Padres vs Yankees MLB Betting Odds, Game Preview & Pick

Written by on May 28, 2019

Manny Machado reportedly badly wanted to sign with the New York Yankees as a free agent this past winter, but the Bombers never made him a major offer. Machado signed with the San Diego Padres and gets a chance to beat the Yankees on Tuesday in Game 2 of an interleague set. New York is solidly favored on the MLB lines.

Padres vs Yankees MLB Betting Odds, Game Preview & Pick

Why Bet on San Diego?

The Padres were the last team in the majors to play their first game at the new Yankee Stadium.

Outfielder Franmil Reyes (shoulder) was back in the Padres’ starting lineup Monday versus the Yankees. Reyes missed a couple of games after tweaking his left shoulder on a hard check swing. The Friars remain without star rookie shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr. He has been out since late April with a hamstring injury and his return is still up in the air. It won’t be by Tuesday.

Over the weekend, the Padres hit 11 homers in a three-game set in Toronto, including a franchise-record 7 on Saturday. The 11 dingers were the most in any 3-game series in Padres history, with their previous high being 9 vs. the Cubs in a 3-game set in 1995.

Manny Machado’s 11-game hitting streak on the road since April 30 is the longest of his career (previous high was 10 games), and it’s the longest active road hitting streak in the majors. He’s batting .349 in that time with 4 2B, 2 HR, 6 RBI and .581 SLG. His 22 homers vs. the Yankees are his most vs. any one club, and in his career at Yankee Stadium, he’s slashed .289/.344/.478.

It’s young lefty Eric Lauer on the mound Tuesday. Lauer (3-4) picked up the win against the Diamondbacks last Wednesday, giving up one earned run on four hits over seven strong innings, striking out seven and walking none in a 5-2 victory. The southpaw has bounced back from an eight-run blowup against the Rockies on May 10 with a pair of solid starts, as he’s given up just one earned run over 12.2 innings since the meltdown in Colorado. That lowers his ERA to 4.73 and his WHIP to 1.31 to go along with a 45:14 K:BB through 53.1 innings. He’s now reached the 100-pitch plateau in back-to-back starts.

Why Bet on NY Yankees?

Are the Yankees a safe bet on Tuesday in Game 2 vs the Padres?

The last time the Yankees and Padres met in New York (6/17-19/08), the only players on the Yankees’ active roster to have made their Major League debuts were LHP J.A. Happ (2007), Cameron Maybin (2007) and 1B/DH Kendrys Morales (2006).

Former All-Star receiver Dellin Betances threw a 25-pitch bullpen session on Monday. It was his first time throwing off a mound since spring training. Betances should be able to fast-track his rehab from here and could potentially join the Yankees’ bullpen around mid-to-late June. He has been on the IL all season because of a right shoulder impingement.

Shortstop Didi Gregorius (elbow) began a rehab assignment with High-A Tampa on Saturday. “My timing is not there yet,” Gregorius said of his hitting. “But defensively I’m good. Arm and everything feels good.” Gregorius figures to need all or nearly all of his 20 allotted rehab days, putting him in line for a mid-June activation.

The Yankees have won seven consecutive series (since 5/3) for the second time in the last two seasons (also 4/19-5/13/18), after not having done so since 6/10-7/3/11 (seven). Their last winning streak of at least eight straight series was a nine-series winning streak from 7/20-8/20/98. The Yanks are 11-1 in their last 12 series after going 1-4 in their first five. The only loss was a two-game sweep by Arizona from 4/30-5/1.

It’s Masahiro Tanaka (3-3, 2.94) on the mound. Tanaka allowed one earned run on five hits and a walk while striking out five across six innings Thursday against the Orioles. He did not factor into the decision. The one run Tanaka allowed was partially self-inflicted, as he allowed a leadoff single to Renato Nunez, who advanced to second base on a wild pitch before reaching third on a Tanaka throwing error. Otherwise, he was solid, holding the Orioles to only one-extra base hit while generating 16 swinging strikes on 95 total pitches. Early on this season, Tanaka has shown an improved ability to limit home runs by surrendering only 1.1 HR/9, helping him to a 2.94 ERA and 1.12 WHIP across 64.1 innings.

Tanaka has never faced the Padres. When facing a team for the first time, Tanaka is 14-4 with a 3.04 ERA (163.0IP, 55ER) in 24 starts. He has completed 6.0 innings in all but two of those starts and has completed 7.0 innings in 13-of-24…has allowed 2ER-or-fewer in 14 of those starts. Tanaka is 7-7 with a 3.48 ERA (111.1IP, 43ER) in 18 career Interleague starts. He has recorded a quality start in 12 of his 18 career starts in Interleague play.

Padres vs Yankees MLB Betting Trends

  • Padres are 1-5 in Lauer’s last 6 Tuesday starts.
  • Yankees are 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 Tuesday starts.
  • Yankees are 20-8 in Tanaka’s last 28 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Yankees are 5-2 in Tanaka’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Yankees are 34-15 in Tanaka’s last 49 home starts.

Expert Prediction for Padres vs Yankees

Yankees 5, Padres 2

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