Yankees vs Red Sox

Yankees vs Red Sox – MLB Odds & Picks

Written by on August 17, 2020

In a normal season, a weekend series almost never carries over into a Monday. However, 2020 is anything but normal and the rival Yankees and Red Sox close out their set with New York favored on the MLB odds. It’s Boston’s last game in the Bronx this season.

How to Bet Red Sox at Yankees MLB Odds & TV Info

  • When: Monday, 7:05 PM ET
  • Where: Yankee Stadium
  • Probable pitchers (away/home): Martin Perez/Jordan Montgomery
  • TV: MLB Network
  • Stream/gameday audio: https://www.mlb.com/live-stream-games/
  • Opening MLB Lines: Yankees -154, Red Sox +142 (total 10.5)
Why Bet on Boston?

The Red Sox have lost their past nine in this series following a 4-2 defeat on Sunday. This is the 7th time the Sox have lost as many as 15 of their first 21 games, having also done so in 1996 (5-16), 1976 (6-15), 1954 (6-15), 1933 (6-15), 1932 (4-17), and 1927 (5-16).

Kevin Pillar drew a walk and homered in the loss. Pillar went deep to left off Yankees starter J.A. Happ in the top of the third inning, but the Red Sox wouldn’t score again until the top of the ninth inning. It was the second home run of the season for Pillar, who’s batting .313 with an .860 OPS through 71 plate appearances.

Rafael Devers has hit 5 HR at Yankee Stadium and won’t turn 24 years old until 10/24/20. The only other Red Sox players ever with 5+ HR on the road against the Yankees before turning 24 are Ted Williams (6), Babe Ruth (6), Andrew Benintendi (6), and Xander Bogaerts (5). The record for most HR hit on the road against the Yankees before turning 24 years old is 7, set by Buddy Lewis with the Washington Senators from 1936-40.

It’s lefty Martin Perez (2-2, 3.38) on the mound, and he has been a huge surprise. However, Perez (2-2) took the loss last Tuesday, allowing two runs on three hits and two walks over 5.2 innings as the Red Sox were defeated 8-2 by the Rays. He struck out five. Perez settled down after allowing a Mike Brosseau leadoff homer in the first and largely held the Rays’ offense at bay.

“Good command. Other than the home run to lead off, I thought he pitched great,” Manager Ron Roenicke said. “Great changeup. Fastballs in, cutters in. Threw some curveballs, but the changeup and fastball, I thought, were outstanding. He battles. He kept us in the game. You figure if he keeps us in the game like that, we’re going to get a lead somewhere and we weren’t able to do it.”

Perez, who entered the season as Boston’s No. 2 starter after Chris Sale (Tommy John surgery) and Eduardo Rodriguez (COVID-19) were ruled out, struggled in his Sox debut but has been stellar in his past three starts with owns a 2.20 ERA in 16 innings, going at least five innings in all three outings. Perez was originally to start Sunday vs. Boston but New York but was given an extra day of rest.

Perez has pitched just once at Yankee Stadium in his career, giving up seven runs over five innings on Aug. 12, 2018.

Why Bet on NY Yankees?

Britton earned his MLB-leading eighth save of the season in the Yankees’ 4-2 win over the Red Sox on Sunday. Britton gave up one run, but it was unearned, and he ultimately struck out three of the five batters he faced. However, Aroldis Chapman is set to be activated from the COVID-19 injured list on Monday, which will result in Britton shifting back into more of a setup role.

AL batting leader DJ LeMahieu will get a second opinion on his sprained left thumb on Monday. The Yankees will have a better idea at that point how long the second baseman might be sidelined. They will also consult with the hand specialist who treated LeMahieu in 2018 when he suffered a similar injury. LeMahieu was placed on the injured list Sunday.

It’s lefty Jordan Montgomery (2-1, 5.17) on the hill for the Yankees. Montgomery allowed three runs over six innings last Tuesday in the Yankees’ 9-6 defeat of the Braves. Montgomery allowed just one hit through 5 1/3 innings before giving up two straight singles followed by a three-run homer from Marcell Ozuna. He recovered to finish the inning at just 78 pitches and was done.

“Confidence,” Montgomery said afterward about the outing. “I really went after them, trusted my pitches better, threw my cutter more, executed more fastballs and changeups late.”

Montgomery will face the Red Sox for the second time this season as he beat them by allowing one run over 5 2/3 innings on July 31.

Yankees starters have allowed 3 runs or fewer in each of their last nine games, posting a 3.89 ERA in that span (since 8/7)

Game Trends
  • Red Sox are 6-20 in the last 26 meetings.
  • Red Sox are 17-36 in the last 53 meetings in New York.
  • Red Sox are 17-35 in their last 52 vs. American League East.
  • Red Sox are 22-47 in their last 69 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Yankees are 47-14 in their last 61 home games.
  • Yankees are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Expert PredictionYankees 7, Red Sox 4 
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