The Philadelphia Phillies take on the New York Mets in a battle between division leaders on Monday, April 22. The Phillies have been everything MLB fans expected after signing Bryce Harper while the New York Mets are somewhat of a surprise. The Mets are favored to win on April 22, though. Will the home team get it done? Check out MLB betting odds, analysis, and a free pick for Phillies-Mets.
Phillies vs Mets MLB Week 4 Odds, Preview, and Pick
- When: Monday, April 22 at 7:10pm ET
- Where: Citi Field, New York, NY
- TV: ESPN
- Live Stream: MLB.tv
- Moneyline Odds: Mets -108 (total 7.5)
Why Philadelphia Phillies are a good bet at -101
33-year-old Phillies’ starter Jake Arrieta continues to defy logic. Arrieta’s known for working out a day or two before he must pitch. Somehow, blowing out his muscles that way hasn’t affected his control.
Arrieta has a 2.25 ERA to go along with a 3-1 record and a 1.11 WHIP. He threw 8 innings versus the Mets on April 17 and yielded only 2 earned runs off 6 hits. The Phillies won 3-2. If Arrieta throws like that on Monday night, the Phillies will win again.
- Runs/G: 5.75
- BA: .261
- OPS: .800
- HR: 29
- SB: 5
- ERA: 4.46
- WHIP: 1.38
- KS: 180
- Quality Starts: 8
- Errors: 13
Why New York Mets are a good bet at -108
Starter Steven Matz had been pitching well. In his season debut on April 1, he allowed only a single earned run from 6 hits. In his second start, he allowed 0 runs off 2 hits in 5 innings, and in his third start he allowed 2 earned runs off 4 hits in 6 innings.
Although he was awful versus the Phillies in his last start, he’s shown he can pitch a full 5 to 6 innings under control. If Matz is under control, he should throw well versus the Phillies.
- Runs/G: 5.50
- BA: .263
- OPS: .776
- HR: 24
- SB: 10
- ERA: 5.61
- WHIP: 1.56
- KS: 190
- Quality Starts: 6
- Errors: 14
MLB Baseball Betting Trends for Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets
- Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 road games versus a left-handed starter
- Phillies are 2-5 in Arrieta’s last 7 road starts
- Phillies are 1-5 in Arrieta’s last 6 road starts versus a team with a winning record
- Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 versus the National League East
- Mets are 5-1 in Matz’s last 6 starts
- Mets are 8-0 in Matz’s last 8 starts following a team loss in their last 8 games
Phillies vs Mets Final MLB Betting Analysis
The last game Steven Matz had against the Philadelphia Phillies was downright atrocious. He didn’t get a single out before Mets manager Mickey Callaway pulled him. Matz allowed 6 earned runs off 4 hits after giving up 2 earned runs. He also walked a batter.
Philadelphia should be confident heading into this matchup. However, they don’t respond when Arrieta’s on the mound in road games. They’ve also had trouble versus left-handers save for Matz in their past 6 on the road. The New York Mets and Steven Matz bounce back with a big win in this matchup.
MLB Free Pick: Mets -108