Grizzlies vs Nuggets NBA Odds, Analysis & Prediction

Grizzlies vs Nuggets NBA Odds, Analysis & Prediction

Written by on December 10, 2018

Over the past few seasons, the Western Conference has belonged to the Golden State Warriors. Yes, the Houston Rockets took top spot last season, but you need to go back a long way to find the last time that a team outside of the Warriors represented the West in the NBA Finals. Golden State is back on top right now, but the gap between top and bottom is tight, as the race for the Western crown looks as though it is going to be a good one.

The Denver Nuggets have spent some time on top this season, but they are currently now a half game back of the lead after a disappointing run last week. They will start this week off at home against a Memphis Grizzlies team that is also in the thick of the conference battle, as they sit just 2 games back of the Warriors on top. The bookies see this as being a close one, with the Nuggets in as a modest 2-point favorite on home court, with the point total set at 198 ½.

Grizzlies vs Nuggets NBA Odds, Analysis & Prediction

Recent Head to Head (Last 10 Games)

  • Record: Grizzlies lead 6-4
  • Score: Grizzlies 100.20 / Nuggets 98.90
  • Field Goal Percentage: Grizzlies 45.24 / Nuggets 45.37
  • Rebounds: Grizzlies 38.30 / Nuggets 42.80
  • 3 Point Shots: Grizzlies 88-254 / Nuggets 90-278
  • Steals: Grizzlies 8.50 / Nuggets 8.30

Why bet on the Memphis Grizzlies?

It has been a solid start to the season for the Grizzlies, as they find themselves sitting atop the Southwest Division, as well as just 2 games back of the top spot in the Western Conference. They have, though, been slipping a little of late, going just 5-5 in their last 10 games.

This is certainly not the easiest start to the week for them, although there is some reason for optimism here. Memphis have won each of their last 2 meetings with Denver, which includes an 89-87 win earlier this season. Those last 2 wins came at home, though, and things have not been so good when facing Denver on the road, as they lost both meetings in Denver last season. The Grizzlies are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games, but they have covered in 2 of their last 3.

Team Stats

Offense 
  • Total Score: 103.52
  • Field Goal Percentage: 45.42
  • Three-Point Percentage: 35.80
  • Free Throw Percentage: 75.30
  • Total Rebounds: 39.72
Defense
  • Total Score: 102.72
  • Field Goal Percentage: 44.68
  • Three-Point Percentage: 35.51
  • Free Throw Percentage: 77.22
  • Total Rebounds: 45.20

Why bet on the Denver Nuggets?

The Nuggets started last week sitting proudly atop the Western Conference, but back to back losses in their last 2 games has seen them drop down to #3, albeit just a half game back of the Warriors. A big part of the reason for their success has been their play against conference foes, where they have gone 10-4 this season. They have also been very good in their own building, winning 9 of the 12 games they have played at home.

Grizzlies vs Nuggets is one of the best NBA games scheduled for Monday Night.

The Nuggets were on a run of covering the spread in 7 straight games before failing to cover in the two losses at the end of last week. As a home favorite this season, Denver has gone 7-4 ATS. As far as the point total goes, 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two have gone UNDER.

Team Stats

Offense 
  • Total Score: 110.15
  • Field Goal Percentage: 46.04
  • Three-Point Percentage: 34.41
  • Free Throw Percentage: 74.19
  • Total Rebounds: 47.46
Defense
  • Total Score: 103.85
  • Field Goal Percentage: 44.68
  • Three-Point Percentage: 32.04
  • Free Throw Percentage: 75.38
  • Total Rebounds: 42.12

Grizzlies vs Nuggets NBA Betting Trends

  • Memphis is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Denver
  • Memphis is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Denver
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis’s last 5 games when playing Denver
  • Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Memphis
  • Denver is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Memphis
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver’s last 5 games when playing Memphis

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Grizzlies vs Nuggets

The last meeting between these two was very low-scoring, but I think we see more offense here. I also think we see Denver winning and covering the spread quite handily.

Score: Memphis Grizzlies 100 – Denver Nuggets 107
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