Dallas Mavericks vs. Portland Trail Blazers Expert NBA Odds Analysis

Posted by Eric Williams on Tuesday,March 22, 2016 11:34, EST in

The Portland Trail Blazers will be looking to get some major revenge when they host the Dallas Mavericks on the back end of a home-and-home two-game set that concludes with Wednesday’s intriguing affair. Now, let’s review the NBA odds and try to determine t if the Blazers can get their revenge after falling to the Mavs in an overtime thriller on Sunday.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Portland Trail Blazers Expert NBA Odds Analysis

When: 10:00 PM ET, Wednesday, March 23, 2016
Where: Moda Center at the Rose Quarter, Portland, Oregon
TV: KGW, FSSW
Stream: NBA Live Stream
Radio: Rip City Radio 620 Portland

Why Bet the Dallas Mavericks

Dallas (35-35 SU, 37-32 ATS) snapped a two-game losing streak by beating Portland 132-120 in OT on Sunday as Dirk Nowitzki scored a game-high 40 points and Deron Williams added 31 points. The Mavericks snapped a five-game home losing streak and clinched the regular season series against Portland.

The Mavs and Blazers are currently battling for one of the final spots in the Western Conference playoff standings. Portland is currently sixth, with Dallas and Houston (35-35) a half-game back.

“We’re still in the same position where we’re fighting for our playoff lives,” Nowitzki said after his 20th career 40-point game. “Our goal before the season was to make it into the playoffs. We’re still fighting for it.

Nowitzki became just the fourth player in league history to score at least 40 points at age 37 or older. The others are Michael Jordan, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar and Karl Malone.

“Never underestimate greatness at any age; that’s what I always say about guys like him,” Mavs coach Rick Carlisle said of Nowitzki. “It’s not like he’s just an older guy who happened to have a good game.

He’s been doing this on a somewhat consistent basis all year coming up with a monster game. The Mavericks are a blistering 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against teams from the Northwest Division.

Why Bet the Portland Trail Blazers

The Trail Blazers (36-35 SU, 40-31 ATS) are completely desperate to both, get some revenge and hold on to their current spot in the Western Conference playoff race. The Blazers got 26 points from Damian Lillard, 22 points from backcourt mate C.J. McCollum and 24 points of the bench from the blossoming Allen Crabbe. Lillard tied the game at 113-all with a driving bank shot with 29.7 seconds left in regulation and missed a three-point try at the buzzer.

“We did a nice job of getting ourselves back in the position to tie it up,” Portland coach Terry Stotts said. “When (Lillard) had the ball we wanted to get a good shot and make sure it was the last shot.”

The Blazers went on a 17-6 run to take a 99-96 lead, with Crabbe and Al-Farouq Aminu each knocking down a pair of 3-pointers. Portland made a whopping 18 shots from beyond the arc for the game. Crabbe had six 3-pointers, with Lillard and Aminu both adding four while McCollum had three from downtown.

Expert Score and Final Prediction

The Trail Blazers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 2 days rest, 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games against a team with a losing road record and a bankroll-boosting 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up loss.

Conversely, the Mavericks are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games against their Western Conference counterparts. With the home team in this series going 6-1 ATS in the L/7 meetings, I say back the Blazers to win by a half-dozen points.

My final score prediction is Portland 106 Dallas 100