Red Sox vs Yankees ALDS Game 4 Odds & Prediction

Red Sox vs Yankees ALDS Game 4 Odds & Prediction

Written by on October 8, 2018


The New York Yankees battle the rival Boston Red Sox again in MLB ALDS Game 4 on Tuesday, Oct. 9. The Red Sox hope Rick Porcello can stop the Yankees and advance to the next round, after giving the Yanks a beat down in Game 3. Meanwhile, New York sends pitcher CC Sabathia to the mound to handle their most hated rivals. Who takes Game 4? Check out our betting analysis and a free pick for Red Sox at Yankees!

Red Sox vs Yankees ALDS Game 4 Odds & Prediction

  • When: Tuesday, Oct. 9 at 8:07 pm ET
  • Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
  • TV: TBS
  • Radio: Boston / New York
  • Live Stream: MLB.tv
  • Starting Pitchers:   BOS – Rick Porcello / NYY – CC Sabathia
  • ALDS Game 4 Odds: TBA

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 23°C/73°F
  • Humidity: 82%
  • Precipitation: 7%
  • Wind: 8 mph S
  • Cloud Cover: 42%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why the Boston Red Sox are a good bet on the money line?


Boston starter Rick Porcello has the playoff experience and experience against NYY to shut down the Yankees’ batting line-up. Porcello’s 4.28 ERA doesn’t look like much until you realize that he went 17-7 during the regular season. One thing’s he’s great at doing is keeping base runners off the base paths. Porcello has a 1.18 WHIP. Any WHIP at 1.20 or below is fantastic.

Porcello’s also pitched well versus New York. The Yankees bat .218 against him while he’s struck out 51 batters from 261 at-bats.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Runs/G: 5.41
  • BA: .268
  • OPS: .792
  • HR: 208
  • SB: 125
Defense:
  • ERA: 3.76
  • WHIP: 1.25
  • KS: 1,558
  • Quality Starts: 67
  • Errors: 76

Why the New York Yankees are a good bet on the money line?

Are the Yankees a safe bet for ALDS Game 4?
Few pitchers in MLB can contain Boston’s powerful batting lineup like CC Sabathia. Overall, the Red Sox bat .253 against CC, but individually, CC’s handled some of Boston’s top batters.

Andrew Benintnedi bats .222, Xander Bogaerts bats .152, Jackie Bradley Jr. bats .226 and J.D. Martinez bats .143. If Sabathia can have more success against Mookie Betts, he bats .429, Sabathia could pitch a good enough game for a Yankees victory.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Runs/G: 5.25
  • BA: .249
  • OPS: .781
  • HR: 267
  • SB: 63
Defense:
  • ERA: 3.78
  • WHIP: 1.24
  • KS: 1,634
  • Quality Starts: 67
  • Errors: 94

Red Sox vs Yankees ALDS Game 4 Betting Trends

 
  • Boston is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 games
  • Boston is 4-8 SU in the last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
  • The total went OVER in 7 of Boston’s last 8 games
  • NY Yankees are 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
  • NY Yankees are 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Boston
  • The total went OVER in 9 of the NY Yankees’s last 10 games
 

Final MLB Betting Analysis for Red Sox vs Yankees


Both pitchers should throw well with Rick Porcello having more trouble than CC Sabathia. Porcello’s only had minimal success against the Yankees top home run hitters, Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge.

Judge bats .250 against Porcello while Stanton has 3 hits from 8 at-bats for a .375 average. Unless Porcello has found a way to stop Judge and Stanton, he could put the Red Sox into a hole that they might not climb out of.

Yankees take Game 4.

ALDS Game 4 Pick: New York Yankees
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