The Baltimore Orioles and Cleveland Indians throw down at Progressive Field on Thursday, May 16. Baltimore will try to stop a 2-game losing streak. Cleveland hopes for a home win as a big favorite. Who takes it on Thursday night? Keep reading for MLB betting odds, analysis, and a free pick!
Orioles vs Indians Week 7 MLB Betting Odds, Preview, and Pick
- When: Thursday, May 16 at 6:10pm ET
- Where: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
- TV: ESPN+
- Radio: Orioles / Indians
- Live Stream: MLB.tv
- Moneyline Odds: Orioles +255, Indians -315
- Over/Under Total Odds: 8
Why Baltimore Orioles are a good bet at +225?
On paper, it doesn’t appear as if Baltimore Orioles starter Dan Straily has any shot against the Cleveland Indians on May 16. Straily has an 8.23 ERA, a 1-3 record and a 1.83 WHIP.
But the Tribe doesn’t hit well against Straily. They only have a .118 batting average. Straily’s struck out 7-of-34. He’s allowed 0 home runs. He’s only allowed 4 hits from those 34 at-bats. Eventually, starting pitchers often turn their form around. Straily could turn his around on Thursday night.
- Runs/G: 3.88
- BA: .236
- OPS: .685
- HR: 48
- SB: 20
- ERA: 4.58
- WHIP: 1.34
- KS: 365
- Quality Starts: 6
- Errors: 15
Why Cleveland Indians are a good bet at -315?
Cleveland starts their ace, Trevor Bauer. Bauer picked up the ace mantle because Corey Kluber is out of action until at least August. Bauer has a 3.02 ERA, a 4-2 record, and a 1.11 WHIP. He was great in his last start.
Even though Cleveland lost 2-3 to Oakland, Bauer struck out 10 and allowed 2 hits and no earned runs in 7 innings. If Bauer is on top of his game on Thursday, Baltimore will find it difficult to score any runs against him.
- Runs/G: 3.66
- BA: .221
- OPS: .657
- HR: 41
- SB: 29
- ERA: 3.58
- WHIP: 1.20
- KS: 386
- Quality Starts: 20
- Errors: 19
MLB Betting Trends for Orioles vs Indians
- Orioles are 9-42 in their last 51 game ones of a series
- Orioles are 0-4 in Straily’s last 4 starts
- Orioles are 1-4 in Straily’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game
- Indians are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day
- Indians are 10-1 in Bauer’s last 11 Thursday starts
- Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game
Orioles vs Indians MLB Betting Analysis
Cleveland is only 4.5 games behind the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central Division even though Kluber has yet to pitch. The reason for Cleveland’s competitiveness could be traced to the other starters on the roster.
The Orioles have only faced Trevor Bauer 30 times. They bat .267 as a team. That’s because Chris Davis has 4 hits from 13 at-bats. Bauer should be ready to roll against the O’s. When he leaves the game, Cleveland will throw relievers from the second ranked bullpen in MLB at Baltimore. Cleveland wins. If you don’t like the odds, back the Tribe on the run line.
MLB Free Pick: Indians -255