NY Mets at LA Dodgers NLDS MLB Betting Preview Game 4

Posted by Alex Murphy on October 13, 2015 in

In yesterday’s MLB betting lines and odds, we rightfully predicted that the New York Mets would beat the Los Angeles Dodgers at Citi Field and pay total bettors on the OVER line. It would, however, be a lie if we said that we—or even other baseball pundits out there—saw the inflated 13-7 blowout score over the Dodgers coming. But then again, Curtis Granderson, Travis d’Arnaud and Yoenis Cespedes, all who homered for NY in the win, are no newbies to lighting up the scoreboard, so it was not that big a surprise to see them take advantage of the electric home atmosphere to deliver a resounding win over the hapless Dodgers.

Armed with a 2-1 lead in NLDS, another psyched-up home crowd, and the motivation from yesterday’s win, can the Mets get the series over with, or will the Los Angeles team dodge the killer bullet in today’s MLB odds and live to fight for the series clincher in Game 5? Details about all that, and much more, are prepared for you in the succinct preview detailed below.

Taking a Look at the NY Mets at LA Dodgers NLDS MLB Betting Preview Game 4 & TV Info

Starting Pitchers:  Clayton Kershaw vs. Steven Matz
Series Standing: New York leads the series 2-1
Venue: Citi Field, Flushing, New York
Date: Tuesday, October 13, 2015
Time: 8:07 PM ET
MLB Lines: LA Dodgers (-155), NY Mets (+142), OVER/UNDER 6.5

After the all-out dominance by the Mets in Game 3, the Dodgers will definitely come into this game smelling blood and wildly motivated to get vengeance. And to give them the best chance of claiming the all-important win, the Dodgers will be giving the ball to their most prized weapon–three-time Cy Young Award winner Clayton Kershaw, who is 16-7 with a 2.13 ERA this season.

Kershaw was outpitched by New York’s Jacob deGrom during their NLDS opener last week, but he still had a decent effort, as he gave up just four hits and three earned runs in over 6 2/3 innings of work, while registering 11 strikeouts. That loss added further fuel to Kershaw’s already fired-up critics, who’ve been very vocal about his supposed inability to pitch well in the postseason like he always does in the regular season. Given he only has one victory to his credit in seven career playoff games, it would be hard to dispute that the 2014-15 NL MVP needs to have a big game worthy of his venerated status today.

Fortunately for the LA lefty, his 5-4 with a 2.60 ERA, a .94 WHIP and .204 opponents’ batting average over 16 road starts this season speaks of a man who is able to able to beat the road pressure and deliver a big game, something all Los Angeles fans will be counting on in this do-or-die clash.

As you’d expect, though, Tuesday promises to be a tough day for him, as the Mets will have a solid lefty of their own in Steven Matz (4-0, 2.27 ERA).  Matz will be the fourth rookie in NY Mets history to start a postseason game, an occasion he’d love to mark with a win.

In his lone career start against the Dodgers on July 5th this season, Matz had a veteran-like game, tossing six scoreless innings to give the Mets a flawless 8-0 victory. As if that isn’t enough to scare LA players and supporters, Matz played extremely well at home this season, going 2-0 with a 1.98 ERA in his two starts.

And, of course, there is still the elephant in the room in the Cespedes-led offense, which was incredibly efficient in yesterday’s win. Even with Kershaw playing his best, it’s doesn’t look like that offense will disappear in a 24-hour turnaround.

Key Betting Trends

•    LA Dodgers are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
•    NY Mets are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games
•    LA Dodgers are 2-6 SU in their last 8 road games
•    NY Mets are 2-4 SU in their last 6 home games
•    LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 overall games against NY Mets
•    NY Mets are 4-2 SU in their last 6 home games against LA Dodgers
•    LA Dodgers are 10-5 SU in their last 15 road games against NY Mets
•    The total has gone UNDER in 2 of Matz’ last 3 games
•    The total has gone UNDER in 1 of Kershaw’s last 3 games
•    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets’ last 7 games
•    The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Dodgers’ last 14 road games against NY Mets

LA Dodgers vs. NY Mets Predictions

With NY having a 5-1 overall record with Matz starting while LA having a 5-2 overall record in Kershaw’s last seven starts, this game will be a tossup that could go either way. Even so, we expect the Dodgers to win this game, mainly because we believe that Kershaw will be playing the game of his life as he seeks to prove his critics wrong, while also seeking to repay his coach’s faith in him. Plus, Matz is without-doubt a great pitcher, but he is not in the same class as deGrom, who outpitched Kershaw in Game 1. For that reason, Kershaw looks due for a win and cover that will end to his playoff blues. As for the game total, we expect a more-or-less similar rigid pitching performance like in Game 1, so an UNDER should be the smart pick.