Red Sox vs Astros ALCS Game 5 Odds & Game Info

Red Sox vs Astros ALCS Game 5 Odds & Game Info

Written by on October 18, 2018

Boston has to get one more win to make it to the World Series. The Red Sox won’t be deterred with David Price starting on the mound. Will Boston leave Houston with another win over the Astros and make to the Fall Classic? Or, will Houston grab another game in the series? Check out our analysis and free MLB betting pick for ALCS Game 5!

Red Sox vs Astros ALCS Game 5 Odds & Game Info

  • When: Thursday, Oct. 18 at 8:09 pm ET
  • Where: Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
  • TV: TBS
  • Radio: Boston / Houston
  • Live Stream: MLB.tv
  • Starting Pitchers:  BOS – David Price / HOU – Justin Verlander
  • ALCS Game 5 Odds: Boston -556

Weather Forecast

  • Mostly Cloudy: 21°C/69°F
  • Humidity: 72%
  • Precipitation: 4%
  • Wind: 8 mph NE
  • Cloud Cover: 74%
  • Type of Stadium: Retractable

Why the Boston Red Sox are a good bet on the money line?

Even though the Red Sox won’t start Chris Sale, he had a stomach problem over the weekend that’s lingering, Boston’s got some options to take Sale’s spot in the rotation.

One of those options is David Price throwing on short rest. The Astros ran Price off the mound after only 4.2 innings in a 7-5 Boston win on Oct. 14. The Red Sox might be okay with a similar performance. After all, they won even though Price didn’t pitch all that well.

Another options is Eduardo Rodriguez. A regular season starter, Rodriguez has pitched from the bullpen in the postseason. He posted a 3.82 ERA during the regular season. But, the Astros bat .400 against Rodriguez.

The final option is for Boston to use Price, Rodriguez, and their bullpen to cobble together a team start. This could be the smartest option because it allows the Red Sox to take pitchers out at the first sing of trouble while saving Price and Rodriguez by pulling them after 2 to 3 innings.

No matter what Boston does, they’ve got options to beat back Astros’ batters on Thursday.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Runs/G: 5.41
  • BA: .268
  • OPS: .792
  • HR: 208
  • SB: 125
Defense:
  • ERA: 3.76
  • WHIP: 1.25
  • KS: 1,558
  • Quality Starts: 67
  • Errors: 76

Why the Houston Astros are a good bet on the money line?

Astros’ ace Justin Verlander starts Game 5. Verlander threw great in Game 1, giving up 2 earned runs off 2 hits in 6 innings. As well as Verlander pitched in Game 1, he could throw even better in Game 5.

Verlander allows batters to hit 2.06 against him on the road. At home, batters only hit .193. In the confines of Minute Maid Park, Verlander’s control should be much better than what it was at Fenway Park. He could dominate the Red Sox on Thursday.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Runs/G: 4.92
  • BA: .255
  • OPS: .754
  • HR: 205
  • SB: 71
Defense:
  • ERA: 3.11
  • WHIP: 1.10
  • KS: 1,687
  • Quality Starts: 97
  • Errors: 63

Red Sox vs Astros ALCS Game 5 Betting Trends

 
  • Boston is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Boston is 5-1 SU in the last 6 games
  • The total went OVER in 11 of Boston’s last 13 games
  • Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
  • Houston is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston’s last 5 games
 

Final MLB Betting Analysis for Red Sox vs Astros

Price, Rodriguez, a cobbled together pitching rotation versus Justin Verlander? That’s what we’re talking about, right? Verlander got into some trouble in Game 1, but he bounced out of it beautifully.

There’s no reason to expect him to suddenly implode at home in Game 5. During his career, Justin Verlander’s thrown better in the postseason than he has during the regular season. That was on display in his excellent start against Cleveland. It was on display again in Game 1.

He should shut down the Red Sox batters. Because the Astros should beat up Price, Rodriguez, or whomever else Boston sends to the mound before Verlander leaves the game, the Astros look like a great play on the run line.

MLB ALCS Game 5 Pick: Houston Astros run line  

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