first places him fourth in the majors and second in the NL.

Since firing 15 consecutive scoreless innings immediately after the Trade Deadline, New York’s Zack Wheeler (9-7) has gone 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in three starts. Opponents have produced an .894 OPS against him over that stretch, reaching base at a .378 clip.

Wheeler didn’t factor into the decision in Saturday’s 9-5 loss to Atlanta, giving up five runs (four earned) on five hits and four walks over six innings while striking out three. The right-hander tossed only 60 of 108 pitches for strikes and got tagged for homers by Ozzie Albies and Josh Donaldson in the third inning, and Wheeler hit the showers with the game tied 5-5. He’ll carry a 4.46 ERA and 156:42 K:BB through 155.1 innings into Friday.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 4.80
  • Hits: 8.98
  • Walks: 3.11
  • Strike Outs: 8.65
Defense
  • Runs: 4.69
  • Hits: 8.70
  • Walks: 3.20
  • Strike Outs: 9.31

Why Bet on Philadelphia?

While the Mets played Thursday night, the Phillies were off. They won two of three early this week at home vs. the Pirates, routing Pittsburgh 12-3 on Wednesday. Bryce Harper went 2-for-4 with an RBI, a stolen base and three runs scored Wednesday. He also walked in the contest and scored all three times he reached base. He has a .255 batting average with 28 home runs and 94 RBI through 128 games. He’s stolen eight bases in 11 attempts.

Harper also has 10 homers this month, the fourth time in Harper’s career he has reached double-digit home runs in a month – May of 2018 (10 HR), September of 2015 (10 HR) and May of 2015 (13 HR). Harper’s 10 homers this month are the most by a Phillies player in a month since Rhys Hoskins hit 11 in August 2017 – the franchise record for home runs during the month of August is 14 by Ryan Howard in 2006.

Mets vs Phillies should be a victory for Philadelphia.

J.T. Realmuto went 3-for-5 with a solo home run and two runs scored. The veteran backstop is in the midst of a hot streak right now and has .280/.334/.487 triple-slash with 20 home runs, 69 RBI and 81 runs scored on the season.

Phillies ace Aaron Nola (12-4) was handed the loss after surrendering three runs on five hits and a walk while striking out seven over seven innings Sunday against the Marlins. Nola tossed five scoreless frames before giving up three runs in the sixth inning, which was enough offense for the Marlins to emerge with the victory. He fired 65 of his 97 pitches for strikes in the 3-2 loss. The 26-year-old has now held the opposition to three or fewer runs in each of his last five starts.

Nola is 7-1 in his career vs. the Mets with a 3.28 ERA in 12 starts. He has 82 strikeouts in 71.1 innings and just 55 hits allowed.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 4.88
  • Hits: 8.50
  • Walks: 3.64
  • Strike Outs: 8.83
Defense
  • Runs: 4.94
  • Hits: 9.10
  • Walks: 3.30
  • Strike Outs: 8.40

Mets vs Phillies MLB Betting Trends

  • Over is 3-1-1 in Wheeler’s last 5 road starts vs. Phillies
  • Mets are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets’ last 6 games against an opponent in the National League
  • Mets are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games on the road
  • Phillies are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games

Expert Final Score Prediction for Mets vs Phillies

NY Mets 3 – Philadelphia Phillies 5

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