You can very often learn a lot about a team by looking at how they play when they head down the homestretch knowing that the postseason is out of their reach. Some teams will simply roll over and die, accepting their fate without putting up any type of fight. Others, though, will battle to the end, bringing up young prospects who can often light a fire under the veterans who suddenly realize that their jobs might be in danger. It really is worth paying attention to these types of teams, because you can find some good wagering opportunities when they go head to head in the final few weeks of the season.
We have one of those types of series going this weekend, with the Colorado Rockies and the San Diego Padres going head to head for 4 games. We may have received a bit of a sign as to how this one might play out, with the Padres winning comfortably on Thursday night. The Padres are favored by 1 ½ for the Friday night tilt, with the run total for this game set at 9.
How to Bet Rockies vs Padres Spread & Game Preview
- When: Friday, August 9 at 10:10 PM EST
- Where: Petco Park, San Diego
- Starting Pitchers: Freeland vs. Quantrill
- TV: MLB Extra Innings
- Radio: SiriusXM
- Live Stream: MLB.tv
- MLB Odds: San Diego Padres -145 (Total 9)
- Sunny: 21°C/70°F
- Humidity: 74%
- Precipitation: 4%
- Cloud Cover: 9%
- Wind: 7 mph W
- Stadium Type: Open
Why bet on the Colorado Rockies?
To my eternal shame, I picked the Colorado Rockies to be a challenger in the West and a playoff team before the season began. That pick has gone down like a lead balloon, much like the Rockies have in the second half of the season. This team got off to a slow start but were starting to show signs of a turnaround, moving up to 2nd in the NL West at one point. The wheels have come off in a big way, though, with the Rockies now stumbling toward the finish line.
They are rooted to the bottom of the division with a 52-63 record after losing 3 in a row and picking up just 3 wins in their last 10 games. While the Rockies were shelled 9-3 in the series opener, they do still have a 6-4 lead over the Padres in the season series. It will be Kyle Freeland (3-9, 7.24 ERA) on the mound on Friday.
- Runs: 5.32
- Hits: 9.35
- Walks: 2.95
- Strike Outs: 9.27
- Runs: 5.81
- Hits: 9.75
- Walks: 3.46
- Strike Outs: 8.04
Why bet on the San Diego Padres?
The Padres are not really faring that much better than the Rockies as we head down the stretch, going just 4-6 in their last 10 games, but they at least appeared to be up for the fight in this series, winning the opener by a score of 9-3.
The race between these two teams seems to be to avoid finishing last in the division, so that win certainly helped, as it took the Padres a game and a half ahead of the Rockies at the bottom of the NL West. Scoring runs has been a problem for the Padres all year, but they have been coming to life of late, scoring 30 runs in their last 4 outings. San Diego will have Cal Quantrill (4-3, 3.57 ERA) on the mound for this one.
- Runs: 4.44
- Hits: 8.23
- Walks: 2.97
- Strike Outs: 9.72
- Runs: 4.83
- Hits: 8.64
- Walks: 2.70
- Strike Outs: 8.88
Rockies vs Padres MLB Betting Trends
- Rockies are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado’s last 9 games against an opponent in the National League
- Padres are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego’s last 5 games at home
- Rockies are 99-87 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons
- Padres are 53-61 against the money line in all games this season
- Freeland is 2-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.04 and a WHIP of 1.262
- Quantrill is 0-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.400
Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction
Given how things have gone of late, I think that the best available bet here is the OVER. I am on the Padres to win again in this one, covering in the process.
Score: Colorado Rockies 5 – San Diego Padres 8