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NLDS Game 3: Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks MLB Odds & Expert Analysis.

NLDS Game 3: Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks MLB Odds & Expert Analysis

Written by on October 9, 2017

MLB Betting News
The Los Angeles Dodgers were beaten in the season series by their National League West rival Arizona Diamondbacks, but the Dodgers can sweep the Snakes out of the postseason with a victory in NLDS Game 3. According to the latest MLB Odds, Los Angeles comes in as the -1.5 favorite, but Arizona is not ready to say goodbye.Let’s take a look at both teams values through a very interesting analysis, I have no doubts that you will be very pleased.

Dodgers at Diamondbacks (2-0) MLB Odds & NLDS Game 3 Info

  • When: Monday, 10:08 PM ET
  • Where: Chase Field, Phoenix
  • TV: TBS
  • Live Stream: TBS Live
  • Radio: 101.7 FM (Los Angeles) / 99.9 FM (Arizona)

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 24°C/76°F
  • Humidity: 13%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Cloud Cover: 0%
  • Wind: 12 mph NE
  • Stadium Type: Retractable

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Recent Head to Head Statistics (Last 10 Games)

  • Runs: Dodgers 4.10 / Diamondbacks 5.80
  • Hits: Dodgers 7.20 / Diamondbacks 8.90
  • Walks: Dodgers 3.30 / Diamondbacks 3.30
  • StrikeOuts: Dodgers 9.70 / Diamondbacks 9.40
  • Over/Under: Dodgers 7-3 / Diamondbacks 7-3

Why Bet on the LA Dodgers?

  • Starting Pitcher: Yu Darvish
  • MLB Odds: -1.5 (-110)
The Dodgers won Game 1, 9-5, with ace Clayton Kershaw on the mound and then took Game 2 on Saturday, 8-5. It was a collective effort in that one as Chris Taylor, Yasiel Puig, and Austin Barnes drove in two runs apiece on a night when LA’s stars were quiet. Rich Hill went four innings and five LA relievers bridged the gap to Kenley Jansen, who earned the five-out save. Paul Goldschmidt (two-run shot) and Brandon Drury (three-run) went deep for the D-Backs.L.A. beat Robbie Ray in Game 2, which was notable because they failed to beat Ray in five tries during the regular season. Two of those were no-decisions, but he was 3-0 with a 2.27 ERA and struck out a ridiculous 53 batters in 31 innings. Ray walked four batters over the first three innings. He threw three wild pitches — the first postseason pitcher to do that since Milwaukee’s Yovani Gallardo in 2001.It’s Yu Darvish on the bump here. Darvish was obtained to be the No. 2 starter, but the Dodgers preferred to have Hill pitch at home. So Darvish pitches on the road, where he was 6-4 with a 2.44 ERA. This will be his first game in two weeks. Darvish recorded his 1,000th career strikeout on Sept. 8 vs. Colorado and became the fastest to reach the mark in MLB history by games (128) and innings (812.2).In 31 combined starts with the Rangers and the Dodgers, he went 10-12 with a 3.86 ERA (80 ER/186.2 IP) and struck out 209 batters (12th, ML) against just 58 walks, while posting a 1.16 WHIP. He held opponents to a .228 average, which ranked 13th best in the big leagues. He also limited right-handed hitters to a .194 mark, which was the seventh lowest in the majors. His.221 opponents’ average with runners in scoring position also ranked 13th lowest in the majors.Yasiel Puig and the Dodgers remain as the MLB Odds favorites against the Diamondbacks.Darvish finished the season strong, going 2-0 in his last three starts and posting a 0.47 ERA (1 ER/19.1 IP). He struck out 21 batters against just one walk while holding hitters to a .136 average (9-for-66). In his lone start against the D-backs this season on Aug. 10 at Chase Field, he allowed two runs on five hits in 5.0 innings (3.60 ERA), recording the win in the Dodgers 8-6 victory. He struck out 10 against two walks on 106 pitches.In three career starts against Arizona, he has gone 2-0 with a 2.75 ERA (6 ER/19.2 IP) and has posted a 0.97 WHIP. Darvish has struck out 38 against just two walks while holding Arizona hitters to a .230 average. In two career postseason starts with the Texas Rangers, he went 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA (7 ER/11.2 IP) and has struck out 11 while issuing one walk.

Why Bet on the Arizona Diamondbacks?

  • Starting Pitcher: Zack Greinke
  • MLB Odds: +1.5 (-110)
It’s ace and former Dodger Zack Greinke on the hill. Greinke lasted 3.2 innings and didn’t factor into the decision in the Diamondbacks’ 11-8 win over the Rockies last Wednesday in the National League wild-card game. He gave up four runs on six hits and a walk while striking out one batter in the 58-pitch outing.Staked to a 6-0 lead after cruising through the first three frames, Greinke appeared poised to put the game away for the Diamondbacks without much worry, but he completely unraveled in the top of the fourth to let the Rockies back in the contest. He allowed five of the first seven batters of the inning to reach base and allowed all but one to score before Andrew Chafin came out of the bullpen to put out the fire. Fortunately for the Diamondbacks, Greinke’s poor outing didn’t cost them the win. Over his last three appearances, Greinke has covered 11.2 innings and has surrendered 14 runs on 21 hits and five walks.The D-backs won the last 6 regular-season games vs. Dodgers, outscoring Los Angeles, 40-13. Arizona hit .273 with 12 doubles, 13 home runs during the win streak, with a 2.13 ERA and a .176 opponent average. Arizona set a club record with 32 home runs vs. Los Angeles this season, the most home runs hit vs. Dodgers since the 1958 San Francisco Giants (43). Paul Goldschmidt is a career .310 hitter with 28 home runs and 90 RBI in 111 career regular-season games vs. Dodgers.

Latest MLB Betting Trends & Expert Prediction

  • Dodgers are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Dodgers are 5-13 in their last 18 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Los Angeles is 5-13 in its last 18 playoff road games.
  • Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Greinke’s last 6 starts vs. National League West.
  • Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Greinke’s last 6 Monday starts.
  • Arizona is 21-6 in Greinke’s last 27 home starts.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona’s last 7 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Dodgers’s last 9 games when playing Arizona

Expert Prediction and Pick for NLDS Game 3

Arizona is a different team at home and Greinke is usually much better there. Snakes defy the MLB Odds to win and force Game 4.
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