Nationals vs. Mets

Nationals vs. Mets – MLB Odds & Picks

Written by on August 10, 2020

The New York Mets and Washington Nationals split two games in D.C. last week, and the NL East rivals, who don’t like each other much, open a four-game set Monday night in Queens. The Mets are short underdogs on the MLB odds.

Nationals vs. Mets – MLB Odds & Picks

How to Bet Nationals at Mets MLB Odds & TV Info
  • When: Monday, 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Citi Field
  • Probable pitchers (away/home): Patrick Corbin/Steven Matz
  • TV: MLB Network
  • Stream/gameday audio: https://www.mlb.com/live-stream-games/
  • Opening MLB Lines: Nationals -125, Mets +105 (total 8.5)
Why Bet on Washington?

The Nationals are on a three-game losing streak – sort of. Their game Sunday was suspended vs. Baltimore with the Nets trailing 5-2 in the sixth. It was called because the grounds crew had trouble unrolling the tarp when a shower arrived.

The game will resume at Baltimore on Friday, when the teams already were supposed to be opening a series, meaning the Orioles will try to finish off this three-game Nationals Park sweep while playing at Camden Yards.

Second baseman Starlin Castro leads Washington’s offense with 14 hits and a .357 batting average. That average is good for fifth in the National League. Dating to July 30 vs. Toronto, Castro is hitting .473 with two doubles, one RBI, one walk and four runs scored.

Southpaw Patrick Corbin (1-0, 3.00) is on the mound for Washington. He allowed three earned runs on eight hits and a walk while striking out eight across 5.2 innings to earn the win last Tuesday against the Mets. Corbin cruised through three innings, walking one and allowing one hit while fanning four.

The big blow against him came in the fourth inning, when he surrendered a two-run home run to Michael Conforto, though another run crossed the plate in the fifth frame when he allowed three consecutive singles. Corbin clearly didn’t have his best stuff as he generated only 11 swinging strikes on 102 total pitches.

Why Bet on NY Mets?

New York won its second in a row Sunday, 4-2 over the visiting Marlins. Andres Gimenez went 3-for-4 with three runs scored and a stolen base.

The stolen base is the third on the season for the 21-year-old prospect in as many chances. A bit of a surprise inclusion to the Opening Day roster because of his age and struggles as a prospect in 2019, Gimenez has performed well in somewhat limited duty with a .333 average and .796 OPS.

Seth Lugo fired a scoreless ninth inning to pick up a save against the Marlins. Lopez did walk one, but he was able to get through the ninth inning without allowing a run in the 4-2 win for the Mets. It’s the third save of the season, and the 30-year-old drops his ERA to 2.00 on the 2020 campaign.

Lefty Steven Matz (0-2, 5.65) is on the bump for New York, and he has been a big disappointment. Matz lasted just three innings and gave up five runs last Tuesday in a loss to the Nationals. Matz allowed two home runs for the second consecutive outing, this time solo shots by Howie Kendrick and Josh Harrison. However, he was also hurt by a lengthy rally in the third inning, when the Nationals collected four hits — three were singles — to tally three more runs. It was his shortest start since tossing 2.0 innings vs. Atlanta on June 29, 2019.

Matz was going to competing for a spot in the Mets’ rotation if things had gone as hoped this spring, but with Noah Syndergaard and Marcus Stroman down inured, the Mets have no choice but to keep running Matz out there. He’s now given up five homers in 14 1/3 innings and the Mets are 0-3 in his starts.

At home, though, Matz has allowed three earned runs or fewer in all but one of his last 27 starts at Citi Field, recording a 2.61 ERA (47 earned runs/162.0 innings) in that span. He has thrown a quality start in 20 of those 27 outings.

Game Trends
  • Nationals are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in New York.
  • Nationals are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings.
  • Over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York.
Expert PredictionNationals 4, Mets 3
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