Andre Drummond and the Detroit Pistons will look to extend their winning ways when they take on Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks in an intriguing Thursday night matchup of two teams that both have legitimate playoff hopes this season after missing out on last year’s playoffs. With the Mavs looking to get back in the win column and the Pistons looking to get the win as slight underdogs, let’s find out which team is offering the best value against their NBA betting odds when this matchup goes down live from Mexico City!
Mavericks vs Pistons 2019 NBA Week 8 Spread, Game Info & Expert Pick
- When: Thursday, December 12, 2019 at 9:00 PM ET
- Where: Mexico City Arena
- TV: FSSW, FSDET
- Radio: Dallas / Detroit
- Live Stream: NBA League Pass
- NBA Odds: Dallas -5.5 / Total: 220.5
Why Bet On Dallas?
Dallas 914-9 ATS) might have had their four-game winning streak snapped in their 110-106 home loss against Sacramento on Sunday. With three full days off, the Mavericks are completely well-rested. Dallas will also have the best player on the floor in MVP candidate Luka Doncic. In just his second year in the league, Doncic is averaging a mind-boggling 30 points, 9.8 rebounds and 9.2 assists per game. Dallas allows an identical amount of points as Detroit (108.3 ppg), but the Mavs have the far more potent offense in this matchup by putting up almost 10 points per game more than the Pistons.
Team Statistics
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Why Bet On Detroit?
The best reason to back Detroit (10-13-1 ATS) is because they are playing fantastic basketball at the moment. The Pistons have won two straight and four of their last five games including a thrilling 105-103 win over New Orleans on Monday night. Detroit has the slightly better defense in this matchup statistically and they’ve limited the opposition to a meager 99.0 points per game in their recent four victories. Veteran center Andre Drummond (17.5 ppg, 16.7 rpg) is in the midst of his best season and former MVP point guard Derrick Rose (16.0 ppg, 5.8 apg) is flourishing in his role off the bench while former all-star Blake Griffin is putting up 18.2 points per game.
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NBA Betting Trends for Mavericks vs Pistons
- Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games
- Mavericks are 5-1 SU in the last 6 games
- The total went UNDER in 4 of Dallas’ last 5 games
- Pistons are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games
- Pistons are 4-1 SU in the last 5 games
- The total went OVER in 4 of Detroit’s last 6 games
Mavericks vs Pistons Expert Analysis and Prediction
Dallas might have the higher scoring offense in this affair and Luka Doncic might be having a MVP caliber season right now, but the Mavs have just three double-digit scorers on their roster and two of them are shooting 43.3 percent or less from the field including Kristaps Porzingis’ horrific 39.8 percent shooting mark. Detroit has a whopping six double-digit scorers who all shoot at least 44.8 percent from the field except Blake Griffin and his horrific 39.9 percent mark.
While the Mavericks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite, Detroit has gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. I’m expecting Andre Drummond to have his way on the glass while Derrick Rose, Luke Kennard (16.3 ppg) and Langston Galloway (43.4% on threes), have their way on the perimeter. Sure, Doncic will likely ‘get his’ but I’m expecting Detroit’s underrated collection of role players to not only keep it close in this one, but to pull out the win by harassing Dallas’ shooters.
Pick: Detroit 108 Dallas 105
