NY Mets at Kansas City World Series Game 1 MLB Odds Pick

Posted by Daniel Strum on Tuesday,October 27, 2015 12:02, EST in

Ladies and Gentlemen, it’s the moment you’ve all been waiting for in the MLB betting lines—the 2015 World Series here! In what could be easily referred to as a blue affair, the Kansas City Royals, who are making their second consecutive World Series appearance, will be hosting NLCS Champions, the New York Mets, in a much-anticipated Game 1 of this year’s World Series. So without further ado, let’s take a closer online betting look at this spectacular matchup below.

Closer Look at the NY Mets at Kansas City World Series Game 1 MLB Odds Pick & TV Info

Starting Pitchers: Matt Harvey vs. Edinson Volquez
Venue: Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
Date: Tuesday, October 27, 2015
Time: 8:07 PM ET
TV: FOX
MLB Lines: New York Mets (-106) at Kansas City (-104) OVER/UNDER 7

Royals vs. Mets Game 1 MLB Betting Analysis

The Mets have been a good story in the playoffs, rising from a team that squeaked its way into the playoffs to a team that is now in solid contention for their first MLB gold since 1986. To get their World Series ambitions going, the Mets give the ball to Matt Harvey, who has won both of his games in this year’s playoffs.

In his 12.2 innings of work in the playoffs, Harvey has allowed just four runs and 11 hits, while collecting 16 strikeouts and averaging an impressive .229 batting against opposing hitters. Given his solid pitching numbers that have transferred from the regular season into the playoffs, the 26-year-old righty is bound to be a thorn in the flesh for the Royal hitters tonight.

On the opposite end, free-agent acquisition Edinson Volquez (1-2 with a 4.32 ERA in his three playoff starts) will be the man to start on the mound for the Royals. Unlike the Mets who are well-endowed with quality starting pitchers, Kansas City’s starting pitchers have been very wobbly, Volquez included. The free-agent signee racked up his second 13-win season in a row, thanks to a winning performance over Pittsburgh that saw him finish the regular season with a 13-9 mark and a 3.55 ERA. In the ALCS opener against Toronto, he had a decent outing, tossing six shutout innings, but he then crumbled apart in the sixth inning of a Game 5 loss.

The Royals can, however, have the hope of winning their first championship since 1985 due to the strength of their precision-hittingbatters and base runners. The Royals are hitting .271 this postseason, which is better than the Mets, who are hitting just .235 in the playoffs.

Pacing up the Royals’ offense is the trio of Alex Rios, Alcides Escobar and Ben Zobrist, who are all hitting over .320 in the playoffs, including Escobar’s batting of .386. And as far as hitting runs is concerned, Eric Hosmer and Kendrys Morales lead the team with 11 RBIs and 10 RBIs, respectively.

That said, the Mets won’t be that far off in the offense if their stars continue to light it up. Daniel Murphy has been a beast in the postseason, being the only player in the playoffs to hit a home run in six back-to-back games, including long balls against some of the league’s aces in Clayton Kershaw, Jake Arrieta and Zach Greinke.

Apart from Murphy (.421 batting 11 RBIs and 7 total home runs), the rest of Mets batters have been doing just as fine, with Yoenis Cespedes and Curtis Granderson each having seven RBIs apiece, and Travis d’Arnaud also contributing with 6 RBIs in the playoffs.

Key Betting Trends

  • NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • Kansas City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
  • Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
  • The Mets have won 4 of their last 5 games on the road this postseason.
  • Since losing Game 1 of the ALCS, the Royals have won all of their five games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 13 of NY Mets’ last 19 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets’ last 6 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games when playing NY Mets

My Betting Prediction

Going by the offensive talent in the two teams, the hitting matchup should be pretty much evened up. This, essentially, means that the pitching matchup is what is likely to deliver the win, and going by Harvey’s proven efficiency over Volquez, we believe the Mets will manage to eke out a close win over the Royals in a low-scoring affair that will help keep the total UNDER.