Bragging rights in the state of Ohio are on the line early this week as the Reds and Guardians play a two-game series in Cleveland. The Tribe are slight favorites on the MLB Betting Lines for Tuesday’s opener even though the Reds are starting their ace.
How to Bet Reds vs Indians MLB Week 11 Betting Lines & Game Info
- When: Tuesday, 7 PM ET
- Where: Progressive Field
- Probable pitchers (away/home): Luis Castillo/Trevor Bauer
- TV: MLB Extra Innings
- MLB Week 11 Betting Lines: Cleveland Indians -120 (Total 8.5)
Diamondbacks vs Phillies MLB Odds & Pick for Tuesday Night
Why Bet on Cincinnati?
The Reds snapped a three-game losing streak with a 4-3 win in Philadelphia on Sunday. Raisel Iglesias did not allow a run over 1 1/3 innings in picking up his 13th save in the process. Iglesias was tasked with holding a 4-3 lead after he came on with two outs in the eighth inning. J.T. Realmuto did manage a one-out single off him in the ninth inning, but otherwise, this was a clean appearance. The 29-year-old right-hander required just 15 pitches (10 strikes) to navigate through to the end of the game. For the campaign as a whole, Iglesias owns a 2.79 ERA and 40/10 K/BB ratio in 29 innings. He is now 13-of-15 in save chances.
Joey Votto went 1-for-4 with a two-run single in the win. Votto came up with the bases loaded in the seventh inning and came through with a two-run single to tie the contest up at 3-3. Eugenio Suarez followed up that knock with an RBI single of his own to push the Reds ahead on the scoreboard, giving them a lead they managed to maintain through to the end of the contest. Votto is slashing just .256/.347/.379 with five home runs and 14 RBI across 219 at-bats.
Second baseman Scooter Gennett has reported to the Reds’ spring training complex in Arizona to begin baseball activities and could start a rehab assignment right after. He will participate in a mini-camp with minor leaguers beginning on Tuesday and will go out on a rehab assignment after that. He has missed the entire regular season after suffering a severe groin injury during spring training. Reds manager David Bell recently said Gennett will return as the club’s starting second baseman when he is ready. Derek Dietrich has been swinging a hot bat in Gennett’s absence. Gennett had a .310 batting average with 23 home runs and 92 RBI last year for the Reds.
It’s ace Luis Castillo (6-1, 2.38) on the mound. Castillo bounced back from two subpar outings to allow just one run on two hits over six innings in a win against St. Louis on Tuesday. Castillo settled in after early control problems to strike out 8, and he retired the final 12 batters he faced.
Castillo is 9-2 in his past 18 appearances and in that span leads all Major League starting pitchers with an ERA of 1.99. This season, Castillo ranks among the National League leaders in wins (T8th), ERA (3rd), strikeouts (T6th) and strikeouts per 9 innings (10.70, 7th). Tuesday is Castillo’s first-ever appearance vs the Indians.
Team Stats
Offense
- Runs: 4.27
- Hits: 7.81
- Walks: 3.03
- Strike Outs: 8.70
Defense
- Runs: 3.75
- Hits: 7.80
- Walks: 3.19
- Strike Outs: 9.62
Why Bet on Cleveland?
The Reds won or tied 12 of the first 21 Ohio Cup season series vs. Cleveland, including 9 of the last 13, but lost 3 of the last 4 season series (1-5, 0-4, 2-2, 2-4). The Reds are 149-209 all-time vs the AL, at .416 the lowest interleague winning percentage of any Major League team (SD 29th, 161-221, .421). They haven’t produced a winning record vs the American League since 2013 (11-9). Cincinnati won 10 of its first 12 games vs the AL last season but lost each of the last 8 games.
Cleveland had a chance to sweep the visiting Yankees over the weekend but lost Sunday 7-6 in 10 innings. Second baseman Jason Kipnis was lifted from Sunday’s game versus the Yankees due to right hip tightness. The Indians are calling his removal precautionary, so he’s day-to-day. Kipnis struck out in both of his plate appearances before being pulled.
Carlos Santana has reached base safely in 23 of his last 24 games and 46 of his last 102 plate appearances since May 14, batting .310 (26-84) with 7 doubles, 7 home runs, 22 walks and a 1.119 OPS over that stretch, the 4th-best mark in the Majors in that time period, trailing only the Angels’ Mike Trout (1.220) among AL players. Santana ranks 4th in the AL in walks (43) and 5th in OBP (.403).
Since 2013, the Indians are 308-212 at Progressive Field, the most home wins in the AL during that stretch and the T2nd-most home wins in the Majors behind Los Angeles-NL (327). Cleveland pitchers own the most home strikeouts in that span, 60 more than any other team. The Indians are 19-16 at Progressive Field this season. Tribe pitchers rank 4th in the Majors in strikeout-to-walk ratio at home (3.85), 5th in K/9 (9.98) and 7th in WHIP (1.18). Cleveland’s .338 home on-base percentage is 3rd-best in the Majors and its .765 OPS is T5th-best since 2013.
It’s Trevor Bauer on the mound. Bauer will look to right the ship after five consecutive shaky starts — in six May outings, he posted a 5.50 ERA. Last time out, in his first June start, he allowed five runs on five hits, including three homers, through eight frames vs. the Twins. Bauer (4-6) allowed five runs on five hits and three walks across eight innings to take the loss Thursday against the Twins. Bauer was terrorized by Max Kepler, who accounted for four runs with a trio of homers. Other than that he pitched quite effectively and worked up to 119 pitches as he tied his longest outing of the season.
Team Stats
Offense
- Runs: 4.17
- Hits: 7.37
- Walks: 3.71
- Strike Outs: 8.55
Defense
- Runs: 4.26
- Hits: 7.98
- Walks: 2.83
- Strike Outs: 9.31
Reds vs Indians MLB Week 11 Betting Trends
- Indians are 1-5 in Bauer’s last 6 home starts
- Indians are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 6 games against Cincinnati
- Reds are 4-17 in the last 21 meetings in Cleveland
- Reds are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Cleveland
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games on the road
- Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland
Expert Final Score Prediction for Reds vs Indians
Cincinnati Reds 5 – Cleveland Indians 4
