New York Mets at LA Dodgers NLDS Betting Pick Game 2

Posted by Daniel Strum on October 10, 2015 in

After Jacob deGrom and New York Mets locked horns with Clayton Kershaw and the Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday Night, Saturday Night presents us with another thrilling pitching encounter between Noah Syndergaard (Mets) and Zack Greinke (Dodgers) in a Game 2 clash of their National League Divisional Series. Here is an early look at that Game 2 showdown in Los Angeles, complete with baseball odds predictions and free MLB betting picks for the matchup.

Sneek Peek at the New York Mets at LA Dodgers NLDS Betting Pick Game 2 & TV Info

Starting Pitchers: Noah Syndergaard vs. Zack Greinke
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California
Date: Saturday, October 9, 2015
Time: 9:07 PM ET

Mets at Dodgers NLDS Game 2 Preview and MLB Betting Analysis

The Mets last appeared in the playoffs in 2006, and in that season, they had to go through the Dodgers first to get to the NLCS. It was a dominant performance from the Mets who started at home in that 2006 NLDS, going on to excel over their Los Angeles rivals to sweep the series.

This year, the Mets are starting the series nearly 2,800 miles away from the comfort and support of the great New York City, and the Dodgers are keen to avenge that sweep from 9 year ago. Heading into Friday’s opener, the Mets have won 4 of their last 7 games against the Dodgers this season, including 2 of 3 at Dodger Stadium over the Fourth of July weekend. At Citi Field a few weeks after that, the teams split the four games. Saturday’s Game 2 at the Dodger Stadium will therefore be a crucial test for Noah Syndergaard and Zack Greinke, who will be leading their respective teams in the pitching department.

Remarkably, Syndergaard was good at home this year, posting a 2.46 ERA at Citi Field, but when playing on the road, it was a different case, as his ERA rose by about 1¾. Even so, the rookie played quite well in the games against the six playoff teams he faced–Yankees, Cardinals, Cubs, Pirates, Dodgers and Blue Jays—recording four solid starts with a 3.22 ERA, though the Mets still lost four of those games.

Most notable is his start on July 3 against the Dodgers, where he nearly equaled the effort of LA star lefty Clayton Kershaw, as he went six and allowed just one run and two hits. Neither of two pitchers figured into the decision that day, as the Mets plated a run in the ninth for a 2-1 victory.

It is because of such decent performances that the Mets are hopeful that Syndergaard will be able to hang with Greinke in their pitching duel this Saturday. But even with a lot of things going right for him in his first season in the Major Leagues, it would be sacrilegious to the baseball gods to say that Syndergaard and Greinke are in the same class, ‘coz they are far from that.

Starting from a statistical standpoint, Greinke is coming off a monster regular season where he posted a praiseworthy 19-3 record with an eye-catching ERA of 1.70. In comparison, Syndergaard compiled a record of 9-7 with an ERA of 3.36 for the season. Even more notably, Greinke, a frontrunner for the NL Cy Young Award, helped Los Angeles to victories in 23 of his 32 starts, solid enough for over nine units of profit, while the rest of his rotation dropped over 20 units.

The quality and pedigree of Greinke on the hill is affirmed by the fact that the Dodgers lost just three times from July when the star pitcher was on the mound. And even in those three losses, Greinke gave quality starts as the lineup produced a combined five runs. Moreover, in his two appearances against the Mets this season, he split the games, notably tossing seven shutout innings on July 4 to give his team the win over New York’s Matt Harvey.

In the offensive department, both teams bring a lot of quality, with the Dodgers getting paced by Justin Turner (.294, 55 Rs, 16 HRs, 60 RBIs, 5 SBs) and the Mets bragging off the highly-acclaimed services of trade-deadline acquisition Yoenis Cespedes (.291, 101 Rs, 35 HRs, 105 RBIs, 7 SBs). Nevertheless, this game is more likely to be decided by the pitchers rather than the hitters, meaning Syndergaard and Greinke will be the players to watch.

Key Betting Trends

  • The Mets went 4-3 in the regular season series against the Dodgers
  • The Dodgers went 82-60 in their last 142 games as betting favorites
  • The Mets went 18-38 in their last 50 games as betting underdogs
  • The Dodgers are 6-2 in their last 8 playoff home games
  • The Dodgers are 17-7 in their last 24 games following a win
  • The OVER is 24-6 in New York’s last 30 road games
  • The UNDER is 7-3 Los Angeles’ last 10 playoff games.
  • The OVER is 19-7 in New York’s last 26 games following a win.
  • The OVER is 16-5-2 in the last 23 meetings between the two teams

Mets-Dodgers Game Prediction

Even with Cespedes and his unit causing all kinds of problems, Greinke has enough quality to outshine New York’s offense and outplay Syndergaard to lead the Dodgers to a home win this Saturday, so lean on Los Angeles for the victory. For the total betting, a low-scoring clash looks most likely, but the runs should be able to total for 6-or-more, so we are backing an OVER as the best play here.