Minnesota Twins will be looking to extend their winning ways when they host the struggling Chicago White Sox in their AL Central matchup on Monday night at Target Field. With the Twins playing some of their best baseball of the season and Chicago looking for some stability, let’s find out where the best betting value lies in this divisional rivalry.
White Sox vs Twins MLB Betting Odds, Game Preview & Prediction
- When: Monday August 19, 2019, 8:10 PM (EDT)
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota
- TV: WGN, FSN
- Radio: Chicago / Minnesota
- Live Stream: MLB.tv
- MLB Odds: Chicago +170 / Minnesota -200 / Total: 9.5
- White Sox RH Ivan Nova (8-9, 4.51 ERA)
- Twins RH Kyle Gibson (11-5, 4.28)
- Sunny: 26°C/79°F
- Humidity: 51%
- Precipitation: 0%
- Wind: 8 mph SSW
- Cloud Cover: 1%
- Type of Stadium: Open
Why Bet On Chicago at +170?
The White Sox have lost three of their last four games and five of eight overall including a humbling 9-2 loss against the Angels on Sunday night. While Chicago has scored five runs or more three times in their last four games, they’ve also allowed at least six runs three times and eight or more twice. The White Sox are ranked a pitiful 28th in scoring (4.21 rpg) and equally uninspiring 22nd in runs allowed per game (4.87).
For this contest, Chicago will turn to veteran right-hander Ivan Nova and that looks like a good thing seeing as how the 32-year-old Dominican tossed his second complete game in his last five starts by going the distance against Houston and limiting the Astros to one unearned run on four hits. Nova has not allowed more than one run in each of his last five starts while tossing at least eight innings in three of those outings.
- Runs: 4.23
- Hits: 8.69
- Walks: 2.34
- Strike Outs: 9.51
- Runs: 5.14
- Hits: 8.93
- Walks: 3.66
- Strike Outs: 7.94
Why Bet On Minnesota at -200?
The Twins swept Texas in their recently concluded four-game set while recording a solid 6-3 win over the Rangers on Sunday night. Minnesota has scored a dozen runs or more in two of their last four games while putting six runs or more on the board four times in their last six games overall. The Twins are ranked a stellar second in scoring (5.8 rpg) and an equally impressive eighth in runs allowed (4.1 rpg).
For this contest, right-hander Kyle Gibson who will be looking for a better performance after giving up three earned runs in five innings of a 6-5 loss against Milwaukee in his last start. The 31-year-old has struggled with his location recently, allowing a generous nine walks over his last two starts. Ironically however, Gibson performs very well at Target Field, where he has gone 7-2 while limiting the opposition to a paltry .218 batting average.
- Runs: 5.82
- Hits: 9.62
- Walks: 3.18
- Strike Outs: 8.09
- Runs: 4.67
- Hits: 8.89
- Walks: 2.89
- Strike Outs: 8.72
White Sox vs Twins MLB Betting Trends
- White Sox are 3-11 SU in the last 14 games against Minnesota
- The total went OVER in 5 of the White Sox’s last 5 games
- Twins are 5-1 SU in the last 6 games
- The total went OVER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 6 games
Expert Analysis and Prediction for White Sox vs Twins
The White Sox are an encouraging 6-2 in their last 8 games following a loss and Ivan Nova has been pitching lights out over his last handful of starts. While Minnesota has gone 8-1 in their last nine series openers, the Twins are also just 1-5 in their last 6 home games and 0-4 in Kyle Gibson’s last 4 Monday starts. With Chicago going a perfect 5-0 in Ivan Nova’s last five starts, I say back the struggling White Sox to get the big upset win in this one as a value-packed underdog.
Pick: Chicago 5 Minnesota 2