Oklahoma at San Antonio NBA Odds Analysis

Posted by Eric Williams on Monday,April 11, 2016 2:02, EST in

The San Antonio Spurs will look to rebound from their only home loss of the regular season while delivering a message to the Oklahoma City Thunder when the two title contenders square off in an intriguing pairing on Tuesday night that could be a potential playoff preview. The Thunder have lost three of four and will look to snap a two-game losing streak in this affair. Now, let’s find out who’s going to get the win in this one. Find out the latest NBA betting odds here.

Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs NBA Odds Analysis

When: 8:00 PM  ET, Tuesday, April 12, 2016
Where: AT&T Center, San Antonio, Texas
Live Stream: Watch NBA
NBA Odds: TBA

Why Bet the San Antonio Spurs

Oklahoma City (54-26 SU, 35-44 ATS) is coming off a heartbreaking 114-112 loss against dysfunctional Sacramento on Saturday where they never came close to covering the spread as an 8.5-point road favorite. Sacramento forward Rudy Gay drained two free throws with one second remaining to lift the Kings to victory. All-star forward Kevin Durant scored a team-high 31 points for the Thunder who are locked into the No. 3 spot in the Western Conference postseason. Durant scored at least 20 points for the 63rd straight game, to extend the longest streak for an NBA player since Kobe Bryant accomplished the feat from 2005-2007.

Russell Westbrook added 24 points, 10 assists and five rebounds for Oklahoma City. With three games remaining, Westbrook has 17 triple-doubles this season and needs one more to move past Magic Johnson for the most since the 1985-86 season.

“This game was one that tested us,” Thunder coach Billy Donovan said. “But at the end, we made a couple of mistakes, a couple of tough calls, and we came up short.”

The Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Why Bet the San Antonio Spurs

The Spurs look like a great bet in this contest because they’re playing at home and want to send a message to the Thunder should they meet in the playoffs. San Antonio (65-15 SU, 43-37 ATS) suffered their first home loss of the season in falling to Golden State 92-86 on Sunday night while failing to cover the NBA betting line as a 3.5-point home favorite. The Spurs saw their quest for the league’s first unbeaten home record come to an abrupt halt as Golden State matched the 95-96 Chicago Bulls for the league record in regular season wins with 72.

“We had some easy looks that we didn’t make, and we had some defensive breakdowns at some tough times that they were able to take advantage of,” Spurs forward LaMarcus Aldridge said after scoring a team-high 24 points. “There are some things we can take away from this game that we can get better at.”

While the Spurs have gone 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Tuesday games, they’re also 1-5 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning straight up record and a winless 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.

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Expert Prediction and Pick

The only reason I’m going to back the Spurs to beat the dangerous Thunder in this contest is because they’re playing at home and really need to send a message to the Thunder should they meet in the playoffs. The Favorite in this series is 18-7-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings while the home team in this rivalry has gone 17-7-1 ATS in the last 25 meetings.

The bad news for San Antonio is that the Thunder are 16-7-1 ATS in the last 24 meetings and 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games against a team with a winning home record. San Antonio gets the home win, but it’s going to be close – and I mean closer than their eight-point home win over Oklahoma City on March 12.

My final score prediction is San Antonio 101 Oklahoma City 98