Heat vs Kings NBA Betting Lines & Expert Prediction

Heat vs Kings NBA Betting Lines & Expert Prediction

Written by on February 7, 2019

After upsetting the Portland Trail Blazers 118-108 on the road in their last, Miami travels to Sacramento hoping for back-to-back victories. Will the Miami Heat get it done? Or, will the young Sacramento Kings send Miami home with a loss?

Heat vs Kings NBA Betting Lines & Expert Prediction

Why Miami Heat are a good bet +2.5?

By beating Portland, the Heat broke a 3-game losing streak. All 3 losses were at home. Before the 3 losses, the Heat had beaten Cleveland and New York back-to-back on the road.

Sacramento is Miami’s second straight road game. Some teams play more comfortably as road dogs. That could be the Miami Heat. Miami should do enough to at least cover if not upset the Kings on the moneyline on Feb. 8.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Points/G: 105.2
  • Field Goal %: 44.5
  • 3-Point %: 35
  • Free Throw %: 69.2
  • Rebounds/G: 46.5
Defense:
  • Points/G: 105.6
  • Field Goal %: 44.4
  • 3-Point %: 36.3
  • Free Throw %: 76.2
  • Rebounds/G: 44

Why Sacramento Kings are a good bet -2.5?

Are the Kings a safe NBA odds bet vs the Heat?

Houston drubbed Sacramento 127-101 in their last game. Before that, though, the Kings had won 3 straight:  135-113 over Atlanta, 115-108 against Philadelphia, and 127-112 versus San Antonio.

The Kings couldn’t hang with the Rockets shooters, but Miami doesn’t have nearly as many talented shooters as Houston has. Sacramento should be more comfortable against a plodding team like the Heat. They’ll win and cover.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Points/G: 113.5
  • Field Goal %: 46.7
  • 3-Point %: 38.1
  • Free Throw %: 70.9
  • Rebounds/G: 45
Defense:
  • Points/G: 115.1
  • Field Goal %: 46.5
  • 3-Point %: 34.4
  • Free Throw %: 77.3
  • Rebounds/G: 48

NBA Betting Trends for Heat vs Kings

  • Miami is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 games
  • Miami is 4-1 SU in the last 5 games on the road
  • The total went UNDER in 6 of Miami’s last 8 games
  • Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Sacramento is 4-2 SU in the last 6 games
  • The total went UNDER in 12 of Sacramento’s last 15 games

Heat vs Kings Final NBA Betting Analysis

The Heat played about as well as they have all season long when beating Portland on the road. But, they face different circumstances on Friday against the Kings.

Sacramento’s goal is to run opponents into the ground. The Kings give up 115 points per on average while scoring 113 per. If you can run with the Kings, you can expect to possibly beat them. If you can’t run with the Kings, there’s a chance they bury you.

Miami’s like one of those college teams that uses every second on the shot clock. They rank third in points allowed per, 105.6, but twenty-sixth in points per, 105.2. That’s not the optimal way to beat a team like the Kings. Sacramento will force the Heat into an up and down game. While the Heat can play that way, they already did it versus Portland. The Kings’ younger legs win out on Friday night.

NBA Betting Pick: Sacramento Kings -2.5

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