Nuggets vs Mavericks 2020 NBA Lines, Analysis & Prediction

Nuggets vs Mavericks 2020 NBA Lines, Analysis & Prediction

Written by on January 8, 2020

Two of the top squads in the Western Conference battle on Wednesday night. The Denver Nuggets travel to Dallas to take on Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks. Will Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets end up with the win? Or, will Doncic and the Mavs prove they can get it done? Keep reading for NBA odds, analysis and a free pick for Nuggets vs Mavericks!

Nuggets vs Mavericks 2020 NBA Lines, Analysis & Prediction

  • When: Wednesday, Jan. 8 at 7:30 pm ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
  • TV: ESPN
  • Over/Under Odds: 220

Why the Denver Nuggets are a good bet +3?

At 25-11, the Nuggets are a game ahead of the Utah Jazz in the Northwest Division. Denver sends one of the top defenses in the NBA to the court. The Nuggets allow 105.2 points per game. That ranks fifth. Opponents shoot 32.7% from the three-point line versus the Denver Nuggets. That ranks first in the league. Denver lost by 3 points in the last head-to-head matchup. They can turn the tables on the Mavericks in this game.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Points/G: 108.8
  • Field Goal %: 46.0
  • 3-Point %: 34.9
  • Free Throw %: 77.3
  • Rebounds/G: 44.8
Defense:
  • Points/G: 104.9
  • Field Goal %: 45.3
  • 3-Point %: 32.2
  • Free Throw %: 75.3
  • Rebounds/G: 43.8

Why the Dallas Mavericks are a good bet -3?

While Denver wins with defense, Dallas wins with offense. The Mavericks average 116.7 points per game. Dallas shoots 46% from the field. The Mavs are good at 36% from three. Although Denver can also shoot the ball well, they don’t have a player as dynamic as Luka Doncic. Every night, Luka ensures the Dallas Mavericks score enough points to stay competitive. They have a real shot of beating and covering versus the Denver Nuggets.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Points/G: 116.6
  • Field Goal %: 45.9
  • 3-Point %: 36.5
  • Free Throw %: 78.6
  • Rebounds/G: 47.8
Defense:
  • Points/G: 109.3
  • Field Goal %: 44.6
  • 3-Point %: 33.8
  • Free Throw %: 77.2
  • Rebounds/G: 45.7

NBA Betting Trends for Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

  • Nuggets are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games
  • Denver is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog
  • Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win
  • Over is 6-0 in Nuggets last 6 overall
  • Dallas is 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite
  • Mavericks are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games
  • Dallas is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight-up win
  • Over is 20-8 in Mavericks’ last 28 games as a favorite

Nuggets vs Mavericks Final NBA Betting Analysis

This should be a close game, but it might not. Although Dallas won the last matchup 109-106, it took a massive effort from the entire team to do so. 9 Mavericks scored in double-figures for the victory.

One of the players that scored in double-figures was Kristaps Porzingis. Kristaps dropped 10, dished 3 assists, had 2 blocks, and grabbed 14 boards. He held his own on the glass versus Nikola Jokic, who had 10 boards.

Porzingis won’t play on Wednesday night. But that doesn’t mean the Mavericks aren’t successful. While Porzingis is out for Dallas, Will Barton is out for Denver. Barton dominated the Mavs with 19 points and 10 rebounds in the last matchup.

With both teams missing a key rebounder, we should look to the total. Over is 20-8 in the Mavericks last 28 games as a favorite. Over is 6-0 in the Nuggets last 6 games. Go over.

NBA Free Pick: Over 220

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