Bucks vs Heat 2020 NBA Game Preview & Betting Odds

Bucks vs Heat 2020 NBA Game Preview & Betting Odds

Written by on March 2, 2020

This could be a potential Eastern Conference semifinals or finals preview depending on which side of the bracket Miami lands on — Milwaukee is a lock to be the East’s top seed. The Heat haven’t been home underdogs on the Mybookie NBA odds much this season but might be Monday unless the Bucks are without their two stars, which is possible. Let’s see how the NBA odds will be for the Bucks vs Heat.

Bucks vs Heat 2020 NBA Game Preview & Betting Odds

Bucks vs Heat Season Series

Heat lead 1-0, winning 131-126 in overtime in Milwaukee way back on Oct. 26. The Bucks blew a 21-point third quarter lead. Goran Dragic scored 25 points off the bench, and Bam Adebayo added 19 points and 13 rebounds for Miami, which was without star Jimmy Butler. After trailing 74-53 with less than 11:00 to play in the third quarter, the Heat outscored Milwaukee 78-52 the rest of the way, including 49-33 in the fourth quarter and overtime. Giannis Antetokounmpo finished with 29 points, 17 rebounds and nine assists, but he eight turnovers and fouled out with 2:31 to play in overtime. The Greek Freak sent it to OT with a tip in at the buzzer. Khris Middleton added 25 points for the Bucks.

Why Bet on Milwaukee?

The Milwaukee Bucks won their sixth in a row Sunday, 93-85 at Charlotte. The reason there was no early line on this game is because Bucks All-Star guard Khris Middleton missed that one with neck soreness and obviously his status will affect this line. Kyle Korver also sat Sunday but he’s not that big of a deal.

Giannis Antetokounmpo had 41 points, 20 rebounds and six assists in the win. Charlotte hung tough until the final two minutes, when Antetokounmpo took over. Antetokounmpo’s 20 rebounds were one shy of his career high. The Bucks outrebounded the Hornets 61-47.

The Greek Feak did appear to tweak something during the fourth quarter when he got tangled up with Devonte’ Graham, so it’s possible he’ll need to skip Monday’s game. That would affect the spread even more. Brook Lopez added 16 points and seven rebounds for the Bucks, who’ve won 20 of their last 22 games and improved to a league-best 52-8 on the season.

Milwaukee remains on pace to become just the third team all-time to win 70 games. The Bucks are a perfect 17-0 in the first and second games of back-to-backs so far this season. That’s incredible. The Bucks are also tied with the Lakers for the best road record in the league this season at 25-5.

Not only have the Bucks won 52 of their first 60 games to the start the season, but they’re outscoring their opponents by an NBA-high 12.8 points per game so far this season after leading the league in that same category last season (8.9). Their 12.8-point differential currently the largest points per game differential in NBA history.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Total Score: 119.6
  • Field Goal %: 48.04
  • Three Point %: 36.15
  • Free Throw %: 74.23
  • Total Rebounds: 52.17

Defense

  • Total Score: Milwaukee Bucks
  • Field Goal %: 106.85
  • Three Point %: 40.96
  • Free Throw %: 35.47
  • Total Rebounds: 78.03

Why Bet on Miami?

The Miami Heat won their second in a row Saturday, 116-113 over the visiting Nets. Rookie Kendrick Nunn scored 21 points with four rebounds. Nunn, an undrafted free agent, broke Mario Chalmers’ franchise record for most 3-pointers by a rookie in a season. He’s averaging 19.8 points over his past five games and shooting 54 percent from the field.

All-Star Bam Adebayo made 7-of-12 from the field and both free throws for 16 points along with 12 boards. In February, the break out star averaged 17.2 points, 10.8 rebounds and 6.6 assists. Adebayo has a team-leading 36 double-doubles this season.

Goran Dragic chipped in 19 points and 10 assists in the win as the Heat won consecutive games for the first time since Feb. 1-3. They finished 6-7 in February, which included losses to two of the league’s worst teams in Minnesota and Cleveland.

Miami’s sixth field-goal attempt Saturday night was the team’s 5,000th of the season. Every other team reached 5,000 shots before Saturday, and the Heat are taking the fewest field-goal attempts per game in the league so far this season. The Heat recorded 27 assists as a team, snapping a streak of four straight games of posting at least 30 in a game. The franchise record was five straight set in 1990.

Rookie Tyler Herro sat out again Saturday with right ankle soreness. Herro has upped his work in practice recently, but he’s still not quite ready to return to action. Miami has recorded a +10.0 scoring margin at home this season, the third-highest in the NBA, outscoring opponents by +291 (4th-best).  Miami has totaled 6,767 points this season, the most through the first 60 games of a season in franchise history.

The Heat are 69-44 all-time vs. the Bucks during the regular season, including 35-20 in Miami.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Total Score: 112.78
  • Field Goal %: 46.98
  • Three Point %: 38.05
  • Free Throw %: 77.92
  • Total Rebounds: 44.73

Defense

  • Total Score: Miami Heat
  • Field Goal %: 109.5
  • Three Point %: 44.84
  • Free Throw %: 34.28
  • Total Rebounds: 77.7

Bucks vs Heat Betting Trends

  • Milwaukee are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games.
  • Milwaukee are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games.
  • Milwaukee are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against Miami.
  • Miami are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami’s last 7 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 6 games against Milwaukee.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 5 games at home.

Bucks vs Heat Expert Prediction

Bucks 118, Heat 111

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