Look, there’s no sense in beating around the bush. Unless the San Antonio Spurs completely fail to show up at the AT&T Center on Tuesday night, there’s no way the over matched Memphis Grizzlies are beating their far superior Western Conference counterparts in Games 2 of their first round playoff series. Having said that, the only real question for NBA betting aficionados is whether the Spurs can cover the spread as nearly 20-point home favorites. Oh, well that, and whether or not the final score will play over or under the Total. Let’s get busy.
How To Bet The Grizzlies @ Spurs NBA Playoff Series Odds, TV & Game Info
When: Tuesday, April 19, 9:30 PM ET
Where: AT&T Center, San Antonio, Texas
TV: TNT, FSSW, FSS
NBA Odds: San Antonio -18.5
Why Bet the Memphis Grizzlies
The only reason to bet on the Memphis Grizzlies (42-41 SU, 42-40-1ATS) in this contest is that they’re getting a ton of points. I feel sorry for Zach Randolph, but no Mike Conley and no Marc Gasol, mean a likely four-game sweep for the Grizzlies. Vince Carter (16 points) and Lance Stephenson (14 points) were the only players to reach double digits in Memphis’ 106-74 Game 1 loss against and the Grizz just don’t have enough firepower to keep up in this series. “When you are turning the ball over and not getting shots, a five-point lead can turn into a 20-point lead in the blink of an eye,” Carter said. “That’s what happened tonight, and it rattled us a little bit. San Antonio takes pride in the way they close out quarters — you are aware of what they are going to try to do when you play against them — and that was the difference.”
While Memphis has gone 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss, the Grizzlies are also 1-4 ATS in their last five games, 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against their Western Conference counterparts and a winless 0-5 ATS in their last five road games against a team with a winning home record.
The good news for Memphis betting backers is that the Grizz are also a respectable 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of eight points or more
Why Bet the San Antonio Spurs
The best reason to back San Antonio (68-15 SU, 45-38 ATS) is that they’re superior in every way to their first round opponents. If you missed it, Game 1 completely resembled a Spurs’ practice as they shot a blistering 51.9 percent from the field and 43.5 percent from beyond the arc. San Antonio’s league-leading defense forced Memphis into 39.2 percent shooting from the field (31-for-79).
“Defense is the focus of our program and I thought in the second half we did that pretty good,” Spurs coach Gregg Popovich said. “Our offense really bogged down in the first half — we didn’t move the ball and it was a lot of one on one. “Against the Grizzlies, who are tough, physical and aggressive, the ball has to move other than dribble,” Popovich added. “It’s got to be passed and people have to move.”
The Spurs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. NBA Southwest, but just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against their Western Conference rivals and 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall.
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
After seeing the Spurs just record a whopping 32-point home win, it’s kind of hard not seeing them win by 20 this time around, but a whopping 65 percent of the betting public believes otherwise. Nevertheless, I advise you to roll with the 35 percent of public bettors that like the Spurs to get it done again in Game 2.
The favorite in this series has gone 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings while Memphis has gone 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against San Antonio. I also like the Over in this matchup and a narrow 54 percent of public bettors agree.
The Over is 7-1-1 in Memphis’ last nine games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points and 8-2 in the Grizzlies’ last 10 games against teams from the Southwest Division. The Over is also 5-2 in Memphis’ last seven road games and 14-6-1 in San Antonio’s last 21 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
My final score prediction: San Antonio 107 Memphis 88