When teams meet in the postseason, we very often look to their regular season series to get an idea of how things might play out. As we have seen in the past, though, regardless of the sport, it’s a whole different game in the playoffs. There are some teams who thrive on the added pressure, while others buckle under that weight. With that in mind, it’s not always necessarily a good idea to look at the regular season series as a predictor to what might happen in the playoffs. It also doesn’t really help when there are only a small sample of games to go on in the regular season.
That is where we are at with this series, as the Twins and Yankees only met 6 times during the regular season. It was the Yankees who won the season series 4-2, which is perhaps one of the reasons why they are expected to win this best of 5 and move on to the ALCS. They will start out the ALDS at home and will be in as a 1 ½ run favorite on Friday night. The run total for this one is set at 9.
Twins vs Yankees 2019 ALDS Game 1 Odds & Game Preview
- When: Friday, October 4 at 7:07 PM EST
- Where: Yankee Stadium, NYC
- Starting Pitchers: Berrios vs. Paxton
- TV: MLBN
- Radio: SiriusXM
- Live Stream: MLB.tv
- ALDS Game 1 Odds: New York Yankees -190 (Total 9)
- Clear: 15°C/59°F
- Humidity: 48%
- Precipitation: 0%
- Cloud Cover: 0%
- Wind: 11 mph N
- Stadium Type: Open
Why bet on the Minnesota Twins?
The Minnesota Twins were undoubtedly one of the biggest surprises of the season, going 101-61, which was more than good enough to land them the AL Central crown. This is a team that is good from top to bottom, but it was their long ball ability that helped get them into the postseason.
The Twins ended the season with a staggering 307 home runs, one more than the 306 that the Yankees hammered in. It goes without saying that we are probably going to see some power being flashed in this series. The one thing to remember here is that the Twins were better on the road than at home, winning 46 in their own ballpark and 55 wins on the road. They will have Jose Berrios (14-8, 3.68 ERA) on the mound for Game 1.
- Runs: 5.81
- Hits: 9.58
- Walks: 3.26
- Strike Outs: 8.24
- Runs: 4.65
- Hits: 8.98
- Walks: 2.79
- Strike Outs: 9.04
Why bet on the New York Yankees?
While the Yankees won the AL East in a bit of a stroll, they will still be more than a little disappointed at not landing the top seed in the AL. Still, 103 wins is nothing to be sneezed at, and let’s not forget how good this team was in their own ballpark this season.
The Yankees posted a 57-24 record at home this season, but they closed things out on a bit of a down streak, which is not good. They went 4-6 in their last 10 games, losing back to back games to close out the season. It’s probably not a major disaster, but it can be tough to get back up to speed and into winning ways again. The Yankees will hand the ball to James Paxton (15-6, 3.82 ERA) for this one.
- Runs: 5.85
- Hits: 9.27
- Walks: 3.52
- Strike Outs: 8.84
- Runs: 4.55
- Hits: 8.49
- Walks: 3.12
- Strike Outs: 9.49
Twins vs Yankees ALDS Game 1 Betting Trends
- Yankees are 45-27 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season
- Yankees are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games this season
- The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Yankees’ last 12 games at home
- Twins is 101-61 against the money line in all games this season
- Twins are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the American League
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota’s last 6 games on the road
- Berrios is 1-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.79 and a WHIP of 1.786
- Paxton is 3-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.27 and a WHIP of 1.074
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Twins vs Yankees
This is going to be a fun series to watch, as there is a very good chance that we are going to see ball flying out of the ballpark in rapid succession. I am on the Yankees to win and cover in game 1.
Score: Minnesota Twins 4 – New York Yankees 6