The Milwaukee Brewers host the Colorado Rockies on Thursday, May 2 as a slight favorite. Both Colorado and Milwaukee are contenders to win their divisions this season. Will the Brewers win at home or will the Rockies pull off the upset? Keep reading for MLB betting odds, analysis, and a free pick!
Rockies vs Brewers MLB Lines, Betting Analysis & Prediction
- When: Thursday, May 2 at 1:10pm ET
- Where: Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
- TV: ESPN+
- Radio: Colorado / Milwaukee
- Live Stream: MLB.tv
- Moneyline Odds: Brewers -120
- Over/Under Total Odds: 9
Why Colorado Rockies are a good bet at +100?
Pitcher Jon Gray had a horrible start to the season. Gray went 0-3 even though he wasn’t throwing all that badly. His teammates couldn’t pick things up for him. Since the 0-3 start, though, the Rockies have picked it up at the plate for Gray.
He gave up only 1 earned run off 3 hits in 7 innings versus the Padres on April 16.The Rockies won 8-3. He was brilliant on April 21, giving up no runs in 6 innings and only allowing 2 hits. Then in his last he didn’t pitch well, but Colorado beat Atlanta 9-5. Gray should have his best stuff working on Thursday night. If he does, the Rockies will have a chance.
- Runs/G: 4.17
- BA: .232
- OPS: .697
- HR: 33
- SB: 12
- ERA: 4.40
- WHIP: 1.33
- KS: 245
- Quality Starts: 11
- Errors: 13
Why Milwaukee Brewers are a good bet at -120?
Milwaukee starter Freddy Peralta has been all over the place this season, but he could turn his form around on May 2. Peralta faces a team that he’s had success against.
The Rockies only bat .103 against Peralta. Add in the fact that Nolan Arenado is 0-for-4 against Freddy and suddenly things look up for the Brewers’ Thursday starter. Not only that, but Milwaukee’s bats can definitely bail out Peralta if he gets into any trouble.
- Runs/G: 4.90
- BA: .246
- OPS: .777
- HR: 57
- SB: 16
- ERA: 4.92
- WHIP: 1.42
- KS: 275
- Quality Starts: 4
- Errors: 9
MLB Betting Trends for Rockies vs Brewers
- Rockies are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 4 of a series
- Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 road games versus a right-handed starter
- Rockies are 5-1 in Gray’s last 6 road starts versus a team with a winning record
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 overall
- Brewers are 5-2 in Peralta’s last 7 home starts
- Rockies are 2-12 in the last 14 meetings
Rockies vs Brewers Final MLB Betting Analysis
Although it’s difficult to go against the Brewers at home, Freddy Peralta has had a tough time of it on the mound. He only lasted 3.1 inning in his last start after giving up 3 earned runs off 4 hits. He only lasted 3.1 innings in the start before after giving up 7 earned runs off 8 hits. Although Milwaukee’s bats did bail out Peralta in the last game, the Brewers won 10-7 against St. Louis. They didn’t bail out Peralta in the start before. They lost 11-8 to the L.A. Angels.
Jon Gray has been throwing too well for the Brewers to mount any comeback if Peralta falters, which recent history says he does. The odds on the Rockies are fair. Colorado’s the play.
MLB Free Pick: Rockies +100