The Texas Rangers and Seattle Mariners battle each other in the final contest of a 3-game series on Wednesday, May 29. Both Seattle and Texas are well behind the Houston Astros in the AL West Division. Which team gets the win on Wednesday? Check out MLB betting odds, analysis, and a free pick for Rangers-Mariners.
Rangers vs Mariners MLB Odds, Betting Preview & Expert Pick
- When: Wednesday, May 29 at 3:40pm ET
- Where: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
- TV: ESPN+
- Radio: Rangers / Mariners
- Live Stream: MLB.tv
- Moneyline: Mariners -117
- Over/Under Total: 9 ½
Why Texas Rangers are a good bet at +108?
Texas listed starter Drew Smyly hasn’t had much luck this season. His ERA is 6.15 while he’s got a 1.69 WHIP. He’s also got a 1-3 record. Although it looks like Smyly could be in some trouble on May 29, there are a couple of reasons to believe he throws well.
Smyly has 35 strikeouts in 33.2 innings pitched. He’s averaging more than a strikeout an inning. Not only that, but the Rangers have responded when Smyly’s started. Texas has won 3 of Smyly’s last 4 starts. Finally, he heads into this game off his best performance of the season. Those things point to Drew Smyly and the Texas Rangers playing very well on Wednesday afternoon.
- Runs/G: 4.60
- BA: .243
- OPS: .727
- HR: 65
- SB: 18
- ERA: 4.43
- WHIP: 1.35
- KS: 490
- Quality Starts: 21
- Errors: 38
Why Seattle Mariners are a good bet at -117?
The Mariners started off hot. At one point, they were in first place in the AL West. It feels like those days happened in 2018. Now, the Mariners are 12 ½ games behind the Astros in the division.
Wade LeBlanc gets the call for Seattle on Wednesday. LeBlanc has had success against Texas batters. The Rangers only hit .224 against LeBlanc. Not only that, but he’s struck out 14 Texas batters from 58 at-bats. If LeBlanc pitches effectively against the Rangers the way he often does, Seattle will have a great shot of winning as the slight favorite.
- Runs/G: 5.38
- BA: .258
- OPS: .802
- HR: 81
- SB: 19
- ERA: 3.52
- WHIP: 1.09
- KS: 459
- Quality Starts: 29
- Errors: 25
MLB Betting Trends for Rangers vs Mariners
- Rangers are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series
- Rangers are 1-4 in Smyly’s last 5 starts versus the American League West
- Rangers are 3-9 in their last 12 road games versus a team with a losing home record
- Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 home games versus a team with a losing record
- Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 home games versus a left-handed starter
- Mariners are 1-5 in their last 6 games with Holbrook behind home plate
Rangers vs Mariners MLB Betting Analysis
This comes down to which starting pitcher has his best stuff working. It’s easy to go with the home starter, Wade LeBlanc. Seattle responds at home versus teams with a losing record.
Even though that trend points to a Mariners’ victory, Seattle is 0-3 in LeBlanc’s last 3 starts. Not only that, but the Mariners bullpen ranks twenty-seventh with a 5.34 ERA. If the Rangers run LeBlanc off the mound early, Seattle might not have anybody to help them get back into the ball game.
Texas isn’t a lock to beat Seattle on May 29. They’re the better choice in the matchup, though. Rangers win.
MLB Free Pick: Rangers +108