Win or Go Home! Yankees vs. Indians ALDS Game 5 Odds & Game Preview

Posted by Eric Williams on Wednesday,October 11, 2017 3:23, EDT in

After splitting the first four games of their now, absolutely thrilling American League Divisional Series match-up, C.C. Sabathia and the New York Yankees will take on Corey Kluber and the Cleveland Indians in a ‘brawl for it all’ on Wednesday night with the winner advancing to the American League Championship Series. Returning home helps the Indians to become the ALDS Game 5 odds favorite, but the Yanks already prove they can come with the upset.

With the first pitch being thrown out in a mere matter of hours, take a close look to the MLB Odds and let me get down to business by offering up my expert analysis and prediction on who’s going to go win on Wednesday night.

Yankees vs. Indians ALDS Game 5 Odds & Game Preview

  • When: Wednesday, October 11, 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: Progressive Field
  • TV: FS1
  • Radio: WFAN 660/101.9 FM, WTAM 1100, ESPN Radio
  • Live Stream: MLB.tv
  • ALDS Game 5 Odds: New York Yankees +175 / Cleveland Indians -210

Weather Forecast

  • Overcast: 17°C/62°F
  • Humidity: 87%
  • Precipitation: 20%
  • Cloud Cover: 96%
  • Wind: 14 mph ENE
  • Stadium Type: Open

Cubs are the MLB Odds Favorite for NLDS Game 4 vs. Nationals

Head to Head Statistics (Last 10 Games)

  • Runs: Yankees 3.50 / Indians 4.20
  • Hits: Yankees 7.10 / Indians 6.60
  • Walks: Yankees 3.50 / Indians 3.40
  • Strike Outs: Yankees 10.20 / Indians 11.20
  • Over/Under: Yankees 4-4-1 / Indians 4-4-1

Starting Pitchers

New York – C.C. Sabathia – L – (14-5, 3.69 ERA, 120 K)

Sabathia took the mound in Game 2 and ended up with a no-decision after giving up four runs (two earned) on four hits in 5.1 innings of New York’s 9-8 loss. The veteran lefty is 9-5 with a 4.47 ERA over 20 career playoff games including 19 starts.

Cleveland – Corey Kluber – R – (18-4, 2.25 ERA, 265 K)

Kluber will look to rebound from his poor Game 2 start after giving up six earned runs on six hits, including two home runs in just 2.2 innings of Cleveland’s 9-8 win on Friday. Kluber went 11-3 with a 1.67 ERA in the regular season on his normal four days’ rest.

Game Analysis

Despite blowing their 2-0 series lead, the Cleveland Indians are the ALDS Game 5 Odds favorite and sound like they’re going to embrace it as opposed to being fearful about it.

“We have a really exciting game that’s in front of us,” Indians manager Terry Francona said.

Kluber, this season’s likely AL Cy Young Award is in his prime as he goes up against Sabathia, the now, 37-year-old 2007 AL Cy Young winner. However, you’d never know it from their respective Game 2 performances.

“It will be a great matchup,” Yankees left fielder Brett Gardner said. “I feel great about our chances with CC on the mound. Every time he goes out, he’s a big-game pitcher and always has been.”

Despite the ALDS Game 5 Odds, the Yankees trust in CC Sabathia to win.

The Indians are saying the same things about being confident behind their staff ace right-hander.

“What we’ve come to expect out of Corey is excellence,” right fielder Jay Bruce said. “I think he expects it out of himself. The other day, baseball happened. He didn’t throw eight shutouts [innings] and strike out everyone like he usually does. But he’ll be ready to go, and I couldn’t ask for a better guy to be out on the mound.”

Kluber subtly hinted at a change he’s going to make after identifying an issue he believes caused problems with his control in Game 2. “You don’t want to be kind of caught with your pants down,” he said.

While the Indians have scored a grand total of three runs over the last two games, both teams have scored an identical 16 runs over the four games. Cleveland is looking to get Edwin Encarnacion back on the field after he was unable to play in Games 3 and 4 because of a sprained ankle he sustained in Game 2. The Tribe also need to get team MVP Jose Ramirez swinging the bat better.

Latest ALDS Game 5 Betting Trends

  • NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • NY Yankees is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
  • Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 6 games

Betting Pick Analysis

While Cleveland hasn’t swung the bat well at all the last two games in New York, I’m expecting them to be a lot better in game 5 back at home and I’m also expecting a stellar outing out of Corey Kluber after he got smacked around in Game 2. The Indians should take a two-run lead into the seventh inning before getting the ball to their fantastic bullpen which I expect to close the Yankees out.

Prior to his last start, Kluber did not allow more than two earned runs in each of his previous nine starts and I’m expecting a Cy Young-caliber performance out of him tonight while the Tribe makes C.C. Sabathia look like the aging hurler he is.

The Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games and 0-5 in their last 5 playoff road games while the Indians have gone a near-perfect 8-1 in their last 9 home games against a left-handed starter and 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss.

The Tribe is also 5-1 in Corey Kluber’s last 6 starts against a team with a winning record and a blistering 21-6 in Kluber’s last 27 starts with 4 days of rest. The Yankees put up a helluva’ fight, but the party ends for them tonight, I can see the Indians back the ALDS Game 5 Odds.

Pick & Score: New York Yankees 2 – Cleveland Indians 5