Bucks are Slight Favorites at the NBA Spread Against the Heat.

Bucks are Slight Favorites in the NBA Spread Against the Heat

Written by on January 17, 2018

The Miami Heat will be looking to get back in the win column while the NBA spread favorites Milwaukee Bucks look to record consecutive victories when the two Eastern Conference playoff hopefuls square off in their mid-week matchup on Wednesday at the BMO Harris Bradley Center. With both teams looking to get the win, let’s find out where the value of this contest lies according to the latest NBA betting odds.

Miami at Milwaukee NBA Spread & Expert Prediction

  • When: Wednesday, January 17, 2018, 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: Bradley Center
  • TV: SUN / FSWI
  • Radio: 790 AM (Miami) / 105.7 FM (Milwaukee)
  • Live Stream: NBA League Pass
  • NBA Spread: Milwaukee Bucks -4.5 (Over/Under at 202.0 points)

Team Records

  • All: Miami Heat 25-18 / Milwaukee Bucks 23-20
  • Home: Miami Heat 12-9 / Milwaukee Bucks 14-8
  • Away: Miami Heat 13-9 / Milwaukee Bucks 9-12
  • ATS: Miami Heat 19-22-2 / Milwaukee Bucks 19-21-3
  • Over/Under: Miami Heat 17-25-1 / Milwaukee Bucks 25-17-1

How to Bet Detroit at Toronto NBA Lines & Game Preview

Recent Head to Head (Last 10 Games)

  • Record: Tied 5-5
  • Score: Miami Heat 100.00 / Milwaukee Bucks 95.90
  • Field Goal Percentage: Miami Heat 44.53 / Milwaukee Bucks 46.93
  • Rebounds: Miami Heat 40.90 / Milwaukee Bucks 40.00
  • 3 Point Shots: Miami Heat 56-164 / Milwaukee Bucks 87-248
  • Steals: Miami Heat 7.40 / Milwaukee Bucks 7.20

Why Consider Betting On The Miami Heat at +4.5?

Why consider backing the Heat in this mid-week matchup? Because they’ve been playing excellent basketball recently and are likely desperate to get back in the win column in this affair. The Heat had their seven-game winning streak snapped in their 119-111 road loss to Chicago on Monday and they’ll be without shooting guard Tyler Johnson in this affair after he suffered a sprained ankle against the Bulls.Veteran two-guard Dion Waiters was lost to a season-ending ankle surgery and Rodney McGruder hasn’t suited up this season after undergoing leg surgery during training camp. Now, the Heat are scrambling to find a shooting guard.“It seems like all position twos are going down,” point guard Goran Dragic told the Orlando Sun Sentinel. “You got Rodney, Dion, Tyler. Basically, we don’t have position twos. OK, J-Rich, Wayne, but hopefully it’s nothing, so we can get him back soon. We still want Rodney back. That’s going to help us a lot.”Despite their struggles at shooting guard, Miami had been playing its best basketball of the season before their last game. The Heat are averaging a modest 101.1 points per game (27th) on 45.6 percent shooting, but are limiting the opposition to just 101.8 points per contest (4th) on 45.4 percent shooting. Goran Dragic is averaging a team-high 17.3 points and 4.9 assists while Hassan Whiteside is averaging 13.8 points and 11.6 rebounds.

Team Statistics

Offense
  • Total Score: 101.9
  • Field Goal Percentage: 45.60
  • Three-Point Percentage: 36.47
  • Free Throw Percentage: 76.80
  • Rebounds: 41.79
Defense
  • Total Score: 101.84
  • Field Goal Percentage: 45.41
  • Three-Point Percentage: 36.59
  • Free Throw Percentage: 79.21
  • Rebounds: 42.05

Why Consider Betting On The Milwaukee Bucks at -4.5?

Why consider betting on Milwaukee in this Eastern Conference clash? Because the Bucks will be playing at home and are a completely different team when they’re playing at the Bradley Center, where they’ve gone 14-8 this season, which is why they control the NBA spread for this game.Milwaukee snapped a two-game losing streak by beating Washington 104-95 on Monday as Giannis Antetokounmpo scored a team-high 27 points and pulled down 20 rebounds to become just the sixth player in franchise history since the NBA merger to go for 25 and 20 and the first to do it since Ersan Ilyasova pulled off the feat in 2012. Still, the Bucks have struggled to find some consistency as evidenced by their 5-5 mark over their last 10 games.Playing at home, the Bucks are in control of the NBA Spread against Miami.“One of the hardest things in this league to do is be consistent, and we are struggling with that,” Bucks coach Jason Kidd said after Monday’s win. “Hopefully, this can help us get to that point of being consistent on both ends.”The Bucks are averaging 105 points per game (16th) on 48.1 percent shooting (4th) while allowing 105.9 points per contest (16th) on 47.1 percent shooting (24th). Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging a stellar 28.3 points and 10.1 rebounds per game while Khris Middleton is averaging 19.9 points and 4.2 assists.

Team Statistics

Offense
  • Total Score: 105.2
  • Field Goal Percentage: 48.12
  • Three-Point Percentage: 34.89
  • Free Throw Percentage: 76.98
  • Rebounds: 38.65
Defense
  • Total Score: 105.88
  • Field Goal Percentage: 47.13
  • Three-Point Percentage: 38.04
  • Free Throw Percentage: 77.04
  • Rebounds: 41.65

Latest NBA Betting Trends

  • Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
  • Heat are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami’s last 8 games
  • Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Bucks are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 15 of Milwaukee’s last 23 games

Expert Analysis and Prediction

67 percent of public bettors like Milwaukee in this contest, but I’m going with the 33 percent of bettors that like the Heat to cover the NBA spread in this one. Miami has gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against their Eastern Conference rivals.Conversely, the Bucks are an uninspiring 5-12-3 ATS in their last 20 games against their Eastern Conference counterparts and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Heat also smacked the Bucks around in their 97-79 home win on Sunday and have won five of the last seven meetings overall, so it seems like they’ve got Milwaukee’s number to me. I like the Heat plus the points in this one!Pick: Miami Heat +4.5
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