The Denver Nuggets will look to make a statement when they hit the road to take on the Dallas Mavericks in a matchup of playoff-bound Western Conference rivals on Wednesday night, live from the American Airlines Center. With the Nuggets looking to build on their big win the last time out and the Mavs looking to snap a modest two-game slide, let’s find out which team is offering the best value against their NBA Odds for the Nuggets vs Mavericks.
Nuggets vs Mavericks 2020 NBA Game Preview & Betting Odds
- Where: American Airlines Center
- When: Wednesday, March 11, 2020 at 8:00 PM ET
- TV: AL2, FSSW, ESPN
- NBA Odds: Denver Nuggets -2.5 / Total: 218
Why Bet On Denver at -1
The Nuggets have alternated wins and losses over their last seven games but picked up a solid 109-95 win over the NBA-best Milwaukee Bucks on Monday, although the top team in the Eastern Conference played without reigning MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) and fellow All-Star Khris Middleton (rest).
“It was about our effort, our focus and ‘were we willing to go out there and try to defend at a high level?'” Nuggets head coach Mike Malone told reporters afterward. “I thought we did that.”
Point guard Jamal Murray scored 21 points in the win while veteran power forward Paul Millsap added 20 points and 10 rebounds for his fifth double-double of the season. All-Star center Nikola Jokic has struggled the past two games by averaging just nine points while failing to reach the 20-point mark since putting up 23 against Toronto on March 1. Still Jokic is averaging a team-high 20.3 points and 10.2 rebounds while Murray is averaging 18.7 points per game. The Nuggets have gone 18-13 on the road this season.
- Points/G: 110.6
- Field Goal %: 47.1
- 3-Point %: 35.8
- Free Throw %: 77.6
- Rebounds/G: 44.3
- Points/G: 107.4
- Field Goal %: 45.9
- 3-Point %: 34.6
- Free Throw %: 75.7
- Rebounds/G: 42.7
Denver Nuggets Betting Trends
- Nuggets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
- Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
- Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Why Bet On Dallas at +1
The Mavericks have dropped two straight including a humbling 119-109 loss against San Antonio on Tuesday night. All-Star forward Luka Doncic scored a team-high 38 points and is averaging 37 points per game the last two. Dallas still sits in seventh place in the Western Conference and is 6.5 games ahead of the eighth-place Memphis Grizzlies.
“I’m not worried at all,” Doncic told reporters after the loss to the Spurs. “At the beginning of the season people had us out of playoffs and we showed that we can be in the playoffs. As of now, we are in the playoffs. It’s a long way, but I think we are going to make the playoffs. I’m not worried.”
Doncic is averaging a team-high 28.5 points and 8.7 assists while Kristaps Porzingis is averaging 19.4 points and 9.4 rebounds.
The Mavs have gone a modest 18-15 at home this season.
- Points/G: 116.4
- Field Goal %: 46.3
- 3-Point %: 37.0
- Free Throw %:77.3
- Rebounds/G: 46.9
- Points/G: 110.5
- Field Goal %: 45.4
- 3-Point %: 34.5
- Free Throw %: 75.7
- Rebounds/G: 45.4
Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends
- Mavericks are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up loss.
- Mavericks are 24-9-2 ATS in their last 35 games following a ATS loss.
- Mavericks are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Mavericks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Nuggets vs Mavericks Expert Analysis and Prediction
The Dallas Mavericks might be playing at home and they might have the game’s most versatile player in Luka Doncic, but the Denver Nuggets are the better defensive team in this matchup by far and they should be quite focused after their recent struggles earned them a big-time tongue lashing from head coach Mike Malone recently. Dallas has been completely mediocre at home this season and that doesn’t bode well as they get set to face a Nuggets team that has been solid on the road. Denver has won seven of the last 10 meetings against the Mavericks and they face a really manageable spread in this affair as slight road favorites. Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis will put up numbers, but I like the more experienced and deeper Nuggets to get the outright road win!
Pick: Denver 111 Dallas 106