Nuggets vs Rockets NBA Spread, Expert Analysis & Game Info

Nuggets vs Rockets NBA Spread, Expert Analysis & Game Info

Written by on March 28, 2019

The two-time defending champion Golden State Warriors might be the prohibitive favorites to win both, the Western Conference crown and NBA Finals, but the Houston Rockets and Denver Nuggets both have some legitimate hopes of representing the Western Conference in this year’s NBA championship. The two top contenders to dethrone the Dubs will square off in a highly intriguing showdown on Thursday night. Now, let’s find out which team is offering the best value against their NBA betting odds in this pairing.

Nuggets vs Rockets NBA Spread, Expert Analysis & Game Info

Why Bet On Denver at +5.5?

The Denver Nuggets are playing solid basketball having won seven of their last eight games including a hard-fought 95-92 win over Detroit on Tuesday night. Jamal Murray scored a team-high 33 points while all-star center Nikola Jokic added 23 points and 15 rebounds in the win. Denver and their stellar sixth-ranked defense (106.8 ppg) completely shut down Detroit in the first half while taking a 66-39 into the break.

“You want what’s going to be reality in the playoffs,” center Mason Plumlee told reporters. “That’s what we’ll get – a lot of good teams. It’s going to be a good look going into the playoffs.”

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 111.45
  • Field Goals: 46.73%
  • Three Points: 35.57%
  • Free Throws: 75.70%
  • Rebounds: 46.84
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 106.85
  • Field Goals: 45.75%
  • Three Points: 33.96%
  • Free Throws: 75.30%
  • Rebounds: 42.05

Why Bet On Houston at -5.5?

Are the Rockets a safe bet in the NBA lines vs the Nuggets?

The Houston Rockets have split their last four games and they’ll be highly motivated after suffering a humbling 108-94 loss to Milwaukee on Tuesday.

James Harden nearly had a triple-double with 23 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists while Chris Paul added 19 points, nine rebounds and four assists but the Rockets struggled in shooting just 16 of 52 from the 3-point line.

“We had our open shots. We couldn’t knock them down,” Harden said afterward. “We competed but they went on a run in that third quarter and that was it.”

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 112.87
  • Field Goals: 44.64%
  • Three Points: 35.11%
  • Free Throws: 78.97%
  • Rebounds: 41.72
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 109.69
  • Field Goals: 46.92%
  • Three Points: 34.09%
  • Free Throws: 77.26%
  • Rebounds: 45.32

Nuggets vs Rockets NBA Betting Trends

  • Denver is 2-5 ATS in the  last 7 games
  • Denver is 7-1 SU in the last 8 games
  • The total went UNDER in 14 of Denver’s last 16 games
  • Houston is 14-3 SU in the last 17 games
  • The total went UNDER in 7 of Houston’s last 8 games
  • Houston is 14-3 SU in the last 17 games
  • The total went UNDER in 7 of Houston’s last 8 games

Expert Analysis and Prediction for Nuggets vs Rockets

Houston has taken two of three from Denver this season and I like them to make it three of four by getting the big win and narrow ATS cover in this contest. Houston recorded both of their wins over the Nuggets this season by double digits and they’ll definitely be looking to send a message to their conference counterparts should they meet in the playoffs.

Denver has gone an uninspiring 2-5 ATS in their last seven games, 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following an SU win and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games against a team with a home record above .600.

Conversely, Houston has gone 4-1-2 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss while also going 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games playing on one days rest. The favorite in this series is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, making James Harden and the Rockets the pick to win and cash in

NBA Betting Pick: Houston 114 Denver 106

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