Red Sox vs Yankees ALDS Game 3 Odds & Expert Prediction

Red Sox vs Yankees ALDS Game 3 Odds & Expert Prediction

Written by on October 8, 2018


The Red Sox-Yankees American League Division Series shifts to the Bronx on Monday with the series between bitter rivals tied 1-1. The Yankees are sizable MLB odds favorites for Monday’s Game 3 behind ace Luis Severino.
 

How to Bet Red Sox vs Yankees ALDS Game 3 Odds & Game Info

  

2018 WORLD SERIES ODDS TO WIN

 

Weather Forecast

  • Overcast: 19°C/67°F
  • Humidity: 81%
  • Precipitation: 12%
  • Cloud Cover: 86%
  • Wind: 9 mph E
  • Stadium Type: Open
 

Why Bet on Boston?


In the Sox’s previous 14 postseason series in which they were tied, 1-1, they went on to win 8 of those series and lose 6 of them. Most recently, the Sox were tied at 1 win apiece in the 2013 ALCS (vs. DET) and 2013 World Series (vs. STL). They won each of those series. This is the Sox’s 13th ALDS appearance, but only the 2nd time they have been tied at 1-1 after 2 games. In 1998 vs. Cleveland, the Red Sox won Game 1 and lost the next 3 games.
 
When the Red Sox have been tied at 1-1 in a postseason series, they have taken a 2-1 lead 5 times. In 4 of those instances, they went on to win the series (lost the 1946 World Series after leading, 2-1). When tied at 1-1 in a postseason series, the Red Sox have lost Game 3 nine times. In 4 of those, they came back to win the series (2013 WS, 2007 ALCS, 1986 ALCS, 1903 WS).
 
The Red Sox were 6-2 losers on Saturday vs. the Yankees. The postseason struggles for lefty David Price continued as he lasted just 1 2/3 innings, allowing three runs. The second batter of the game, Aaron Judge, crushed a Price offering to deep center for a solo homer. Price made it through the rest of the frame unscathed but yielded another solo homer to Gary Sanchez to start the second. He got two more outs but then walked Gleyber Torres and Brett Gardner — the Yankees’ eighth- and ninth-place hitters — before an Andrew McCutchen RBI single extended the Yanks’ lead and ended Price’s night. Price now has a 5.28 ERA in 18 career postseason appearances.
 
Red Sox manager Alex Cora said that he expects Price to be available in relief for the next couple of games. He isn’t lined up to start again in this series. First baseman Mitch Moreland was removed from Saturday’s game against the Yankees with a tight hamstring. It’s not clear if Moreland will play Monday. If not, it would be Steve Pearce.
 
It will be former Yankee Nathan Eovaldi here – it was to be Rick Porcello, but he was used in relief in Game 1 and now is lined up to start Game 4. Eovaldi, also a righty, was 6-7 with a 3.81 ERA in 22 appearances (21 starts) during the regular season. He made four starts against the Yankees, going 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA.
 

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 5.38
  • Hits: 9.27
  • Walks: 3.51
  • Strike Outs: 7.72
Defense
  • Runs: 4.01
  • Hits: 8.07
  • Walks: 3.20
  • Strike Outs: 9.62
 

Why Bet on NY Yankees?


Gary Sanchez hit a pair of homers, a solo shot and a three-run blast, to lead the Yankees to that 6-2 win in Game 2. Sanchez victimized David Price for a solo jack in the second inning, but it was a huge three-run shot off Eduardo Rodriguez in the seventh inning that broke the game open. The 25-year-old now has five career postseason homers in 16 games.
 
Aaron Judge went 2-for-4 with a home run and two runs scored in Game 2. Judge has three homers in three playoff games this year and is 7-for-12 overall. That’s obviously a good sign for the Yankees. Fellow outfielder Aaron Hicks said Sunday that he’s ready to return for Game 3 of the ALCS on Monday. Hicks said out the second game of the series after sustaining a hamstring injury during Game 1. The MRI on his hamstring came back clean.
 Red Sox vs Yankees ALDS Game 3 is scheduled for Monday. 
Outfielder Giancarlo Stanton is playing in his first postseason after 1,144 career regular season game. That was the second-longest drought among active players who had never reached the postseason (Seattle’s Kyle Seager-1,155 games).
 
It’s Luis Severino (19-8, 3.39) here. Severino will take the mound on normal rest after starting the AL Wild Card Game on Wednesday. During that outing versus Oakland, he tossed a scoreless four innings while allowing two hits, four walks and striking out seven.
 
Severino will make his sixth career postseason start. He finished with a career-high 19 wins, which were third-most in the majors behind Blake Snell (21) and Corey Kluber (20). Severino was eighth in the AL and 13th in the majors with 220K. He is one of three pitchers in Yankees history with multiple 200-strikeout seasons (also David Cone, 1997-98 and Ron Guidry, 1978-79). Severino is 1-3 with a 4.75 ERA (30.1IP, 16ER) in six career games (five starts) at Fenway Park.
 

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 5.26
  • Hits: 8.47
  • Walks: 3.88
  • Strike Outs: 8.77
Defense
  • Runs: 4.11
  • Hits: 8.05
  • Walks: 3.06
  • Strike Outs: 10.06
 

Red Sox vs Yankees ALDS Game 3 Betting Trends

  • Yankees are 4-0 in Severino’s last 4 home starts vs. Red Sox
  • Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York
  • Over is 4-1 in Severino’s last 5 home starts vs. Red Sox
  • Red Sox are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in New York
  • Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone over in 6 of Boston’s last 7 games
  • NY is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
  • NY is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone over in 8 of NY Yankees’ last 9 games
 

Expert MLB Betting Prediction for Red Sox vs Yankees


Go Yankees on the runline.
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