Bucks vs Pistons 2019 NBA Playoffs Odds & Pick for Game 4.

Bucks vs Pistons 2019 NBA Playoffs Odds & Pick for Game 4

Written by on April 22, 2019

The No. 8 Detroit Pistons simply don’t belong on the same court as the Eastern Conference top-seeded Milwaukee Bucks. On Monday, the Greek Freak & Co. are favored on the NBA Lines to sweep out the Pistons in Detroit.

How to Bet Bucks vs Pistons 2019 NBA Odds & Game 4 Info

Why Bet on Milwaukee?

The Bucks took a 3-0 series lead with a 119-103 victory on Saturday – and that has been the closest game of this lopsided series. Khris Middleton led the way by scoring 20 points (7-of-14 FGs, 3-of-4 FTs) with nine rebounds, four assists, one steal, and three 3-pointers in 30 minutes. With Giannis Antetokounmpo battling foul trouble for a good portion of the game, Middleton took over the leading role for the Bucks. He has now scored 20+ in back-to-back games. Antetokounmpo had 14 points and 10 rebounds.

Brook Lopez played great with 19 points on 8-of-13 shooting with seven rebounds, two assists, five blocks, and three 3-pointers in 34 minutes. Lopez had been quiet for the first two games of the series. The five blocks were the most he’s had in a playoff game since 2013.

Milwaukee has won each game of the series by an average of 24.0 points per game. This marks just the third time in franchise history (first time since 1974) that the Bucks have won three consecutive playoff games by 15+ points, and the first time in the NBA that a team has won three straight postseason games by 15 points since the Spurs in 2014 (3 games, 6/10-6/15).

The Bucks have outscored the Pistons by a combined 72 points in the first three games of the series, which is the third-largest point differential in a team’s first three playoff games in NBA history (largest since the Lakers in 1987).

Milwaukee has held Detroit to under 40% shooting in each game this series, marking just the third time in franchise history Milwaukee has held a playoff opponent to under 40% shooting in three consecutive games. The Pistons’ 38.0 shooting percentage in the playoffs is the second-lowest among playoff teams while the Bucks’ 50.0 field goal percentage is second-best.

Milwaukee can earn its first sweep of a 7-game series since 1983 (Eastern Conference Semifinals vs. BOS), and advance to the Second Round of the playoffs for the first time since 2001 with a win here.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Total Score: 118.19
  • Field Goal Percentage: 47.66
  • Three-Point Percentage: 35.32
  • Free Throw Percentage: 77.22
  • Total Rebounds: 49.87

Defense

  • Total Score: 108.79
  • Field Goal Percentage: 43.12
  • Three-Point Percentage: 35.93
  • Free Throw Percentage: 73.28
  • Total Rebounds: 45.26

Why Bet on Detroit?

Detroit’s biggest lead was five (18-13) in Game 3. There were five lead changes and the game was tied four times. The Pistons turned the ball over just nine times while forcing 16 miscues from the Bucks.

Blake Griffin (sore left knee) made his first appearance of the playoffs in Game 3 against the Bucks, scoring a team-high 27 points (10-of-24 FGs, 5-of-5 FTs) with seven rebounds, six assists, two steals and two 3-pointers in 31 minutes. Griffin’s knee was reportedly feeling much better, but he still clearly wasn’t himself and was sporting a huge brace. He was the first Piston to tally 25/5/5 in a playoff game since Chauncey Billups (5/30/08 vs. BOS).

Bucks vs Pistons Game 4 should be a close one.

Andre Drummond double-doubled against the Bucks on Saturday, scoring 12 points (5-of-14 FGs, 2-of-8 FTs) with 12 rebounds, two assists, four steals, three blocks and four turnovers in 30 minutes.

“We made some uncharacteristic mistakes,” Coach Dwane Casey said after. “That’s what the playoffs are about – getting through that, understanding time-score-situation. We had situations where we’d make a mistake or miss a shot, now we go down to the defensive end and not carry out our assignments.”

The Pistons were the NBA’s No. 8 rebounding team by rebound percentage over the regular season, but the Bucks have won the boards convincingly in each game – by 11, eight and seven. The Bucks were No. 5 in rebound percentage during the regular season and No. 2 in defensive rebound percentage, blunting one of the Pistons’ primary strengths, offensive rebounding.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Total Score: 106.66
  • Field Goal Percentage: 43.76
  • Three-Point Percentage: 34.66
  • Free Throw Percentage: 74.68
  • Total Rebounds: 45.00

Defense

  • Total Score: 107.74
  • Field Goal Percentage: 47.04
  • Three-Point Percentage: 34.63
  • Free Throw Percentage: 75.52
  • Total Rebounds: 44.01

Bucks vs Pistons 2019 NBA Playoffs Betting Trends

  • Favorite is 8-1-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings
  • Home team is 5-2-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings
  • Milwaukee is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
  • Milwaukee is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games on the road
  • Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
  • Detroit is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit’s last 15 games at home

Expert Final Score Prediction for Bucks vs Pistons

Milwaukee Bucks 114 – Detroit Pistons 105

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