Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets MLB Spread Analysis

Posted by Eric Williams on Thursday,April 7, 2016 4:55, EDT in

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to pick up their first baseball betting odds win of the season when they square off against the New York Mets in their NL East divisional clash on Friday night. While the Phils know who their starting pitcher for this affair is, the Mets have a bit more uncertainty with scheduled starter Jacob deGrom in a wait-and-see mode as he expects a new family arrival any day now. No matter who ends up taking the mound for the Mets, the atmosphere will be absolutely electric at Citi Field in New York’s home opener.

How To Bet The Phillies (0-2) @ Mets (1-1) MLB Odds, TV & Game Info

When: Friday, April 08 – 1:10 PM EST
Where: Citi Field, New York City, New York
Starting Pitchers: Philadelphia: Jerad Eickhoff – R vs New York Mets: Jacob deGrom – R
TV: CSN, MLBN, SNY
Radio: Phillies and Mets
TV Stream: CSN
MLB Odds: TBA

Why Bet the Philadelphia Phillies

Because they’re completely desperate! The Phillies have lost two straight against Cincinnati to kick off the season while getting limited to two runs in both games, including Wednesday’s 3-2 loss. For this contest, Philadelphia will start right-hander Jerad Eickhoff and that may be a good thing seeing as how the young hurler went 3-3 with a fine 2.65 ERA in eight starts for Philly in his rookie campaign last season. The bad news is that Philadelphia has won just five of 19 games against their closest geographic rivals last season, including going 1-8 at Citi Field.

Acquired as part of the Cole Hamels trade, Eickhoff has an aggressive mound presence that has the Phillies’ coaching staff excited about his potential. The good news for Philly is that they’ve gone 5-2 in their last seven games against their National League East division rivals. The bad news is that Philly has also gone 29-65 in their last 94 road games and 9-24 in their last 33 games versus a right-handed starter.

Why Bet the New York Mets

Because they’re playing at home and will have a ton of adrenaline! The Mets bounced back on Wednesday to beat Kansas City 2-0 after dropping the first two games of their three-game set against the defending World Series champions. “We’re excited about getting home,” manager Terry Collins said. “We were very excited to bring our fans what they were looking for, and that is a World Series appearance. I know they’re excited. We saw it in Florida. We saw it in Spring Training — we had big crowds everywhere we went. So we’re anxious to get home.”

Now, the Mets are scheduled to start deGrom but his wife is due with the couple’s first child this week. So there is a chance that deGrom will go on paternity leave, with either Bartolo Colon or Steven Matz starting in his place. deGrom will head to Florida at a moment’s notice to join his wife if the baby arrives. The good news for New York is that they’ve gone 5-0 in their last five Friday games, 7-2 in their L/9 games following an off day and 16-6 in their last 22 during Game 1 of a series.

Expert Prediction and Pick

The Philadelphia Phillies are going down and they’re going down hard people! The Mets are a bankroll-boosting 20-7 in deGrom’s last 27 starts, 5-2 in the right-hander’s last seven starts against their NL East division rivals and 15-6 in deGrom’s last 21 home starts. Conversely, the Phillies are just 17-47 in their last 64 road games vs. a right-handed starter, 4-13 in their last 17 during Game 1 of a series and 0-5 in their L/5 games against deGrom.

Overall, New York is 36-15 in their last 51 meetings against Philadelphia and 13-3 in their last 16 home dates against Philly.

My final score prediction: New York 5 Philadelphia 2