Playoff series are at their best when you never know what to expect from one game to the next. While it makes the World Series Game 4 odds a little more difficult to read for those of us who love to wager, it certainly makes a series that much more fun to watch. This high level of unpredictability is what we have got through the opening three games of the World Series between the LA Dodgers and Houston Astros.
I called a pitching duel when I wrote about Game 1, which was exactly what we got in a 3-1 win for the Dodgers. I thought we might see more of the same in Game 2, especially with Justin Verlander on the mound for the Astros, but that one turned into a slugfest that Houston won 7-6 in extra innings. The upshot of all of this is that the Astros get to head home with the split and home-field advantage under their belts.
Game 3 of this intriguing World Series was on Friday night, and Houston took a 2-1 lead with a solid 5-3 win, which is why they come in as the -140 favorites with the total set at 8,5. Let’s find out if the Dodgers can bounce back or if the Astros are going to maintain momentum for a much heavier 3-1 lead.
World Series Game 4 Odds & Betting Pick: Dodgers vs. Astros
The bullpen provided a chance. The late Game 3 hits never came. But history’s shown a 2-1 deficit can be overcome. https://t.co/Jx1IkZjv03
— Dodger Insider (@DodgerInsider) 28 de octubre de 2017
- When: Saturday, October 28 at 8:20 PM EST
- Where: Minute Maid Park, Houston
- Starting Pitchers: Alex Wood vs. Charlie Morton
- TV: FOX
- Radio: 570 LA Sports, KTNQ 1020, KBME 790, ESPN Radio
- Live Stream: MLB.tv
- World Series Game 4 Odds: Houston Astros -140 (Total at 8,5)
- Clear: 13°C/56°F
- Humidity: 31%
- Precipitation: 0%
- Cloud Cover: 0%
- Wind: 8 mph NNW
- Stadium Type: Retractable
Head to Head Statistics (Last 10 Games)
- Runs: Los Angeles Dodgers 2.70 / Houston Astros 4.10
- Hits: Los Angeles Dodgers 6.90 / Houston Astros 7.70
- Walks: Los Angeles Dodgers 3.30 / Houston Astros 2.80
- Strike Outs: Los Angeles Dodgers 8.40 / Houston Astros 8.50
- Over/Under: Los Angeles Dodgers 3-6-1 / Houston Astros 3-6-1
Why consider the Dodgers World Series Game 4 Odds?
The Dodgers will almost certainly be kicking themselves after missing a golden opportunity to head to Houston with a 2-0 series lead, even more after their Game 3 loss. Prior to this series, the general consensus was that the Dodgers would need to keep the Houston bats at bay if they wanted to be champions. While the Dodgers are no slouches on offense, they certainly cannot keep pace with the firepower in the Astros batting order, which became evident in Game 2 and 3. Whenever the Dodgers get pulled into a slugfest with the Astros, you get the feeling it is a style of game that they are just not equipped to win.
I always felt that this series was going to be a long one, and it can certainly end up being that if the Dodgers can pick up at least one win on the road. They were 47-34 away from home in the regular season, so no reason why they shouldn’t be able to get one more. Game 4 will see Alex Wood take the mound. He was the starter, and took the loss, in the only defeat the Dodgers have this postseason.
- Runs: 4.80
- Hits: 8.30
- Walks: 4.06
- Strike Outs: 8.50
- Runs: 3.54
- Hits: 7.49
- Walks: 2.68
- Strike Outs: 9.57
Why consider the Astros World Series Game 4 Odds?
You always felt that the Houston Astros would have at least one game in this series where the bats got hot and they ran up some runs, although most of us probably believed it would come in Game 3 or 4, once we started getting deeper into the pitching rotation. I think that there is a distinct possibility that Correa, Altuve, and the rest may have another big night against Alex Wood in this game, but the Astros are starting Charlie Morton in this one, and his postseason numbers are not exactly sparkling. Morton is 1-1 with a 6.23 ERA in his 3 appearances.
That said, he was very good in his last start against the New York Yankees, where he pitched 5 innings, surrendering just 2 hits and 0 ER. The Astros had more wins on the road than at home this season but were still a healthy 48-33. They are 6-0 at home during the playoffs.
- Runs: 5.41
- Hits: 9.66
- Walks: 3.16
- Strike Outs: 6.75
- Runs: 4.28
- Hits: 8.05
- Walks: 3.19
- Strike Outs: 9.78
Latest World Series Game 4 Betting Trends
- Dodgers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on the road
- Dodgers are 14-4 SU in their last 18 games
- The total went UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers’s last 8 games on the road
- Astros are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games at home
- Astros are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
- The total went UNDER in 5 of Houston’s last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction
This is a game where I believe we might get to see some runs scored, although perhaps not to the same level as we saw in Game 2. I like the Astros to come up with the win in another close one.
Score: LA Dodgers 4 – Houston Astros 5